November 2022 PNW weather Discussion. #NoRidgeNovember

[TT-SEA]

Was cloudy for a little while late this afternoon but the sky has cleared now and temp is dropping.   ECMWF shows more clouds overnight keeping the temps up a bit.    But tomorrow night should be a hard freeze out here.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This would of been a very snowy event if more cold air had mixed in.

[jakerepp]

1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This would of been a very snowy event if more cold air had mixed in.

Or a month from now.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Some wet snow and 37

in Sublimity. About to head up the hill…

[bainbridgekid]

34/17 and snowing with a NE wind gusting to 41 mph at BLI. Not bad for 5 PM in early November.

[TT-SEA]

4 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

34/17 and snowing with a NE wind gusting to 41 mph at BLI. Not bad for 5 PM in early November.

Amazing how well defined and localized it is up there.   North wind continues up there tomorrow but temp still gets into low 40s per ECMWF.  

 

[TacomaWx]

It’s marginal setups like these that make me wish I lived somewhere that does better in marginal events. It’s very early in the season though not winter yet get the feeling something good will happen in a few weeks. 

[TacomaWx]

After tonight probably no rainfall coming for ~10 days it looks like. Looks pretty chilly though for the 1st half of November…especially if the euros right about a backdoor blast potentially in the long range. I’m sure the final 1/3rd of November is gonna have a solidly wet pattern set up. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

It has been pretty wet down this way. SLE is now at 5.06" on the month. I bet after today I will be over 8" of precip, November average is 10.16". Great stretch. 

Your post earlier got me to thinking Andrew. With the flakes in the air last night, and the historic April 11th snowstorm earlier this year, this was probably one of the shortest seasons ever without at least having snow in the air. Which is kind of crazy considering the July-October we had.

[Meatyorologist]

A dry spell could help with grass regrowth. I've just noticed new buds poking up this last week, but otherwise it's pretty brown still. Some sunny weather would really push ahead the process.

[Cascadia_Wx]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

A dry spell could help with grass regrowth. I've just noticed new buds poking up this last week, but otherwise it's pretty brown still. Some sunny weather would really push ahead the process.

Freezes at night could cancel out the affects of more sun, which is pretty weak at this point. Normal for things to start going dormant in November.

[stargazer82a]

First snow flakes of the season falling in the Silverdale area. Rain snow mix in town. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

A dry spell could help with grass regrowth. I've just noticed new buds poking up this last week, but otherwise it's pretty brown still. Some sunny weather would really push ahead the process.

I was thinking the opposite... freezing nights will probably keep the grass in dormancy.    It would probably take some warm AR events to turn the grass green at the point.  

[Gradient Keeper]

Be honest, just three weeks ago who would have said that by early November we would have already seen lowland snow/mix, significant snows in the Cascades, an atmospheric river with big rains, a big, damaging wind storm(relatively localized) with over 350,000 without power, t-storms, a few cold air funnels, a few weak tornadoes, and soon a cold pool to develop. I would not have seen that coming. Well, perhaps two-three of those things the atmospheric river, t-storms, and cold air funnel, but definitely not the wind storm, cold pattern, lowland snow, and cold pool to come! This by all accounts in my book has already been a memorable Fall! This Winter is going to be incredible. The Great White Arctic Winter of 2022/2023(c)Rob 2022! C'MON!!!!

[Cloud]

BOOM…  ️ 

right on top of me. 

[Phishy Wx]

awesome snow squall in progress dropped about 1/2" in 15 min

 

even looks like a little meso low forming on radar over Spokane Valley

[Skagit Weather]

38F and rain currently. I don't think it will be quite cold enough or we will have heavy enough precip for snow up here, but it will be close. 925mb temps look to be just below 0.

It only topped out at 41F today which was pretty close to my lowest temperature of the season a couple weeks ago. How things have changed...

[GHweatherChris]

7 hours ago, GHweatherChris said:

Lol, almost 8" of snow for Aberdeen by 4 PM tomorrow huh...?  Ya, no.

We did get some moist snowflakes today though for a little bit.

[Olive1010]

Hey guys, do you guys think Portland Oregon will get snow or freezing rain in the next 125 hours from now? 

