Kayla Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 12z EPS continues to be further east with the clipper. Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 6 minutes ago, Kayla said: 12z EPS continues to be further east with the clipper. but it has moved towards OP vs 00z run 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: but it has moved towards OP vs 00z run Not sure it means anything... but the 12Z control run shifted way east compared to its 00Z run. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: but it has moved towards OP vs 00z run It’s a little deeper with the trough but not further west compared to the 00z EPS. 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 @kayla do you think most of glacier would be closed when this clipper passed through? Looks like a decent snow up there just curious. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Just hit 60 here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 PDX still in the… 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: @kayla do you think most of glacier would be closed when this clipper passed through? Looks like a decent snow up there just curious. Normally most things close by the third week of October in Glacier but this system would probably be enough to close things a little earlier. Of course this system is still a big IF with a lot of model spread so its a bit too early to call at this point. Sounds like it could be a fun trip if things stay open though! Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 1 minute ago, Kayla said: Normally most things close by the third week of October in Glacier but this system would probably be enough to close things a little earlier. Of course this system is still a big IF with a lot of model spread so its a bit too early to call at this point. Sounds like it could be a fun trip if things stay open though! Yeah I’m kinda thinking things might be closed by the time I show up on the 11th if the euros right. I already see the west entrance past Apgar is closed. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 I've been through every big quake in SoCal since the 1990s. One thing I don't like about having kids is that I get earthquake sickness now. I discovered that after the 2019 Ridgecrest quake, I spent about 2 months of being perpetually dizzy. I can't drive the PIT at work sometimes because going over the dock plate triggers it. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 1 hour ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: And this is all after the hottest week ever in July, the hottest month ever in August, and the hottest September ever. The cold equivalent in the winter seems incomprehensibly ridiculously impossible. In fact, any single one of those record equivalents does. Yeah coldest month ever seems absolutely impossible. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 The Nisqually quake is the only quake I’ve actually felt and that was in Omak. Room just started rotating in little circles. The Mt. Angel quake in 1993 woke me up at the coast but I didn’t actually feel it. It snowed less than two months before that particular quake. Hmmm… Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Not sure it means anything... but the 12Z control run shifted way east compared to its 00Z run. Yeah that’s a huge red flag. When the control run and OP are in disagreement like that, the EPS mean usually ends up correct. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 32 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Yeah I’m kinda thinking things might be closed by the time I show up on the 11th if the euros right. I already see the west entrance past Apgar is closed. That's for construction. You can still access Logan Pass from the St. Mary side. I love that park in the fall, even if it is raining and snowing. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Sunny and almost to 70 out here... but still much cooler than yesterday due to increased marine influence. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 8 minutes ago, Tyler Mode said: That's for construction. You can still access Logan Pass from the St. Mary side. I love that park in the fall, even if it is raining and snowing. Yeah but I’d imagine the east entrance would be closed if that snowstorm passes through. It’d be right around the time I’m showing up there on the 11th if I go. I’m going to wait a couple days to see what the weathers looking like. Kinda thinking the backup plan might be Yellowstone. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Lots of EPS members look like the OP or between Control and OP. A few with the Control, others that dont do squat. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 15 hours ago, joelgombiner said: Soil moisture anomalies, October 2, 2022. Dry country. I'm in the green. Don't hate. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Currently 79F and sunny. Not bad at all outside. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 60 and cloudy here but it’s looking like the suns going to break through soon. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Full run 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Just now, RentonHillTC said: Full run GEFS for comparison 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 I just want to go sit outside and drink beer. can't let this augtober go to waste 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 And we have hit 70F in Springfield. Another beautiful summer day!! 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Will Portland break the 70 and above streak today? The 50 and above streak for lows will live on much longer. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 80 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 22 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: Will Portland break the 70 and above streak today? The 50 and above streak for lows will live on much longer. That's what makes this such a bitter pill to swallow for so many. If we were spitting out 81/38 days at HIO it would be a lot more FUN. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Finally hit 70 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 60F today, super foggy mixed with smoke. No sunshine today, just socked in with fog. Smoke is helping the water vapors cling to the smoke particles and making it hard to clear up. It's been a blessing though because it was wet and made the ground, leaves, grass, everything wet. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 4, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 66 here so 70 looks unlikely. Hazy out again. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 The 18z GFS gives Portland 80 or better 12 out of the next 15 days. I don’t know if I should laugh or cry. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 4 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: The 18z GFS gives Portland 80 or better 12 out of the next 15 days. I don’t know if I should laugh or cry. Won't happen... inversion season is approaching. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 5 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: The 18z GFS gives Portland 80 or better 12 out of the next 15 days. I don’t know if I should laugh or cry. At this point I would be weeping and moving to Alaska. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Only 65 at PDX so far, probably won't make it to 70. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Much cooler day here today, and there was some pretty thick fog this morning. Only 64 right now. The difference between the ECMWF and GFS is the way the models handle the emergence of the MJO wave. Once the wave is going strong the models should have a bit more an idea how things will evolve. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 AccuWeather Winter Outlook https://www.accuweather.com/en/winter-weather/accuweather-2022-2023-us-winter-forecast/1252283 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 2 2 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 Just now, ChrisAmunRA said: Snowy periods in Minnesota... really going out on a limb there! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 1 minute ago, ChrisAmunRA said: Basically a conventional La Niña forecast. The rub is, I am not expecting a standard La Niña winter (we are already seeing weather that is solidly outside standard La Niña conditions). 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 4, 2022 Report Share Posted October 4, 2022 23 minutes ago, Joshua Lake Oswego said: The 18z GFS gives Portland 80 or better 12 out of the next 15 days. I don’t know if I should laugh or cry. I'd bet a $100 that won't happen. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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