Wasn’t May 1993 ridgy out there too?
Then again, both 1983 and 1993 are crappy analogs because they retained clean niño elements into/through the summer, unlike this year (residual niño LF signal is already imploding and will likely be gone entirely by the solstice).
So a ridgy May this year doesn’t indicate the same thing about the system state that it did in ‘83 and ‘93.
I wonder if all that smoke/soot last summer might’ve served as CCN to some degree? The thunderstorms last summer were very intense..we met/exceeded severe criteria in terms of wind and/or hail more than a dozen times, which hasn’t happened since 2014. Even had hail in September, for the first time in my life.
Though it could’ve just been the troughy niño pattern (2014 was also the last summer with that degree of troughing). Still an interesting thought experiment, though.
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