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November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember


Iceresistance

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It's beginning to appear we might transition straight from -EPO to -PNA.  Might not be much of a window for warm rain in there.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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Currently 22F. Glad to be back home after driving through a very foggy/low visibility Hwy 95 in Idaho.

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Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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2 minutes ago, Winterdog said:

Just popped up to 29, it looks like some high clouds moving in from the northwest on the satellite view

That might cut back on potential mins a bit tonight.  The models show them really thinning out by the time they reach the Seattle area.  Tomorrow night looks totally clear throughout.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

36F here.  Might not freeze tonight at this pace.

Speak Metric to me.

Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA:

2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches

HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24.

Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24

Days with  trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T)

First Freeze: 10/27/2023

Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24)

Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24)

Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground)

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1 hour ago, Nov1985 said:

Just thought I would add to the cheer here. 🤣

 

chrome_pgRwzsvDrU.png

It shows it getting wetter though.  From what I can tell the warm rain window might be short though.  Already signs of new blocking building further off the coast late in week 2.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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The ECMWF indicates a couple of pretty chilly inversion days after we get brushed by the cold shot going east of us.

  • Shivering 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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10 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

Ah, sweet salvation upon us. Little blue dot, we are thy blood and flesh and you make upon us the wetness of the season. As you make yourself upon us we shall receive your sweet blessings freshly upon our face as we forgive those who trespass against us. 

ECE692F4-9F0A-40DB-A266-0947F8E1AAEF.png

So how many joints did you smoke tonight?

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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16 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

+2.4C currently. Temp is rising. 

You will probably set your low for tomorrow in the evening.  

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said:

Ah, sweet salvation upon us. Little blue dot, we are thy blood and flesh and you make upon us the wetness of the season. As you make yourself upon us we shall receive your sweet blessings freshly upon our face as we forgive those who trespass against us. 

ECE692F4-9F0A-40DB-A266-0947F8E1AAEF.png

Thanksgiving Eve Gale

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I've crunched the numbers back to 1980 and SEA came in with the second coldest first third of November since then and 2003 was the coldest.  Looks like they have a real shot at coming in for coldest first half.  The only real competition are 1985, 2000,and 2003.  So back to 1980 the coldest three for coldest first 10 days are.

1. 2003 = 41.6

2. 2022 = 42.5

3. 2017 = 43.6

The coldest 3 for first half are.

2003 = 43.2

1985 = 43.4

2000 = 43.4

I checked 1955 and it came in with 38.2 for the first half.

I plan on looking at everything back to 1950 in the coming days.

 

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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A chilly 28 here now.  Having nights with temps below freezing for 10 or more hours this time of year is definitely cold.  People are trying to compare this to a winter cold snap and it's not realistic to do so.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2023-24 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 1.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1

Total Hail = 0.0

Total Ice = 0.2

Coldest Low = 13

Lows 32 or below = 45

Highs 32 or below = 3

Lows 20 or below = 3

Highs 40 or below = 9

 

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3 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Hit 32 right at sunrise to log another freeze this morning.

Pretty crazy that 10/13 days have had freezes at BLI so far this month. Down here due to a little more persistent cloudiness and lack of outflow, we've only had 4. I'm usually pretty close to Bellingham with respect to low temperatures, but only 36F this morning and cloudy.

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Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 8.0"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 

2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16)

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57 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said:

Pretty crazy that 10/13 days have had freezes at BLI so far this month. Down here due to a little more persistent cloudiness and lack of outflow, we've only had 4. I'm usually pretty close to Bellingham with respect to low temperatures, but only 36F this morning and cloudy.

Similar over here. Cloudy and 40F this morning.  Shawnigan Lake official has had only 3 freezes this month.  I think I have had a couple more though.  November is still running -4.7F to date though. So fairly chilly 🥶 

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