Tyler Mode Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 I was hoping for an epic, whole sky on fire this morning with the cool asperatus clouds. Instead, just a very small area right around Mount Hood lit up with a wave like cloud cresting over the top from SW to NE. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Stevens Pass is nearing a week straight of being closed…Wow! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 12, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 35 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Thanks man, been a dream for 30 years, God I wish my wife could of been here for it. When I found out she had cancer I built our little cabin as fast as I could so she could at least enjoy that. I better stop talking about it, just kills me. She would have been D**n proud of you for pressing on and fulfilling your dream. You are honoring her memory by doing that. 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Partly sunny and 48 this morning temperatures have been interesting the last 24 hours we hit 54 around 6pm yesterday when light southerlies broke through, dropped into the 40s again, then hit mid-50s again overnight. Meanwhile just 3-4 miles away down closer to to Columbia River it has been in the mid-40s with east winds the whole time Drove down to the old Evergreen Highway last night and the car thermometer showed a close to ten degree gradient over a couple miles at one point Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 One of the most hideous GFS runs you will ever see in mid-winter. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 13 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: She would have been D**n proud of you for pressing on and fulfilling your dream. You are honoring her memory by doing that. Wow Brian thank you so much. That really makes me feel good man. 4 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Really some great people on here. 5 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: One of the most hideous GFS runs you will ever see in mid-winter. This is feeling like Jan 2019. I'd bet money February is going to rock. Probably start to see some good runs in a few days pop up. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 3.9" storm total. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 11 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: One of the most hideous GFS runs you will ever see in mid-winter. Can only get better?? Eh?? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 14 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: This is feeling like Jan 2019. I'd bet money February is going to rock. Probably start to see some good runs in a few days pop up. At least we had a good December leading up to this. Otherwise we'd be in a real funk. 4 Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 58 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: I haven't noticed any. It's 4k feet there so maybe there just not there? In the Sierra bad snakes stop at about 5k so I imagine they would be much lower in your region. Probably stop at 2500' - 3K? 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Picked up another 0.44” since midnight…up to 6.68” for January. 54 after a low of 53. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: Finally got house plans engineered and approved. Picked a bad time to build but whatever I guess. Can only afford to do foundation done this year then framing following year. Here it is. It was a plan I found and we just made some changes. I really like the concrete pad around the house. Added pic of where it will be built. We know where the next forum meet up will be now 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We know where the next forum meet up will be now Petition to name @MR.SNOWMIZER's new place "The Forum Penthouse"? 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 5 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We know where the next forum meet up will be now We need to a have a first forum meet up. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 hours ago, Phishy Wx said: BOOOOORRRING! Oh, I see that you discovered the magical month of January. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 lmao look at that polar jet at 60° north and that raging subtropical jet slamming into SoCal. literally an el niño pattern, full stop 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakerepp Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 (edited) 31 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: We know where the next forum meet up will be now Has there even been a forum meet up? Can't call it the 'next one' if there wasn't a 'first one'. Oh, Chris beat me to the punch here. Edited January 12, 2022 by jakerepp Derp Quote Home Weather Station Stats for 2023 High - Satans Bunghole Lowest High - Not sure Low - I don't have the data Sub 40 highs - Not quite Sub-freezing highs - Try again Lows below 25 - You're joking Lows below 20 - No 2023 Snowfall - LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 15 minutes ago, iFred said: We had one today in Everett. No one showed up. Nobody wants to go to Everett. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 18 minutes ago, iFred said: We had one today in Everett. No one showed up. I’ll probably be in Everett again in July. Party at your place? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 hour ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: This is feeling like Jan 2019. I'd bet money February is going to rock. Probably start to see some good runs in a few days pop up. I was just thinking it almost has to flip at some point, just hope it happens before March so everyone can get in on it. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 In August of 2012 something fundamentally changed about our summertime climate, and we haven't returned since. Wild. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 19 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: lmao look at that polar jet at 60° north and that raging subtropical jet slamming into SoCal. literally an el niño pattern, full stop One difference between this January and 2009 is the STJ. Otherwise it’s a remarkably similar evolution. Jan 2009 was frigid here but dry as a bone. This time around we might actually get snow. Never would have thought 2008/09 would be a viable analog but I stand massively corrected. 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 2 minutes ago, Phil said: One difference between this January and 2009 is the STJ. Otherwise it’s a remarkably similar evolution. Jan 2009 was frigid here but dry as a bone. This time around we might actually get snow. Never would have thought 2008/09 would be a viable analog but I stand massively corrected. January 2009 was not a blowtorch here though... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Signs of some kind of intra-decadal regime change? Reflecting back on this previous August, it seemed like the second half of the month felt oddly cool compared to any summer period in recent memory. Peeling over the data, that intuition was correct -- the second half of this most recent August (15th thru 31st) was the coldest such stretch since 2001. It's a bit of a cherrypick, and it may seem superstitious, but if the most recent regime shift occurred in August, then perhaps there is something to see here? Honestly, I'm just grasping at straws at this point. