Ice_is_Everywhere Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Well this would be FUN. I’ll believe it when I see it. Don’t have a lot of belief in GFS snow maps right now. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Requiem said: Doozy of a storm for Vancouver-- the gradient is real this year... still holding out some hope for February. Some years it just is. Watched it many times from afar when I lived in Seattle and Portland. Would be lying if I said it wasn’t a factor that motivated me to move north. At least you have some elevation. Some years Portland’s West Hills can really score. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Ice_is_Everywhere said: I’ll believe it when I see it. Don’t have a lot of belief in GFS snow maps right now. GFS has it easily cold enough to be snow up here, but the other models are not nearly so generous with the snow. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Day 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 @Brian_in_Leavenworth you are about to get absolutely buried. I was there last week and there was already a ton of snow. I know you have had at least one decent dump since then too. Going to be awesome checking out the webcams on Thursday. Enjoy. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 18 minutes ago, Hawksfan2008 said: Well this would be FUN. I’ve gone from 6 inches to 3 inches the last couple runs #bust 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Temp down to 32, pretty sure our roads will be a sheet of ice in the morning tomorrow again. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Only supposed to get another inch or two tonight in twisp but it’s coming down nicely right now 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Eagerly awaiting the arrival of that Fraser Valley outflow, still 35F here with light SW winds. It seems this might be one of those tight snow gradient scenarios, the Arctic air is arriving at just the right time to meet a Pacific storm. Places that end up near the boundary will see huge amounts of snow. Hope is sitting at 16F now with blasting outflow, this Fraser Valley airmass is plenty cold. 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 PM BLI-YWL -14.9mb Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 00z GFS kinda gives me mid December 2005 vibes.... 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Solid inversion this run 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: 00z GFS kinda gives me mid December 2005 vibes.... East wind/cold pool develops fairly early this run. I'll take it. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 41F with some light rain. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Salem has gotten nearly half of its January average precip in two days. There are huge puddles everywhere around here. Many of them several inches deep. Corvallis rain gauge does not seem to be working properly. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, DJ Droppin said: East wind/cold pool develops fairly early this run. I'll take it. Feels like forever since we've had a brisk northerly or easterly wind. It's almost all been from the south. One would think the other shoe has to drop at some point but it just doesn't seem to ever happen. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 4 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Solid inversion this run If we manage to hold on to some of our snow cover, an inversion could end up KOLD up this way. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Feels like forever since we've had a brisk northerly or easterly wind. It's almost all been from the south. One would think the other shoe has to drop at some point but it just doesn't seem to ever happen. Do you get any offshore flow down there through what would be it? Willamette Pass? or some other gaps? I honestly don't know. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Looking like a widespread event 6 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Do you get any offshore flow down there through what would be it? Willamette Pass? or some other gaps? I honestly don't know. Willamette Pass is alas pretty high. Nowhere near as good for outflow as Snoqualmie Pass. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Esquimalt Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 8 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: Eagerly awaiting the arrival of that Fraser Valley outflow, still 35F here with light SW winds. It seems this might be one of those tight snow gradient scenarios, the Arctic air is arriving at just the right time to meet a Pacific storm. Places that end up near the boundary will see huge amounts of snow. Hope is sitting at 16F now with blasting outflow, this Fraser Valley airmass is plenty cold. What are you expecting tomorrow? I was initially very bullish on this setup but everything except the gfs has pulled back significantly? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Do you get any offshore flow down there through what would be it? Willamette Pass? or some other gaps? I honestly don't know. Sometimes from the north and into the McKenzie Valley if it's a gap wind event or sometimes over the Belknap gap and down the McKenzie in CCG mountain wave events. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: East wind/cold pool develops fairly early this run. I'll take it. Would be the best looking inversion we've seen in years. Pretty strong Basin high and a deep cold pool developing (900mb or so). 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dhoffine Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Ok, total noobie question.. What chance could tomorrow night bust the “right” way and leave everyone under 6 inches of snow and no sign of stopping? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Sometimes from the north and into the McKenzie Valley if it's a gap wind event or sometimes over the Belknap gap and down the McKenzie in CCG mountain wave events. Would the Belknap gap be the one south of Three Sisters and west of Mt Bachelor and Elk Lake? Think the crest is about 5200’ there. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Pretty wild going from this: to this, in less than 24 hours, especially considering the above frame is right near the onset of the outflow. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, BLI snowman said: Would be the best looking inversion we've seen in years. Pretty strong Basin high and a deep cold pool developing (900mb or so). Crossing my fingers, toes, and the ever popular, yet rarely executed toes over fingers/fingers over toes. Whatever. You pick! 00z ECMWF in 58 minutes 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Would the Belknap gap be the one south of Three Sisters and west of Mt Bachelor and Elk Lake? Think the crest is about 5200’ there. Just to the north of the Sisters and just south of Santiam Pass. 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 7 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Looking like a widespread event Cliff wants you to know that the ground is too warm and accumulations will be less than total snowfall. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 3 minutes ago, Esquimalt said: What are you expecting tomorrow? I was initially very bullish on this setup but everything except the gfs has pulled back significantly? Overrunning events are usually a safe bet if they're coming from the SW and there's an actual Arctic airmass in place. The timing on this one will be tight though, it's really threading the needle in getting the Arctic air in place right before the system arrives. A slight deviation and there could be next to nothing in Victoria and over a foot just 20 miles north. All the ingredients for something major are there, should have a better idea going by tomorrow morning's temperatures. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Pivotal is slow at times Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, dhoffine said: Ok, total noobie question.. What chance could tomorrow night bust the “right” way and leave everyone under 6 inches of snow and no sign of stopping? None. This will be a classic overrunning warm front. The good news is the 0z GFS is more aggressive with the cold air early in the game. 5 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 21 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 00z GFS kinda gives me mid December 2005 vibes.... That would be great. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: None. This will be a classic overrunning warm front. The good news is the 0z GFS is more aggressive with the cold air early in the game. How you feeling, Jim ? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 9 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Crossing my fingers, toes, and the ever popular, yet rarely executed toes over fingers/fingers over toes. Whatever. You pick! 00z ECMWF in 58 minutes The ever popular mark?? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 Been switching back and forth between snow and rain in south/east Bellingham. Got lucky about an hour and a half ago, boss asked me to drive up to Ferndale to pick up some dough and it was DUMPING. Had about an inch or so covering everything. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 All sloppy snowflakes now, I drove up to my neighbors and it’s sticking to the road there. 33.2 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 1 minute ago, MossMan said: All sloppy snowflakes now, I drove up to my neighbors and it’s sticking to the road there. 33.2 Yep, 925s slowly cooling. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 5, 2022 Report Share Posted January 5, 2022 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: How you feeling, Jim ? Pretty decent. Getting less tired and stronger now. 7 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by MR.SNOWMIZER,
28 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.