snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Might not be as good in the long range though. We shall see. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Looks like a definite round two on this run. Glad to see the stronger anomaly centers again. 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Might not be as good in the long range though. Who will win? Hurry place your bets with our bookie Tiger! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, FroYoBro said: Who will win? Hurry place your bets with our bookie Tiger! I'll put $15 on SnowWiz 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 This is the wettest meteorological fall on record at SEA. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 6 minutes ago, Cloud said: This is the wettest meteorological fall on record at SEA. Drought map still shows drought over 90% of the West. But they need a color other than white for the non-drought area of western WA. The need a deep green color to represent ridiculously wet. If we could pump out our water to the rest of the West... we could probably resolve all drought conditions from here to Mexico. Nature is being just stupid... wasting all the moisture available across the Pacific by drenching the already the drenched areas where the ground can't hold another drop of water. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just drove back to Corvallis. Can’t say I’ve ever used my car’s AC on November 28 before. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, MWG said: Ohhhh brrrr... Winter of the Century type stuff. 1 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Not a bad run. Just have to get through one more week of torching... 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
van city Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not a bad run. Just have to get through one more week of torching... Easy there. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just now, van city said: Easy there. Kind of 50/50 there... a lot of members want to go cold. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 January 1971 redux. 1 1 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Incredible tongue of maritime polar air blasting toward us late in this run. Could be fun times ahead. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 WOW. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post The Swamp Posted November 28, 2021 Popular Post Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 I'm not a scientist and I struggle to read these here models posted but I can remember for the last 50 years or so when we have these warm southerly AR type systems we usually flip the switch at some point and go into the deep freezer. Sometimes it's a quick hitter and other times it's a week to ten days of cold either with or with out snow. Once this things flips, and it will, all your teeth gnashing about hour 384 will be forgotten because the goodies will suddenly appear within 7 days and the signal will get stronger and it will happen. I'll say it again. December 10th the good stuff begins. 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Very snowy run. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 5 3 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 19 minutes ago, MWG said: Lol I don't see Medford so I'm not sure the closest station to you 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: January 1971 redux. Seattle area got 20-30 inches that January. I can only imagine what the outlying areas received. Perhaps Snowwizard and others can provide more context for that event. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 2 minutes ago, The Swamp said: I'm not a scientist and I struggle to read these here models posted but I can remember for the last 50 years or so when we have these warm southerly AR type systems we usually flip the switch at some point and go into the deep freezer. Sometimes it's a quick hitter and other times it's a week to ten days of cold either with or with out snow. Once this things flips, and it will, all your teeth gnashing about hour 384 will be forgotten because the goodies will suddenly appear within 7 days and the signal will get stronger and it will happen. I'll say it again. December 10th the good stuff begins. This is a really good take. The GFS after about day 7 or 8 is a complete crapshoot... and has tended to be much more extreme in both directions since the upgrade. None of it means much at all. But then suddenly something totally different will appear out of nowhere and be very close and its game on. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 0.08” so far 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: January 1971 redux. I've had my eye on that analog. A somewhat colder / more amplified version of 2007-08. The EPS lends a lot of support to this outcome. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 This is why this location sucks. 1 2 2 1 3 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Nice to see that snowstorm still hit the PNW In the mid range. Not worried about the specifics right now. Great run!!! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: This is a really good take. The GFS after about day 7 or 8 is a complete crapshoot... and has tended to be much more extreme in both directions since the upgrade. None of it means much at all. But then suddenly something totally different will appear out of nowhere and be very close and its game on. You can feel we are getting there. I think this ridiculous wet period has nearly run its course. At this point some lowland snow in December is seeming like a decent bet, but beyond that we have a ways to go. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: You can feel we are getting there. I think this ridiculous wet period has nearly run its course. At this point some lowland snow in December is seeming like a decent bet, but beyond that we have a ways to go. Hopefully... but I am getting a nagging feeling this could be one of those wall-to-wall wet winters. The blocking always seems to get to muted as it gets closer. I feel like I have been chasing dry periods in the long range for 2 months and it never arrives. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: Hopefully... but I am getting a nagging feeling this could be one of those wall-to-wall wet winters. The blocking always seems to get to muted as it gets closer. I feel like I have been chasing dry periods in the long range for 2 months and it never arrives. Maybe at some point it will be anomalously wet down here. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 17 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Lol I don't see Medford so I'm not sure the closest station to you Rogue Valley International Airport. I guess we will have to wait till next week for better low temps. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Why does every building on this campus have the heat on full blast? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 29 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: This is a really good take. The GFS after about day 7 or 8 is a complete crapshoot... and has tended to be much more extreme in both directions since the upgrade. None of it means much at all. But then suddenly something totally different will appear out of nowhere and be very close and its game on. Some of those p-type maps look suspect to me as well. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Just need another 1/3” of rain to be the wettest fall ever here. 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Such a November looking sky 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 28, 2021 Report Share Posted November 28, 2021 Nice mild November afternoon. 56/51 on the day... currently at our low for the day. 6 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2021 Report Share Posted November 29, 2021 Some fun GFS/ECMWF Op runs today and before Day 10. From snow storms to wind storm. GEM not so much. 00z GFS in 3 hours 34 minutes 00z ECMWF in 5 hours 44 minutes Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2021 Report Share Posted November 29, 2021 18z GEFS Day 12 (Past 4 runs) 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 29, 2021 Report Share Posted November 29, 2021 4 hours ago, hawkstwelve said: 60-65 mph gusts with that storm system in the mid range. Would certainly fit with the extreme weather narrative this year to get a big windstorm. Could I get the E WA version of that? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 29, 2021 Report Share Posted November 29, 2021 Ah well at least we return to more typical La Nina conditions and build the snowpack. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 29, 2021 Report Share Posted November 29, 2021 2 hours ago, snow drift said: It was a dud up here, too. somehow KGEG still recorded ~50" of snow, technically above normal but yeah it was super warm and nothing stuck around more than a couple days 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 29, 2021 Report Share Posted November 29, 2021 Looks pertty dry after tomorrow. 2 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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