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: In August of 2012 something fundamentally changed about our summertime climate, and we haven't returned since. Wild. Trust me... I've noticed. The summers of 2013 and 2014 were actually really warm in Western Oregon, but they have been overshadowed by pretty much every subsequent summer. 2019 and 20 weren't horrible overall, though 2021 made up for it... 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said: Signs of some kind of intra-decadal regime change? Reflecting back on this previous August, it seemed like the second half of the month felt oddly cool compared to any summer period in recent memory. Peeling over the data, that intuition was correct -- the second half of this most recent August (15th thru 31st) was the coldest such stretch since 2001. It's a bit of a cherrypick, and it may seem superstitious, but if the most recent regime shift occurred in August, then perhaps there is something to see here? Honestly, I'm just grasping at straws at this point. We get cooler summers, but shitty late 90s-like winters. lol 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 9 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: In August of 2012 something fundamentally changed about our summertime climate, and we haven't returned since. Wild. The shift actually happened in January 2013. Hadley-Walker IR/G-ITCZ low pass was jolted by a massive subseasonal event (stemming from SSW) to a threshold crossing across frequencies. Basically a intra/interdecadal event along the lines of the great 1976 pacific climate shift, though expressed more thru warm pool/off-eq dynamics than well known ET EOFs like PDO. Looked like a typical, albeit high amplitude intraseasonal cycle at the time. Little did we know… 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Has anyone checked on Jim? 2 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: January 2009 was not a blowtorch here though... It was ridgy though. Slight tweaks in the pattern seem to make a significant difference up there. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: It was ridgy though. Slight tweaks in the pattern seem to make a significant difference up there. True and we had a mid-month inversion, I remember temps in the foothills and Cascades were very warm, but it wasn't to warm in the valley. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Trust me... I've noticed. The summers of 2013 and 2014 were actually really warm in Western Oregon, but they have been overshadowed by pretty much every subsequent summer. 2019 and 20 weren't horrible overall, though 2021 made up for it... It's just odd to me. Did we reach a "tipping point" due to AGW? Was there some physical boundary that we surpassed, some macroscale manifestation of the decades-long cumulative changes in the microchemistry and viscosity of marine layers? Even the summer of 2019, which was dominated by weak troughing, is still scores warmer than a vast pool of summers when historically ranked. It feels like an obvious and drastic fundamental shift in the structure of marine layers; their depth, strength, forward motion, tendancy to burn off, ect. Phil will probably chime in telling me that this is all a bit rash, and that I'm being short-sighted. Maybe he's right.... Maybe I'm just blinded by recency bias. Perhaps we'll be looking back in a decade after a string of genuinely cool summers, worrying about a softer, smoother upwards trendline. After all, before this December, I was doubting whether my location would ever see a sub-25°F high ever again. But what I can say for certain is that something changed recently, and it's quite obvious. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 12 minutes ago, Phil said: The shift actually happened in January 2013. Hadley-Walker IR/G-ITCZ low pass was jolted by a massive subseasonal event (stemming from SSW) to a threshold crossing across frequencies. Basically a intra/interdecadal event along the lines of the great 1976 pacific climate shift, though expressed more thru warm pool/off-eq dynamics than well known ET EOFs like PDO. Looked like a typical, albeit high amplitude intraseasonal cycle at the time. Little did we know… I say August 2012 because that was the first month in which ridging became the default pattern mode. That month came in above normal. It continued into September of that year, then every summer month since... Funnily enough I actually enjoyed it. June/July of that year were quite sad for watersports. 'Little did we know' indeed... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 That rapid, sudden change is not evident during the winter. Other than a gradual 1-2°F rise, there hasn't been a major change in our (average) winter temperatures, at least in the same way we've seen summer temperatures change. Affinity for Arctic air is another story... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 Euro looks drier next week than last nights run. Gfs is the slightly wetter one now but either run is a lot drier than what we’ve been seeing recently. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 12, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 32 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Has anyone checked on Jim? I take that as a no Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 18 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: It's just odd to me. Did we reach a "tipping point" due to AGW? Was there some physical boundary that we surpassed, some macroscale manifestation of the decades-long cumulative changes in the microchemistry and viscosity of marine layers? Even the summer of 2019, which was dominated by weak troughing, is still scores warmer than a vast pool of summers when historically ranked. It feels like an obvious and drastic fundamental shift in the structure of marine layers; their depth, strength, forward motion, tendancy to burn off, ect. Phil will probably chime in telling me that this is all a bit rash, and that I'm being short-sighted. Maybe he's right.... Maybe I'm just blinded by recency bias. Perhaps we'll be looking back in a decade after a string of genuinely cool summers, worrying about a softer, smoother upwards trendline. After all, before this December, I was doubting whether my location would ever see a sub-25°F high ever again. But what I can say for certain is that something changed recently, and it's quite obvious. Yeah, I think the shift is AGW related, and it began even earlier. Just the cooler summers of 2010-12 masked it a bit. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 12, 2022 Report Share Posted January 12, 2022 7 minutes ago, The Blob said: I take that as a no He’s fine lol. There’s not much for him to even try and extrapolate on the models right now. 1 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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