Phil Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 15 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: The first 1/2 of July is going to end up pretty warm. That mid month trough is still a good week away on the models. Ok. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Chillly out there. Down to 56 with some clouds passing by. Looks like the marine layer is snaking its way through the Strait of Juan de Fuca at least tonight. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 4 hours ago, Phil said: Now that’s a beautiful trough. And I’ll be in GA..also under blue. Loaded gun in Canada! Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 8, 2021 Author Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Today will be one minute and twenty one seconds SHORTER than yesterday! 5 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 49 for a low before the low clouds developed. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Overcast and 57°F. Got down to 52 before the clouds rolled in. Coolest temperature since the Big Bake. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 6 hours ago, Phil said: Still predicting a #foreverwarm July? I went out of my way to specifically say I had no idea what would happen during the second half of July... but that the first half was looking warmer than normal. Said it like 4 or 5 times just so you understood that I was not making a prediction about the second half of the month. And yet somehow I predicted a forever warm July. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Had a low of 51. Currently cloudy and 53 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 It seems like the visible damage on our trees is fading. I think it is actually being shaken off over time with the wind. We had a windy period yesterday morning and I was watching brown needles blowing off the hemlock trees. The burnt leaves on deciduous trees are also falling off. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Had a low of 51. Currently cloudy and 53 51 here as well. Coolest in at least a couple weeks. The sun is shining here this morning, however. No marine layer as of yet 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Some marine layer drizzle out there this morning. Very nice. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 37 in Sunriver this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Got down to 51…coldest low temp since mid June. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 7 hours ago, ShawniganLake said: The first 1/2 of July is going to end up pretty warm. That mid month trough is still a good week away on the models. Pretty much my thoughts on it as well Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 38 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: It seems like the visible damage on our trees is fading. I think it is actually being shaken off over time with the wind. We had a windy period yesterday morning and I was watching brown needles blowing off the hemlock trees. The burnt leaves on deciduous trees are also falling off. Hopefully Mother Nature can just shake it off and move on…but if extreme heatwaves do somehow become more common the vegetation and trees could be in trouble the next few decades. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 You can tell the marine layer is really deep this morning when looking at the way it has filled the mountain valleys. It feels delightful out there this morning! This is the most impressive morning low cloud regime we've seen in years. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Hopefully Mother Nature can just shake it off and move on…but if extreme heatwaves do somehow become more common the vegetation and trees could be in trouble the next few decades. I'll be going through Hobart again in a few days. I'll be interested to see if that has gotten better or not. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You can tell the marine layer is really deep this morning when looking at the way it has filled the mountain valleys. It feels delightful out there this morning! This is the most impressive morning low cloud regime we've seen in years. Its not really deep... its actually pretty thin. But the ECMWF does show the clouds hanging around until almost noon now. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 And side note... the mid June through mid July period in 2019 was marine layer on steroids for the EPSL. This is definitely less than that period. Most days in that period in 2019 never cleared out at all here. We have only had one day like that in this run... which was last Thursday. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: And side note... the mid June through mid July period in 2019 was marine layer on steroids for the EPSL. This is definitely less than that period. Most days in that period in 2019 never cleared out at all here. We have only had one day like that in this run... which was last Thursday. That was a pleasant time in our lives. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Bootleg Fire is up to 11,000 acres! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 23 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You can tell the marine layer is really deep this morning when looking at the way it has filled the mountain valleys. It feels delightful out there this morning! This is the most impressive morning low cloud regime we've seen in years. Guess depends on locations but not for here… it’s actually quite thinner and sunlight is already filtered through. It was a lot deeper at this time yesterday. It’s really nice to have a cool morning though, got down as low as 54F Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Dropped to 53 this morning which amazingly is the lowest since June 19th. I like the direction things have been going. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 8 minutes ago, CloudBFIWx said: Guess depends on locations but not for here… it’s actually quite thinner and sunlight is already filtered through. It was a lot deeper at this time yesterday. It’s really nice to have a cool morning though, got down as low as 54F Down here it was more mixed yesterday. Today it's just flat gray. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Oh Jim.... 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 20 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Bootleg Fire is up to 11,000 acres! Looks pretty bad on the visible sat pic. I wonder if that was lightning caused. At any rate we had better get some rain or late summer is going to be bad in spite of how cool it may get. One thing about the massive surface high over the NE Pacific is it's not conducive to rain. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Looks pretty bad on the visible sat pic. I wonder if that was lightning caused. At any rate we had better get some rain or late summer is going to be bad in spite of how cool it may get. One thing about the massive surface high over the NE Pacific is it's not conducive to rain. This frigid cold July will not be able to save us. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 21 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Looks pretty bad on the visible sat pic. I wonder if that was lightning caused. At any rate we had better get some rain or late summer is going to be bad in spite of how cool it may get. One thing about the massive surface high over the NE Pacific is it's not conducive to rain. Do you ever wonder how many of these fires are actually human caused, yet we never find out who did it. And someone is out there knowing full well it’s their fault and never tells a soul? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: It seems like the visible damage on our trees is fading. I think it is actually being shaken off over time with the wind. We had a windy period yesterday morning and I was watching brown needles blowing off the hemlock trees. The burnt leaves on deciduous trees are also falling off. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: You can tell the marine layer is really deep this morning when looking at the way it has filled the mountain valleys. It feels delightful out there this morning! This is the most impressive morning low cloud regime we've seen in years. Already seeing patches of blue here. The clouds will not last much longer. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 7 minutes ago, Timmy said: Do you ever wonder how many of these fires are actually human caused, yet we never find out who did it. And someone is out there knowing full well it’s their fault and never tells a soul? Not all human-caused fires are deliberately set, or even have causers that are aware of their responsibility. Consider someone towing a trailer whose safety chain drags and makes a spark that touches off a wildfire. By the time the fire hits the news, he is many miles away, and has no idea that it was his trailer’s chain that sparked the fire. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 19 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Not all human-caused fires are deliberately set, or even have causers that are aware of their responsibility. Consider someone towing a trailer whose safety chain drags and makes a spark that touches off a wildfire. By the time the fire hits the news, he is many miles away, and has no idea that it was his trailer’s chain that sparked the fire. Sure, there have got to be some that know, or at least suspect, “did I do that”. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 12Z GFS is just a bit different than previous runs with that deep trough for later next week. 00Z run on top and new 12Z run on the bottom... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Got down to 53, got the house down to 60, slept like a baby last night! Down to my last 2 days of "practicing for retirement" before starting a new job on Monday. It's been a long 13 1/2 months of furlough/being laid off. 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 Check out this near-term correction (to less cut-off of the core of the Alaskan Low) on the GFS. This bias in the GFS is astounding. Simply for its persistence. Not even state dependent..it manifests almost every run. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 minute ago, Phil said: Wasn’t last year’s dry thunderstorm outbreak caused by tropical storm remnants? Weenie post, but pretty hard to deny the question this summer is really not “if”, but “when”. The entire West Coast especially below 44°N is a ticking time bomb. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 22 minutes ago, Timmy said: Sure, there have got to be some that know, or at least suspect, “did I do that”. Oh I’m sure it’s definitely happened. Someone has a campfire and they don’t put it out all the way…next day there’s a big fire in the area and they’re like “oh sh*t was that me?” And never say a word. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 10 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Oh I’m sure it’s definitely happened. Someone has a campfire and they don’t put it out all the way…next day there’s a big fire in the area and they’re like “oh sh*t was that me?” And never say a word. Just read through the thirtymile fire investigation yesterday....someone out there def knows that was probably them. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted July 8, 2021 Report Share Posted July 8, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: You can tell the marine layer is really deep this morning when looking at the way it has filled the mountain valleys. It feels delightful out there this morning! This is the most impressive morning low cloud regime we've seen in years. Like tim said…just 2 years ago in 2019 there was a lot more marine layer days atleast up here in western WA. It’s been nice to see…but it’s not exactly exceptional. Probably just seems that way since there’s been much less marine layer days overall the last 8 or so years. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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