Cold Snap Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Euro is looking amazing! This could really be something! 2 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 EPS day 11 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 This could evolve into a very snowy pattern. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 12 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Very obvious something has really changed tonight. Lemme guess! Models are showing cold and snow when earlier this month they were not? 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 13 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 41 minutes ago, RentonHill said: Tonga Speaking of Tonga, the stratosphere is still loaded with H2O. Crazy stuff. At least we’ll get to test whether the climate catastrophists are correct with their doomsday H2O feedback loop. Well…technically this is stratospheric H2O, where as the apocalyptic climate scenarios arise through H2O/lapse rate feedback in the upper troposphere. So it’s not actually testing that theory in its entirety. But there still should be a statistically significant radiative forcing from the added H2O. We’ll see! 5 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 14 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Exhaustion. No Night Shift 6z GFS for me. Have a good night! Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!! 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 15 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Not sure if this was posted already, but it's worth noting that tonight's 00z GFS ensemble has a pretty significant amount of extremely snowy members for both Portland and Seattle. This is a dramatic increase from last nights 00z and today's 12z. I suspect there will finally be some solid GFS runs tomorrow. 4 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 JMA, ICON, CFS ensemble, and CFS control are all cold. The GFS is the only outlier. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Managed to clock in a freeze for the day yesterday right before midnight. Warmed back up to 33.4 now. 1 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 00z ECMWF Ensemble snow totals. I'll take member #40, please. 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 What a boring forecast for Seattle. It teases at the very end with some rain, which will probably change to just be overcast. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Down to 31F for another freeze. 1 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Don't even bother looking at the 06z GFS. Probably one of the worst runs in the last few days. Never gets there and 0 meaningful snow in any of the lowlands from Eugene to Vancouver. The ensembles are significantly better than the operational though. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 6z GEFS was pretty good in terms of backdoor cold for PDX. Look at The Dalles and the large cluster majority of members colder than the mean. Good signal. 12z GFS in 1 hour 5 minutes. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Another frosty morning. 🫠 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 SLE down to a +2.3 departure. Wouldn’t take much of an arctic blast to wipe that out. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: SLE down to a +2.3 departure. Wouldn’t take much of an arctic blast to wipe that out. Yeah…IIRC we’re +2.8F in Tacoma. This month will likely still end above average but not nearly as much as I thought it would. We will see if the stuff towards the end of the month really works out or not. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Up in Redmond for work this morning…but was raining a bit when I left Tacoma. Looks like a low of 36 at home with 0.02” of rain. Up to 2.85” MTD. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Nice tidbit from Seattle NWS There is also growing chances for strong Fraser Outflow Saturday and Sunday as the cold front pushes south through the area with high pressure over eastern BC and Alberta. 5 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Nice tidbit from Seattle NWS There is also growing chances for strong Fraser Outflow Saturday and Sunday as the cold front pushes south through the area with high pressure over eastern BC and Alberta. Really not that far out now. Pretty much a lock for a colder than normal pattern coming up starting this weekend but will it snow and kold?! 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 7 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said: Look at all them dawgs. 2 3 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 12z GFS in 13 minutes Looking for a stronger ridge merger near Day 3 similar to the GEM/ECMWF and more robust blocking through Day 7-9. Thus far the GFS is the only model camp to not favor the colder solution. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 12z GFS Day 1 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 12z ICON nice blast 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Back to the GFS. Day 2 (4-run trend) I like this so far. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: 12z ICON nice blast Basically every model except the GFS 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 HR 63 ridge merger. Timing moving ahead. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 12z ICON Day 7 500mb 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Low clouds in the valley. 4 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 12z GFS Day 3 (4-run trend) Big move towards the ECMWF/GEM. 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 29F and frosty. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Watch now that it’s caved it will start showing the most ridiculous runs of them all and euro/gem will pull back 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 4 (4-run trend) arctic trough still not digging as sharply to the southwest as other models. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Icon is rock solid. 4 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 23, 2023 Report Share Posted January 23, 2023 Day 4.5 (4-run trend) Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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