If anyone else wants to make fun of, dismiss, or insult those with disabilities, then go ahead and tell one of us. We'd be happy to streamline this process instead of having to wait until you say some stupid BS.
Outpost wants to talk about this hitting close to home? Well he has no idea how close it hits to home for me, and likely most others on this forum and alive on earth.
With the shift across guidance, has come a more niña-like regime (projected) in tropical forcing. Still dominated by MJO/subseasonal conponents, but no hints of that niño-like LF signal near the dateline anymore.
It’s still relatively early, but perhaps the upcoming gyration in the pattern will mark the end of residual niño elements to the system state, and the onset of more systematic -ENSO tendency.
Which would be unfortunate for CA/SW US, though hopefully the last 2yrs have offerred some degree of insurance.
If there’s any saving grace for them, it’s that we don’t have that ridiculously wide & poleward WHEM-NPAC ITCZ/HC system that we saw in 2021 and 2022 (and 2017), so we *should* avoid that beastly, north-shifted 4CH pattern that roasted the SW/Interior West without relent. But I doubt it’ll be enough to avoid widespread above normal departures just about everywhere.
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