[selkirks]

*VERY* heavy shower right now over me near Ravenna.

[Olive1010]

I've been looking at a couple of models and GFS says we could get some snow or freezing rain in the night of Friday-Morning on Saturday. What do you guys think?

[runninthruda206]

1 minute ago, selkirks said:

*VERY* heavy shower right now over me near Ravenna.

Same in Fremont!

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The northern Olympic peninsula is going to get slammed tonight.  Already snowing around port Angeles.  Light snow and 33 at my place. 

[HuskyMaestro]

41 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

It’s marginal setups like these that make me wish I lived somewhere that does better in marginal events. It’s very early in the season though not winter yet get the feeling something good will happen in a few weeks. 

I feel this so hard, the immediate Tacoma area just feels like it gets snubbed a lot from snow over the years. And if we get snow, other areas get 4 inches more. Maybe cause it’s surrounded by more water on three sides? Probably why it’s addicting for me to look at new houses in North Bend or even Omak/Colville on Redfin lol.

[Phishy Wx]

don't see this every day

 

[Olive1010]

Portland might get snow Sunday 06z

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

More moisture is pushing inland from that low, maybe 1-2 inches In some favorable places tonight.  I wouldn't be surprised to see 3-6 inches on the northern Olympic peninsula  

[Olive1010]

This look like a good wet snow sounding to you guys?

[T-Town]

4 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

I feel this so hard, the immediate Tacoma area just feels like it gets snubbed a lot from snow over the years. And if we get snow, other areas get 4 inches more. Maybe cause it’s surrounded by more water on three sides? Probably why it’s addicting for me to look at new houses in North Bend or even Omak/Colville on Redfin lol.

There’s a price for living in God’s country. God doesn’t like snow all that much. 

[Skagit Weather]

Couple of snowflakes mixing in now based on the flashlight test and 37F. Definitely not going to be as impressive as 2017 up here where we got a couple inches of snow, but nice to see.

[SnowWillarrive]

7 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

don't see this every day

 

Looks fake 

[Meatyorologist]

Heavy rain and hail at the house. Watching for lightning outside.

[SnowWillarrive]

10 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

I feel this so hard, the immediate Tacoma area just feels like it gets snubbed a lot from snow over the years. And if we get snow, other areas get 4 inches more. Maybe cause it’s surrounded by more water on three sides? Probably why it’s addicting for me to look at new houses in North Bend or even Omak/Colville on Redfin lol.

I’d imagine the immediate Tacoma area near Puget Sound is one of the worst spots for snow in the Puget Sound area. 

[TacomaWx]

18 minutes ago, Olive1010 said:

I've been looking at a couple of models and GFS says we could get some snow or freezing rain in the night of Friday-Morning on Saturday. What do you guys think?

I’d bet against getting snow/freezing rain. 

[Olive1010]

2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

I’d bet against getting snow/freezing rain. 

For Portland Oregon

[TacomaWx]

15 minutes ago, HuskyMaestro said:

I feel this so hard, the immediate Tacoma area just feels like it gets snubbed a lot from snow over the years. And if we get snow, other areas get 4 inches more. Maybe cause it’s surrounded by more water on three sides? Probably why it’s addicting for me to look at new houses in North Bend or even Omak/Colville on Redfin lol.

Yeah it’s just being close to the Puget sound mainly…also usually too far south for the convergence zone. We’ve actually gotten plastered with snow the last several years we just don’t do great in marginal situations. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Omg that was an intense drive home. That snow band dropped another 3” of snow. 

[TacomaWx]

2 minutes ago, Olive1010 said:

For Portland Oregon

Yeah I understand…it’s the gfs though which usually overdoes cold air. It hasn’t been great with this round of cold consistently been too cold with upper air temps and surface temps. 

[Olive1010]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Yeah I understand…it’s the gfs though which usually overdoes cold air. It hasn’t been great with this round of cold consistently been too cold with upper air temps and surface temps. 

Yeah, I was just hoping for snow or some type of icy precip because we didn't get any yesterday...

[Olive1010]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Omg that was an intense drive home. That snow band dropped another 3” of snow. 

wait what right now?