Gradient Keeper Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Night Shift 6z GFS in 1 hour 52 minutes. There is no way I'll be awake for this run. Have a good night all! Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Colder trend on the EPS continues. I'm seriously wondering if the SSW completion about 10 days from now could prolong this coming cold wave, or give us a shot at another later on. I think Phil posted earlier today about the SSW not being significant this time around... and I think it takes 2-4 weeks for it to impact the weather so that would probably be late February or early March? But I don't know if any of that is accurate. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 inch mean isn't too bad. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, RentonHill said: Decent end. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 32F with some freezing fog. Grateful to be in a place that can do so well for freezes. Did I miss anything good tonight? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 EPS shows almost the entire country being cold in the long range. Old school stuff. Even Phil might get some winter! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: I think Phil posted earlier today about the SSW not being significant this time around... and I think it takes 2-4 weeks for it to impact the weather so that would probably be late February or early March? But I don't know if any of that is accurate. We'll have to wait and see. The first round of SSW has already happened, but there will be another round in a few days. I'm wondering if it could knock out the Hudon's Bay low. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 32F with some freezing fog. Grateful to be in a place that can do so well for freezes. Did I miss anything good tonight? The GFS shows you getting down to -12. That's something I guess. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Just now, snow_wizard said: The GFS shows you getting down to -12. That's something I guess. We should hit the links and see if we can even find the flagsticks. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: We should hit the links and see if we can even find the flagsticks. The -12 will be at night. It will be warmer during the day. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 PDX down to 42 above zero. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 I'm awake and it is 26F outside. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The 00z Euro Ensembles have quite a few very snowy members for both Portland and Seattle. Also a handful of outrageously cold members as well. The dry and short lived solution of operational is definitely the outlier here. 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The EPS keeps EPO and PNA both solidly below the zero line for the entire run now. Getting better and better. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 06z GFS looking good so far. Block is nice and healthy and the cold air is making excellent progress into BC by hour 100. Maybe a hair behind the 00z, but still a dramatic improvement from the 18z. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 5. Looking a little wonky, but I still like it better than the 18z. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 7. The hammer might be about to drop here... maybe. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 8. Swing and a miss. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Night shift fail 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted January 24, 2023 Author Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Odd progression-- won't be ironed out for a while especially not with the consistently inconsistent GFS. Keep the faith! 1 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpaceRace22 Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Day 9. So this run never really gets there, BUT the block remains very strong and healthy on this run just like the 00z had it, so I would still call this a good run for a 06z operational. Here is a comparison of the 06z, 00z, and 18z GFS. Notice how even though the details just ever so slightly don't work out here, the general pattern on the 06z is MUCH more in line with the 00z than the 18z. It would only take a very minute change to move this run from a bust to something really great. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Chilly morning Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 Nws going with 34/19 here on Monday. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 06Z EPS shifted east again... the control run is a little west on Saturday and then shifted east at the end of the run (144 hours) compared to its 00Z run. Neither the EPS or the control run show any lowland snow through the weekend. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 The big question is what will our weather team find to be unhappy with today? 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 I saw Flagstaff Arizona has had 57.9” of snow this month and currently has a 30” depth. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 First freeze since the 2nd! Wahoooooo 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 06Z GEFS... Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 28 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 06Z EPS shifted east again... the control run is a little west on Saturday and then shifted east at the end of the run (144 hours) compared to its 00Z run. Neither the EPS or the control run show any lowland snow through the weekend. EPS control gets 850s down to -12.6c over PDX 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 14 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: I saw Flagstaff Arizona has had 57.9” of snow this month and currently has a 30” depth. Saw that too! And they're currently in the middle of an impressive cold snap, building up a noice negative temp departure for Jan. With the huge snowpack and continued NW flow, they'll remain chilly for a while longer. 2 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, Doinko said: EPS control gets 850s down to -12.6c over PDX Looks like EPS mean is -8C over PDX at 144 hours. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 6 minutes ago, Doinko said: EPS control gets 850s down to -12.6c over PDX Yes, but what can we complain about?! Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 27 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The big question is what will our weather team find to be unhappy with today? Unlikely to get a repeat of February 1916. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Yes, but what can we complain about?! The lack of snow of course... the control run shows nothing ahead of the cold air. Not a problem for the cold lovers though! 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 5 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Unlikely to get a repeat of February 1916. Might as well just pack up and move to Omaha. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 8 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Might as well just pack up and move to Omaha. You can do better than Omaha! In terms of metro areas... the Twin Cities is way better for consistent cold and snow and they also have hills and lots of lakes. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 24, 2023 Report Share Posted January 24, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: You can do better than Omaha! In terms of metro areas... the Twin Cities is way better for consistent cold and snow and they also have hills and lots of lakes. I think Buffalo has to be the best major metro area for snow in the USA. Lots of options in Canada! 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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