Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 49.4°F. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Not a bad GFS run in the 8-10 day range! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 11 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Indeed. I've commented a few times about how Winthrop has some of the highest annul snow to water equivalent ratios anywhere in the country. Really? I would guess that any number of towns in the Rockies would do much better. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 36 and a rain shower. raw Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Right around the first looks like prime time for the real deal. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, Phishy Wx said: 36 and a rain shower. raw 52 and sprinkles here... feels like early spring. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: 36 and a rain shower. raw we've had an inch+ at our place in twisp in the last 24 hours. That on top of 3 feet of snow on the ground.....trouble Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: we've had an inch+ at our place in twisp in the last 24 hours. That on top of 3 feet of snow on the ground.....trouble we just had 1.5" on rain on top of our 4' snow pack with another 1-3' of heavy wet snow coming in tomorrow. If the predicted break in the weather for late next week does not materialize I will need to get on the roof and shovel at some point. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, AlTahoe said: we just had 1.5" on rain on top of our 4' snow pack with another 1-3' of heavy wet snow coming in tomorrow. If the predicted break in the weather for late next week does not materialize I will need to get on the roof and shovel at some point. well thats nice that you should be able to just walk up the snowbank to get up there lol 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
joelgombiner Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 35 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Back home now, we were there December 28 through January 7. Yeah it’s interesting. We took a trip to the east side of the island at one point (town called Hofn) which is more affected by the Gulf Stream than the Greenland current, and there was much less snow at sea level. That area apparently gets tons of rain though which translates to huge glaciers in the higher elevations. Vatnajokull is on that side of the island, which is the largest continental ice sheet in Europe outside of the Russian arctic. Kind of reminded me of a colder version of an Olympic Peninsula climate over there, minus any trees at all. Vatnajokull is also known for producing massive outburst floods when the volcano under it called Grimsvotn erupts. Such a dynamic place. 1 Quote Useful weather links Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 55 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: My wife stayed in Mt. Shasta, CA last night, looks like they have some snow on the ground, not a bad climate. They are headed down to Sacramento for a wedding this evening. Was supposed to go with them, but didn't actually take the day off and then had some meetings get scheduled for today at the last minute. https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mount_Shasta,_California#Climate They've already had over 9" of precip there this month. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 14 hours ago, Cold Snap said: It seems like the Portland area has been torching less than the Seattle area in this pattern. My warmest day is 57/46 and I’ve had four 55+ highs this month. Looks like I may reach or even break that 57 on Saturday. I’ll be in Leavenworth during that time though. The Gorge has really helped mitigate the torching for the Portland metro. Pretty devastating to see both EUG and SLE with 60+ temps on the books for the year already. Especially considering both spots already hit that mark the last week of December as well. At least there was about a two month stretch with no 60s for the Willamette Valley before that, which is about the best you can hope for these days. Haven’t been above 55 at our particular location since November 4th, which is one of the longest stretches in years without major cold season torching. Would have to go back to 2016-17 to find a similarly “cool” 2+ month stretch but it would be later in the winter season than this one. November 2016 was balmy. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, joelgombiner said: Vatnajokull is also known for producing massive outburst floods when the volcano under it called Grimsvotn erupts. Such a dynamic place. Yeah, we drove the ring road right through that area, around the base of the volcano. Sounds like jokellhaups (glacial floods) have devastated towns and farmland in that area many times over the centuries. Some pics from the area and a cool informative sign. 4 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 So devastating. Eugene had 3 days at 60+ degrees even in January 1969. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 GEFS, little better ridge placement. Still very different than EPS. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 29 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Really? I would guess that any number of towns in the Rockies would do much better. It makes sense to me. Much of the Rockies gets more precip in the late spring/summer in the form of rain, than they get in the winter as snow. 1 Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: One silver lining in how awful January has been is that despite the extreme torching, or what has seemed like extreme torching, PDX and SLE are only 3.0F above normal. It's not unreasonable to think January still could end up near average. SEA will be around +4.5 for January after today. Just noticed that last January finished at -1.8 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA will be around +4.5 for January after today. Just noticed that last January finished at -1.8 Last January was only -0.1 here. Not terrible for recent years though. 2017 had a -8.4 departure 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA will be around +4.5 for January after today. Just noticed that last January finished at -1.8 If GEFS is right, last nine days could be saved. