Doinko Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 CPC analogs: Feb/March 2008 was chilly March 1951 was extremely cold/snowy, all time snowiest month in some places in NW WA Feb 1985: Not much happened after the cold wave early in the month Feb-March 1999: Not much but slightly chilly Feb 1990 (three times): Snowy, over 2ft of snow in Olympia March 2009 had a cold wave Feb-March 1965: Not much but PDX had a bit of snow in late March March 1976: Chilly 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Doinko said: CPC analogs: Feb/March 2008 was chilly March 1951 was extremely cold/snowy, all time snowiest month in some places in NW WA Feb 1985: Not much happened after the cold wave early in the month Feb-March 1999: Not much but slightly chilly Feb 1990 (three times): Snowy, over 2ft of snow in Olympia March 2009 had a cold wave Feb-March 1965: Not much but PDX had a bit of snow in late March March 1976: Chilly March 1951 in Clearbrook Blaine: 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, Doinko said: March 1951 in Clearbrook Those analogs are for 11 days out from now... so it assumes the models have everything right. I wish they did analogs for the current pattern which has actually verified. But if in 11 days the pattern is similar to mid February 1951 as that shows... then early March might very much be on the table. That was an amazing early March. And also a spectacular April and summer that followed. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, TT-SEA said: Those analogs are for 11 days out from now... so it assumes the models have everything right. I wish they did analogs for the current pattern which has actually verified. But if in 11 days the pattern is similar to mid February 1951 as that shows... then early March might very much be on the table. That was an amazing early March. And also a spectacular April and summer that followed. Yeah, just showing what the analogs are and what they were like here. 1990 also appears three times. Olympia had 27.4" of snow that month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 44 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I figured we would atleast see some flakes here last night but did not expect accumulation this far south. I enjoyed it while it lasted because it very well could be the last snow of the season. I will bet you a frozen Tofurky we will see more snow than what fell this morning, sometime before mid March! It’s coming! 5 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Those analogs are for 11 days out from now... so it assumes the models have everything right. I wish they did analogs for the current pattern which has actually verified. But if in 11 days the pattern is similar to mid February 1951 as that shows... then early March might very much be on the table. That was an amazing early March. And also a spectacular April and summer that followed. thats a decently high regression score too. I'll hedge my bets and say that the pattern develops in third week, and fourth week is when any scoring happens. happy mr MJO???? 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, MossMan said: I will bet you a frozen Tofurky we will see more snow than what fell this morning, sometime before mid March! It’s coming! Totally agree... winter is not over. I think the Feb 20 - March 5 period is the prime opportunity. 4 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, RentonHill said: thats a decently high regression score too. I'll hedge my bets and say that the pattern develops in third week, and fourth week is when any scoring happens. happy mr MJO???? See post above... totally on board with this. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: But if in 11 days the pattern is similar to mid February 1951 as that shows... then early March might very much be on the table. That was an amazing early March. And also a spectacular April and summer that followed. Almost 40" of snow in the first 10 days of March! That blows any 10-day period I have experienced in the lowlands west of the Cascades totally out of the water. 4 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Back home now for lunch…Here is what’s left of my snow. Currently 36.2 with a DP of 30. 6 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 37 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: So Puget Sound/vicinity and northern Washington scores again. Well, not a big snow storm, but at least it's snowing and accumulating. Looks like BC is doing decently. Feb 4th-5th watch the models by then. No idea what for, but watch anyways. Seemed like SW BC got a general 1-2” this morning. Currently 34F with some snizzle and light snow. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, Doinko said: Yeah, just showing what the analogs are and what they were like here. 1990 also appears three times. Olympia had 27.4" of snow that month. I will be positively ecstatic if I get half as much snow as Blaine got in March 1951 spread out over the rest of this season. (Also not expecting that much). Already at 21.3" for the season, which even if I get no more would be one of the better totals I have recorded. 5 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 39 at SEA. 41 and partly sunny in North Bend. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Cold morning here today. Was 28F at sea level at 9AM. Temps have warmed to 38F. Gray and overcast. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 39 at SEA. 41 and partly sunny in North Bend. Sun angles putting in work!!! B E A YOOTIFUL day out there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2023 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Tons of snow on the ground in Burns. 11 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Front window view... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Tons of snow on the ground in Burns. honestly i thought you just made this place up. never even bothered to google it since i knew it was fake. D**n 4 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Just now, RentonHill said: honestly i thought you just made this place up. never even bothered to google it since i knew it was fake. D**n Ironic name too... sounds hot but its actually frigid cold. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, RentonHill said: honestly i thought you just made this place up. never even bothered to google it since i knew it was fake. D**n For real?! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 What is this precipitation called? It looks and falls like snow but is grainy. Not graupel. Falling outside. 7 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 4 minutes ago, RentonHill said: honestly i thought you just made this place up. never even bothered to google it since i knew it was fake. D**n I been there can confirm it is the real deal 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Light Snow and 30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: What is this precipitation called? It looks and falls like snow but is grainy. Not graupel. Falling outside. Snow grains 2 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 definitely more likely not to get anything the rest of winter if something doesn't dramatically change soon in these runs. rapid acceleration of declining odds by mid feb in general. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 12 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Ironic name too... sounds hot but its actually frigid cold. I've joked more than once that they should rename it Freezes. 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 10 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: I been there can confirm it is the real deal Same here. In terms of climate, it’s a lot like the town in northern Utah where I went to college: semiarid climate, and in a valley subject to extreme cold pooling in the winter. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Same here. In terms of climate, it’s a lot like the town in northern Utah where I went to college: semiarid climate, and in a valley subject to extreme cold pooling in the winter. USU in Logan? 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 29 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: USU in Logan? LOL, how did you guess? (Plus I mentioned it earlier.) 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 It’s over 3 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 54 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said: What is this precipitation called? It looks and falls like snow but is grainy. Not graupel. Falling outside. Snow Snifters! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherGeek2022 Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said: It’s over It's true, we can't be spoiled EVERY february after all. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 47 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Same here. In terms of climate, it’s a lot like the town in northern Utah where I went to college: semiarid climate, and in a valley subject to extreme cold pooling in the winter. There's a member of this forum who used to live in Craig in far NW Colorado. Just a hop and a skip from Maybell which holds the state cold record. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 2 hours ago, RentonHill said: Its great to see that CA will get some reinforcements in early Feb before the inevitable 4 month dry stretch comes up. @AlTahoe Hows it lookin down there?? Been very cold. We haven't had any sort of mid winter melt yet which is very rare. 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 7 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Been very cold. We haven't had any sort of mid winter melt yet which is very rare. Also the skiing has been fantastic. Usually the Gun Barrel face at heavenly ices up first since it is at the bottom of the mt. But this season it has been nice and chalky with very little ice. Not sure why its posting up side down but use your imagination. lol 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 3 minutes ago, AlTahoe said: Also the skiing has been fantastic. Usually the Gun Barrel face at heavenly ices up first since it is at the bottom of the mt. But this season it has been nice and chalky with very little ice. Not sure why its posting up side down but use your imagination. lol Looks like Bariloche! (Bad Southern Hemisphere joke.) 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Moderate Snow and down to 28 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 31, 2023 Report Share Posted January 31, 2023 Be careful…removing snow from your windshield can be dangerous! 1 5 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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