Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Just a little different... just a little bit. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z GFS 850s (Past 4 runs) Definitely trending colder with the weekend trough. 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 This will be a big fail for the Euro if GFS is right. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 In my opinion we're heading into a colder N-NW flow with progressively lower snow levels and then the ridge/block sets up more favorably shoving arctic air further south with perhaps a blast mid-December. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 7 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: This will be a big fail for the Euro if GFS is right. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Impressive system the middle of next week. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Crazy how much more exciting these GFS runs are than the EURO. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 New CPC forecast for December. Looks like an Andrew pattern. 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Phil said: New CPC forecast for December. Looks like an Andrew pattern. Who ordered just the tip? 1 2 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Crazy how much more exciting these GFS runs are than the EURO. It’s the GFS. That’s why. 1 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Liking the changes on the 18 vs 12 for the 9th. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Snownerd3000 said: Who ordered just the tip? Your.... Nevermind, that ones too easy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Just now, Phil said: It’s the GFS. That’s why. Oh I'm already prepared for our return to warm shietty reality starting at 10 PM tonight. 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said: Who ordered just the tip? Jim. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 It's why we love the GFS and hate the EURO. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z brings the cold sooner. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Looking at a week from Friday, looks like some Fraser Outflow up north. Chilly in the Willamette Valley with some sub-40 highs. 2 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 I wouldn't mind another December 2013 not a lot of snow but was fun for a couple of days. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 The fourth trough looks mighty dynamic trucking through Alaska toward PacNW on 18z on day 12-13 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 NWS going with a high of 50-55 for the Willamette Valley on Monday. At clear odds with the 18z GFS. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: NWS going with a high of 50-55 for the Willamette Valley on Monday. At clear odds with the 18z GFS. They'll change it. Still a week away. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 18z GEFS Day 6 (Past 4 runs) I love these trend with the Aleutian ridge, Kona low, and offshore ridge. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 If the trend with the GFS continues we'll end up with a ridge merger bit more positive tilt until the Aleutian ridge continues to move further east. Good things ahead! EURO soon to jump on board! C'MON! Ya gotta believe! 00z ECMWF in 6 hours 47 minutes 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Man look at the cold reload in Alaska. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Wow huge improvement on the Gefs 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 I feel like we're going into a pattern that will have plenty of chances for lowland snow in many different ways. Probably will be some cold onshore type of snow showers with a convergence zone. Also should have a good chance for a couple more wide-spread overrunning events with some Fraser outflow. The 18z has a bunch of lowland snow . 9 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I feel like we're going into a pattern that will have plenty of chances for lowland snow in many different ways. Probably will be some cold onshore type of snow showers with a convergence zone. Also should have a good chance for a couple more wide-spread overrunning events with some Fraser outflow. The 18z has a bunch of lowland snow . 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 4 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I feel like we're going into a pattern that will have plenty of chances for lowland snow in many different ways. Probably will be some cold onshore type of snow showers with a convergence zone. Also should have a good chance for a couple more wide-spread overrunning events with some Fraser outflow. The 18z has a bunch of lowland snow . Puget Sound region headed for a magical period to rival December 2008. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 DEvAstaTINg TrEnDZ 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 No complaints about the 18z... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 There’s been a bit of rain here today but not alot. 0.11” so far today and 9.72” this month. We need 0.18” to be the wettest S/O/N before midnight not sure if we will get there or not. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 21 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I feel like we're going into a pattern that will have plenty of chances for lowland snow in many different ways. Probably will be some cold onshore type of snow showers with a convergence zone. Also should have a good chance for a couple more wide-spread overrunning events with some Fraser outflow. The 18z has a bunch of lowland snow . Hopefully the TRENDZ continue in our favor. Haven’t had anything too remarkable in December for a long time now. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 Eight hours twenty seven minutes…… 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 5 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: DEvAstaTINg TrEnDZ Encouraging Trendz 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Eight hours twenty seven minutes…… #december2remember 2 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: #december2remember 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: lol we will see I’m still having PTSD from January 2020. Long way to go. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 30, 2021 Report Share Posted November 30, 2021 43 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 18z GEFS Day 6 (Past 4 runs) I love these trend with the Aleutian ridge, Kona low, and offshore ridge. Sometimes I look at the 250mb winds, which is pretty much the Jetstream. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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