On a personal note.... being in the pool is the first time I can walk and feel normal since February. Unfortunately I still need crutches when I get out. But I am able to put weight on bad leg now and use crutches more for balance. My PT guy last week said he wanted me to go the public pool in NB or Issaquah for walking exercises and I said I can do even better than that being Charleston.
This niño definitely isn’t collapsing the way 1998 did. Cold tongue is more pronounced like 1973 and 1988.
Overall, 2010 is still the best global SSTA match.
Note how 1998 still had the raging EPAC warm anomaly (and maintained it into the summer). So I think the LF signature of tropical forcing will be displaced into the E-Hem as the niña establishes (relatively speaking).
Yeah Atlantic influence actually helps at this time of year. Water temps similar to late Nov at this point in the seasonal cycle.
That script flips completely by midsummer, though.
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