PNW January 2023 Observations and Discussion

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

What do you think will happen Jesse looks like the end of this month might get good are you excited I am 

Not sure. I’ll keep throwing out vague predictions masked as jokes for now until the dust settles

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Eujunga said:

In the here and now, 61º at EUG for a new daily record high, beating out 2021's 60º, and last year's 58º.

January 12th. It's the new April 15th!

Absolutely disgusting.  

[RentonHill]

boom

[Deweydog]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Not sure. I’ll keep throwing out vague predictions masked as jokes for now until the dust settles

Ok deal good one too you’re funny

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

boom

HOLY HELL

[Deweydog]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

boom

160w!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Up to 63 at EUG now. SLE ONLY 52 at the moment, lets see if they mix out. Looks like it's up to 58 at my place. A lot of mid-60s in the foothills right now with a 66 at Colton. 

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

31 minutes ago, rsktkr said:

Bummer that even if we get a great setup in the coming weeks there will be virtually no real cold air to work with.

I give a February surprise about a 3% chance this year.

This winter is starting to feel real short and real done.

The great news though....spring training is right around the corner! Go Giants!

Siberia is brutally cold now.  If the right setup happens, there will be cold air to work with.

[RentonHill]

2 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

160w!

 

[Deweydog]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Up to 63 at EUG now. SLE ONLY 52 at the moment, lets see if they mix out. Looks like it's up to 58 at my place. A lot of mid-60s in the foothills right now with a 66 at Colton. 

Blessings abound.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

66 at Creswell, 64 at Florence. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Up to 63 at EUG now. SLE ONLY 52 at the moment, lets see if they mix out. Looks like it's up to 58 at my place. A lot of mid-60s in the foothills right now with a 66 at Colton. 

Really nasty stuff. 

[Deweydog]

Just now, RentonHillTC said:

 

155w!

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Really nasty stuff. 

Pretty amazing how easy it is to torch in winter here. Almost forgot about it between early November and around Christmas we were able to avoid it altogether. 

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

boom

Wow, feels like FEB is a lock for something good every year now.

[Cascadia_Wx]

Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Pretty amazing how easy it is to torch in winter here. Almost forgot about it between early November and around Christmas we were able to avoid it altogether. 

It was a nice stretch. We have our wins here and there but it has warmed a lot just like any other season.

[Deweydog]

Eugene scored a high in the 40’s on 1/12/06.

It’s coming quicker.

[Deweydog]

What will be interesting and fun is if the east wind machine of the last couple weeks, driven almost entirely by offshore cyclogenesis, flips and we won’t be able to buy offshore flow when the pattern turns favorable late this month. 

[Phishy Wx]

its coming

[Cascadia_Wx]

15 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

What will be interesting and fun is if the east wind machine of the last couple weeks, driven almost entirely by offshore cyclogenesis, flips and we won’t be able to buy offshore flow when the pattern turns favorable late this month. 

I always thought hemorrhoids sounded interesting and fun too.

Edited January 12, 2023 by Cascadia_Wx

[Doinko]

23 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said:

boom

Wow, how does the rest of it look?

[FroYoBro]

1 hour ago, Deweydog said:

Walter is resting up for retraction reaction action coming up on the forums.

Tell that loser to get a job!

[Ray]

2 hours ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

I'm rebuilding a rear differential on a 2010 Ford f350. This is what happens when you don't do services of fluids, moisture builds up and if the vehicle sits things start to rust even when submerged in oil as evidence with this ring gear. 

Wow!  I have an 02 Chevy short wide box that is my summer fun truck.  It pretty much sits in the off season.  Now I have something to think about...

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Tell that loser to get a job!

He’s holding out for a management position. 

[NWbyNW]

Some very impressive precipitation totals over the past 24hrs, especially on the Olympic Peninsula!  Over 4 inches in places!  Here is the entirety of the Washington and Oregon coasts. 

 

[Dave]

60 burger here which actually feels nice.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Nice smoke outside on the porch in my t-shirt.

Looks like we got up to 64F. Much nicer than that shitt back last July-Sept.

[Doinko]

1 hour ago, BLI snowman said:

Yes, the discussion was relegated to our specific area. 

February 2021 () was objectively a much bigger, more exciting, and more impactful event at my location. Regardless of how warm the nose was at My Location. 

The ground was basically a layered cake of ice/sleet/snow here which was really interesting. Nice event but sadly less snow then expected.

[joelgombiner]

 Just over 6 inches of rain in 24 hours within the core of a band over the east slopes of the Olympics. East wind + SW flow continues to work its magic. This will probably trigger some landslides. 

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Also, February will be lit again. Feels inevitable.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 hours ago, Eujunga said:

1.20" since Jan. 1st here, or around 55% of normal.

12.70" for the water year, or around 70% of normal.

Same old story with forecasts busting dry every time, and models trending drier with each run. Again, we'd be at 200% of normal precip if the forecasts and models verified even 2 days out. Wish I understood why this keeps happening.

I don't know. Feels like something has fundamentally changed in this area since the early 2000s in a bad way with the high temp and precip department.

Conversely, it feels like we're playing with house money in the snowfall department compared to 1996-2003.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

66 at Creswell, 64 at Florence. 

Wow, the torching is way overperforming what the ECMWF modelled a few days ago.

 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Light rain and 48.7°F here.

[Phishy Wx]

raining and 37 feels like 31.  raw day 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

27 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Nice smoke outside on the porch in my t-shirt.

Looks like we got up to 64F. Much nicer than that shitt back last July-Sept.

This is what, 3 60-burgers for you this month already?

[Dave]

This "winter" so far is a D-. That doesn't look to change any time soon. 

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, Dave said:

This "winter" so far is a D-. That doesn't look to change any time soon. 

B+ here. Hopefully February delivers for you.

[Doinko]

5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said:

B+ here. Hopefully February delivers for you.

How much snow have you had? I'd go with maybe a C. No snow really but we did have our coldest day since 2014 with the sharp and brief arctic intrusion.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Doinko said:

How much snow have you had? I'd go with maybe a C. No snow really but we did have our coldest day since 2014 with the sharp and brief arctic intrusion.

My stats so far this winter:

Total snow: 20.5"
Heaviest 24-hour snowfall: 10.5"
Deepest snow depth: 13"
Coldest low: 9.5°F
Below freezing days: 4

Last winter was colder here, my lowest reading was 7.7°F.

[Doinko]

Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said:

My stats so far this winter:

Total snow: 20.5"
Heaviest 24-hour snowfall: 10.5"
Deepest snow depth: 13"
Coldest low: 9.5°F
Below freezing days: 4

Last winter was colder here, my lowest reading was 7.7°F.

Wow, that's a nice amount of snow!