Deweydog Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Low levels don't warm up much, I wouldn't call it a true torch. Plus, I think it's trending towards GEFS. True. But ECMWF still shows it will be around 50 next Friday and Saturday. It showed 48 for today at SEA and its already been up to 52. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, Deweydog said: Ag Weather update this morning said if the SSW materializes it will take 2-4 weeks for it to translate to the surface and then the coldest air would be focused on the central and eastern US. No idea if that is accurate. 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 73 years ago today: 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: True. But ECMWF still shows it will be around 50 next Friday and Saturday. It showed 48 for today at SEA and its already been up to 52. I see, 46 and 48 respectively, but point taken. Definitely end of torch on GEFS. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Currently in Wenatchee and it reminds me of late afternoon of 12/23/22 around my area. Mid 30’s with snow piles getting that wet and dirty look. Fist time ever driving through Plain/Chumstick HWY since HWY 2 is currently being detoured through that area. Lots of snow and a lot of people have plows attached to their trucks! I could live there. 4 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Ag Weather update this morning said if the SSW materializes it will take 2-4 weeks for it to translate to the surface and then the coldest air would be focused on the central and eastern US. No idea if that is accurate. That’s ag-gravating. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I see, 46 and 48 respectively, but point taken. Definitely end of torch on GEFS. I just don't see the end in sight yet on the ECMWF. We obviously need it to show up there consistently. I remember Jim saying back in late December that the torch was almost over and it would be turning cold soon. This is the end of the ECMWF run... 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 My FB memories for this day! Weather fun! From no power, to snow, to sun and warmth, to cold! 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I just don't see the end in sight yet on the ECMWF. We obviously need it to show up there consistently. I remember Jim saying back in late December that the torch was almost over and it would be turning cold soon. This is the end of the ECMWF run... I saw that, not good! Haven't we paid enough? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, MossMan said: My FB memories for this day! Weather fun! From no power, to snow, to sun and warmth, to cold! We were in the single digits the morning of 1/13/2017 with a foot of snow on the ground! 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 So it’s not coming now. It’s over. And the daily fuzz. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 21 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Not quite... ECMWF shows 850mb temps warm up pretty fast after that Wednesday trough. How silly. That doesn’t show a torch. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 minutes ago, MossMan said: So it’s not coming now. It’s over. And the daily fuzz. I mean all the models show the cold pattern setting up at 240+ hours at least. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 7 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I saw that, not good! Haven't we paid enough? Why are you responding to him like he has a soul 1 5 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 3 years ago it snowed a bit. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: Why are you responding to him like he has a soul I ask the same about you all the time. So devastating. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 8 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I mean all the models show the cold pattern setting up at 240+ hours at least. Early February! Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: Early February! I wouldn't be shocked! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 This goes without saying in some ways but I definitely wouldn’t call the 12z Euro a torchy run. Much closer to average than what we have seen this month so far, cooler on many days. Especially through day 7-8. Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 I guess high temps around 50 in Seattle in late January is not exactly torching. The normal high is close to 50 by that time. I just blanket assume anything 50+ in the winter is sort of torchy but that is technically not true per climo. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I guess high temps around 50 in Seattle in late January is not exactly torching. The normal high is close to 50 by that time. I just blanket assume anything 50+ in the winter is sort of torchy but that is technically not true per climo. Tomorrow definitely a torch. +7 anomalies. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Tomorrow definitely a torch. +7 anomalies. For sure... tomorrow should be the warmest day in sight. 1 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 53 and light rain in Crabtree. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Last frame of EPS. Don’t have gif yet but it’s moving towards us starting around this time 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, RentonHillTC said: Last frame of EPS. Don’t have gif yet but it’s moving towards us starting around this time Impressively strong GOA ridge signal for 15 days out. 5 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 53 and light rain in Crabtree. What are you doing down in Craptree Andrew? Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Some cold members showing up 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Omg you guys. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Looks like the models have trended a little better this morning! Hopefully the trend can continue! I have a feeling it’s coming! Currently 50.3. 1 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: Some cold members showing up @RentonHillTC the Dawgs are starting to show up 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 5 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: What are you doing down in Craptree Andrew? Passing thru 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Still can't believe FEB 2019 was an El nino. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: @RentonHillTC the Dawgs are starting to show up February 1989 redux?! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 Just now, SouthHillFrosty said: @RentonHillTC the Dawgs are starting to show up 8 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 13, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Still can't believe FEB 2019 was an El nino. You have had 4 years to process this information. January 1969 was an El Niño too… 1 8 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: You have had 4 years to process this information. January 1969 was an El Niño too… I know, sometimes I forget. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 EPS almost the same as weeklies. Things are on track to get real around the 30th-31th. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 9 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: I know, sometimes I forget. It doesn’t get better, young’n. Sh*t just yesterday I’d completely forgot they made a third Look Who’s Talking movie. RIP Kirstie Alley. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 13, 2023 Report Share Posted January 13, 2023 2 hours ago, Front Ranger said: It makes sense to me. Much of the Rockies gets more precip in the late spring/summer in the form of rain, than they get in the winter as snow. Oh, you mean the figure is arrived at by dividing total yearly snowfall by total yearly precipitation? Yeah, if that's the case, I can see a place like Winthrop winning. I was thinking they would compute the mean SWE ratio for all snowstorms. When the Rockies get snow, it is often very dry snow. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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