Cloud Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 4 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Starting to look like an all time warm January is well within our grasp. Up here, at SEA we flipped from a -3.2 in Dec... (the last few days really ruined it) to now a +3 for Jan. up to date. We torching! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Interesting... we had lots of drizzle and 40s last spring and you said that was normal spring weather. Not in the way you meant it earlier. 12" of wet 33 degree snow is springlike here too. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not in the way you meant it earlier. 12" of wet 33 degree snow is springlike here too. Yep. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 6 minutes ago, Cloud said: Up here, at SEA we flipped from a -3.2 in Dec... (the last few days really ruined it) to now a +3 for Jan. up to date. We torching! Yeah, BLI will have an average high for the month of 50.5F after today which is the average high for the first couple days of March. That's +5.3F for the high and Bellingham might end up having ten 50F+ days in a row by Saturday. It's not the warmest start to the year recorded (it only barely breaks into the top 10, 1994 was the warmest), but it certainly hasn't felt winter-like. Here I still haven't seen any frost yet (coldest temp was 34F). 4 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: They sure are hardy! I suspect ours are poking up now as well... will have to go check. When I lived in the Rockies, I saw emerging bulbs survive some incredibly cold temperatures. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 46 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: I will end up above average for the season IMBY even if so much as another flake fails to fall. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Did a midwinter round of pressure washing today. There is no analog for this. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 RIP to Phil 4 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: RIP to Phil OMG 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Special Weather Statement! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: RIP to Phil Yay! Oh I mean sorry Phil 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Portlandish special 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Portlandish special Longview is the new Portland. 1 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 31 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: OMG Torching in the mid-Atlantic region is almost as good as an arctic blast in this region. 2 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 The mid-range isn't a total disaster. We have that at least. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 40 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yay! Oh I mean sorry Phil Haha, all good. I’ll get the last laugh when we transition into a multiyear El Niño base state. 2 1 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Torching in the mid-Atlantic region is almost as good as an arctic blast in this region. Sadistic bastard. lol 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 10, 2023 Report Share Posted January 10, 2023 Our last multi-year Nino was 2018-2020. We could have certainly done a lot worse during that period. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 13 minutes ago, Phil said: Sadistic bastard. lol As you just said: Quote Haha, all good. I’ll get the last laugh when we transition into a multiyear El Niño base state. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 13 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Our last multi-year Nino was 2018-2020. We could have certainly done a lot worse during that period. February 2019 was on the snowy side on Bainbridge Island. 1 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Our last multi-year Nino was 2018-2020. We could have certainly done a lot worse during that period. Yeah, 18-20 was the tail end of the IPWP extension that initiated in 2013 (and ended in 2020). Analogous to 06 & 07 during the previous cycle. They’re interesting times. Which BTW is why it was obvious to me that the early 2020s would be dominated by La Niña, as 2008-12 was (though each cycle is a bit different, spatiotemporally speaking). Given where the solar cycle is, we’re currently somewhere analogous to the 2010/11 or 2011/12 portion of the last IPWP retraction. The ongoing move to solar maximum is happening much faster than the previous cycle (probably with a higher maximum too), so it’ll likely be a quicker flip into a bonafide El Niño, instead of the slow build into the El Niño regime we saw from 2012/13 to 2015/16. Both the 1976 and 2013 IPWP responses were muted and failed to culminate in bonafide El Niños because their respective solar cycles were weaker w/ respect to the prior cycle. However, both did trigger large scale inter/intra-decadal climate shifts, and the change in weather patterns was very evident. Will be interesting to see how the next IPWP extension plays out. We’re only a year or two away now. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 This January will go down as worse than 2006. 1 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: February 2019 was on the snowy side on Bainbridge Island. We had 52.2" here that month. Solid snow pack from February 3rd thought the end of March. We had a few days with heavy rain in mid-February, but it just packed the existing snow down to about 10" and formed a nice base for what fell over the next few weeks. We had a five week period where we would see accumulating snow on average about 5 days during the week. During the middle of February we were right on the dividing line between rain and snow, with a lot of the snow falling during the daytime with temps slightly above freezing. On the 17th we had 6" of snow on 1.75" of precip. If temps had been just a little colder we would have easily hit 65-70" on the month. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 This pattern SUCKS! Can't even manage a low below 40 right now. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: This pattern SUCKS! Can't even manage a low below 40 right now. Need to go down to the South Valley banana belt for a low of 29 this morning. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: This pattern SUCKS! Can't even manage a low below 40 right now. Wait until a CLEAR night where the temperature stays above 40°F. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Need to go down to the South Valley banana belt for a low of 29 this morning. Low of 43°F IMBY. South-north gradient! 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 18 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Need to go down to the South Valley banana belt for a low of 29 this morning. Not worth it. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Boring weather but a nice sunset. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Not worth it. Well they're the only ones with a 19/-10 day this century in W WA or OR. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 12 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Wait until a CLEAR night where the temperature stays above 40°F. Tonight may do that. It's the blasted wind here. When I saw the models a week to 10 days ago I knew this was going to be a terrible pattern to be able to pull off decoupling on the few occasions it manages to clear out. I just can't figure out why and how January manages to keep doing this to us. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Just now, Doinko said: Well they're the only ones with a 19/-10 day this century in W WA or OR. Yeah....but the price has been way too high since then. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 This is absolutely wild, especially for a Nina winter. And storms in CA look to continue for at least another week. 7 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 36 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: This January will go down as worse than 2006. I think the last half could come in average or slightly below. Big whoop even at that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Models are pretty uninspiring, but we do have a major MJO wave developing so that is likely to shake things up soon. Just give me anything other than this current pattern. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post AlTahoe Posted January 11, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Time to cheer you guys up. Deepest snow pack I have had this early into a season. picked up another 14" today since 8am. another 4 feet forecast by the end of next week. 9 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 4 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Time to cheer you guys up. Deepest snow pack I have had this early into a season. picked up another 14" today since 8am. another 4 feet forecast by the end of next week. Nice! You really need a good snow year down your way! 4 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Awesome sunset as I am leaving work. The pic does not do it justice. 6 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 Just now, MossMan said: Awesome sunset as I am leaving work. The pic does not do it justice. reminds me of California 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 11, 2023 Report Share Posted January 11, 2023 6 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: reminds me of California So do these temps! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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