umadbro Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 46 minutes ago, Olive1010 said: So what are the chances here? Because wouldn't the NWS be mentioning it? You gotta start absorbing the information. 3 https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 20 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Corvallis and Eugene pulled out highs of 37 today. Yeah, it was technically “fake cold” but it was properly chilly and wintry and helping us get a cold monthly average either way. No, we’re actually under a trough right now. Upper levels are cool as well. I believe 850s are -2 to -3 or so at the moment. 3 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 46 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I'm sure frustrated by this muck that has settled in here. Really ruining the low temps in this area. 33 degree rain pissing on my snow right now 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: No, we’re actually under a trough right now. Upper levels are cool as well. I believe 850s are -2 to -3 or so at the moment. Yeah -2.5c PDX 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 49 minutes ago, Olive1010 said: So what are the chances here? Because wouldn't the NWS be mentioning it? The south sound got smacked and the NWS was quiet until 3 hours into the event. Listen to and trust Gradient, Meatyerologist (I can't spell), Phil, Tim and Jim for odds. Only trust Jim if everyone else is on board though, he is the most optimistic of us all. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 4 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 26 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said: The ICON also shows a much nicer track for the low than the GFS next Saturday. It comes ashore just south of the Olympics. Yep. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 If you believe 10:1 ratio, some snow Friday. Super marginal though 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: No, we’re actually under a trough right now. Upper levels are cool as well. I believe 850s are -2 to -3 or so at the moment. The inversion definitely helped the central and south valley stay cold, though. HIO got into the mid-40s. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: The south sound got smacked and the NWS was quiet until 3 hours into the event. Listen to and trust Gradient, Meatyerologist (I can't spell), Phil, Tim and Jim for odds. Only trust Jim if everyone else is on board though, he is the most optimistic of us all. I'd add Dewey and BLIsnowman to that list as well-- particularly relevant to the PDX area. 3 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Hour 99, things still look good. Arctic air sliding south through BC 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Hour 99, things still look good. Arctic air sliding south through BC Snow incoming. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 5 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Which one is correct.... 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 5 850s still look good. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gummy Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Just now, Weiner Warrior said: Which one is correct.... A mix of both. Trace to 2 inches of slushy 33 degree snow for those south of Shoreline and below 400 feet. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 9 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: The inversion definitely helped the central and south valley stay cold, though. HIO got into the mid-40s. Sun. 1 Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 6 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 6 850s 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Day 6 850s A lot deeper too. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Thank the ridge bridge for the success of this ECMWF run! 7 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 That split block scenario seems to be locking in. Really odd pattern, but it works. 6 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Ridge bridge coming? 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OysterPrintout Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 28 minutes ago, smerfylicious said: The south sound got smacked and the NWS was quiet until 3 hours into the event. Listen to and trust Gradient, Meatyerologist (I can't spell), Phil, Tim and Jim for odds. Only trust Jim if everyone else is on board though, he is the most optimistic of us all. I think most reasonable folks here would agree NWS might miss on some of the micro features that we might all analyze to death but generally speaking they are talented professionals not outclassed by even the best of the weather forum elite. 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnarkyGoblin Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Not quite as cold this run but solid nonetheless. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Highs Sunday and Monday in the mid 30s 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weiner Warrior Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 BOOM 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Marginal and weak describes the winter so far. 2 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Best frame of the run……. 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Day 9'er Weird looking high pressure complex over Canada and the Arctic. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 A big drop off from the 12Z. Nothing to see here. Too bad the GFS is a total clown show. 32 and cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: Best frame of the run……. And it still sucks. Phantom snow for Seattle and rain for PDX. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 PDX sees a marginal event again. Decent CAA with those strong east winds. Looks good east of I-205 and a definite Winter Storm for the Gorge. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er Weird looking high pressure complex over Canada and the Arctic. Looks like the block is trying to hitch hike 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeepFriedEgg Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 Eye-bleed inducing low tracks. 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Poulsbo Snowman Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er Weird looking high pressure complex over Canada and the Arctic. Looks like the Day After Tomorrow. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted December 6, 2022 Report Share Posted December 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, DeepFriedEgg said: And it still sucks. Phantom snow for Seattle and rain for PDX. Yeah not really. Dew points look good 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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