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 17 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: The Gorge has really helped mitigate the torching for the Portland metro. Pretty devastating to see both EUG and SLE with 60+ temps on the books for the year already. Especially considering both spots already hit that mark the last week of December as well. At least there was about a two month stretch with no 60s for the Willamette Valley before that, which is about the best you can hope for these days. Haven’t been above 55 at our particular location since November 4th, which is one of the longest stretches in years without major cold season torching. Would have to go back to 2016-17 to find a similarly “cool” 2+ month stretch but it would be later in the winter season than this one. November 2016 was balmy. Looking at the anomalies though, there is not really an difference between PDX and the rest of the valley, likely due to colder low temps further south. 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA will be around +4.5 for January after today. Just noticed that last January finished at -1.8 I remember that being trumpeted by some of the Puget Sound cold fans. A little colder at the beginning of the month up there and a little bit stronger inversion later in the month if I recall correctly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I remember that being trumpeted by some of the Puget Sound cold fans. A little colder at the beginning of the month up there and a little bit stronger inversion later in the month if I recall correctly. It was only -0.1F here as well. It was kinda chilly to start but then ended up back to the normal January stuff later on. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 winter is absolutely terrible for my professional career 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: winter is absolutely terrible for my professional career Yeah, then as the years go by you become a degenerate model rider like me, hanging on every July 18z CFS run. 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: winter is absolutely terrible for my professional career Summer is that way for me... I always want to be outside. I have no problem focusing on work in the winter though. 1 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Summer is that way for me... I always want to be outside. I have no problem focusing on work in the winter though. I guess I just don’t have the same work ethic as our older generations 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Skagit Weather Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: SEA will be around +4.5 for January after today. Just noticed that last January finished at -1.8 And BLI will be at +5.6 for January after today (and a shocking +7.2 for the average high!). Today is the third day this month they've recorded a 60+ high which ties the record from '92, '86, and '81. The only thing that has saved this month from being a complete torch at BLI is it seems to keep sneaking in freezes. It dropped to freezing on both Tuesday and Wednesday while it didn't even get below 40 here. Here, my average low temperature for this January (43F) is currently approaching my normal average high for the month (46F). 1 Quote Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008): Max Temp: 96.3F (2009) Min Temp: 2.0F (2008) Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021) Wettest Day: 2.34 (11/4/22) Avg Yearly Precip: 37" 10yr Avg Snow: 8.0" Snowfall Totals '08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5" | '21-22: 21.75" | '22-23: 10.0" 2023-24: 7.0" (1/17: 3", 1/18: 1.5", 2/26: 0.5", 3/4: 2.0", Flakes: 1/11, 1/16) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 KONA low, southeast ridge, Alaska ridge, and Bering Sea trough. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Things have been real wet on the Washington Coast. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Looking positively STORMY over at Westport. No massive waves, but still some decent sized one crashing onto the rocks. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 850s looking good at the end. Will be curious to see how many dawgs we got in there 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, RentonHillTC said: 850s looking good at the end. Will be curious to see how many dawgs we got in there We might be trending towards the timeframe EURO weeklies showed, but maybe we can get it a little early. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 850s looking good at the end. Will be curious to see how many dawgs we got in there Ensemble member 22! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 850s looking good at the end. Will be curious to see how many dawgs we got in there Ridge strengthening and shifting west so a strong troughing would likely continue to move over the northwest. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 We could be looking at the REAL DEAL. 3 1 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Should mention a strong front comes through Wednesday. Could enough for convective showers to mix with snow post frontal. Also, this marks the end of the torch.  4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 going on the record of saying this will be better than the December episode all in 1 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Should mention a strong front comes through Wednesday. Could enough for convective showers to mix with snow post frontal. Also, this marks the end of the torch.  Not quite... ECMWF shows 850mb temps warm up pretty fast after that Wednesday trough. 1 3 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: going on the record of saying this will be better than the December episode all in Better than the 4/-10 Spokane put up? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Not quite... ECMWF shows 850mb temps warm up pretty fast after that Wednesday trough. Low levels don't warm up much, I wouldn't call it a true torch. Plus, I think it's trending towards GEFS. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, Doinko said: Better than the 4/-10 Spokane put up? probably not, but more snow 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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