CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Just now, Hawkeye said: There's a clockwise-rotating meso-low on radar between Holdrege and Lincoln, not something we see every day. It is really coming down. Will add up inches quickly with this situation Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 14z HRRR. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Please sirs some scraps for Columbia county, Wisconsin so I can snowboard on something besides ice this season. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Congrats to Holdrege..not a flake here in Aurora, NE so far. I know that's about to change but lord, it's laughable how the the precip refuses to fill in outside of that one band. It's either slower than modeled or we're busting on amounts. I pray it's the former 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 3 minutes ago, clintbeed1993 said: Congrats to Holdrege..not a flake here in Aurora, NE so far. I know that's about to change but lord, it's laughable how the the precip refuses to fill in outside of that one band. It's either slower than modeled or we're busting on amounts. I pray it's the former We are getting pounded right now. Gracious. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 15z HRRR. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 This video doesn’t do it justice for how hard it is snowing. IMG_0988.MOV 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Not liking the way radar and short range models look for my area. I’m getting pellets and Graupel at the moment. Look at this radar, dry hole plugging away…..hope it fills in fast. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 2 minutes ago, CentralNebWeather said: This video doesn’t do it justice for how hard it is snowing. IMG_0988.MOV 54.21 MB · 1 download Wow ground looks great, still have brown grass here. Enjoy! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CentralNebWeather Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 4 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Not liking the way radar and short range models look for my area. I’m getting pellets and Graupel at the moment. Look at this radar, dry hole plugging away…..hope it fills in fast. We had that several hours ago along with snow. When it switched over, it started piling up fast. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Been looking at metars over NE and KS in the heavy snow over last several hours-- surprised no automation ALDARS (lightning detection without a human) are picking up any LTG. Usually it's overdone as many strikes reported by ALDARS are false-- but none in this event is odd. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Snow beginning in Omaha, pretty good sized flakes too. 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Kuchera ratio differences on Pivotal vs. WxBell are rather substantial. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Freezing drizzle has glazed everything over. No matter how much snow we get, I’m hoping for 10, it’s gonna be some difficult travel. Patiently waiting for the transition to snow. 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 anybody report out of Lincoln,NE? auto site (LAWRS -- ATC does little or nothing) says nearly .15" of ice?? Any reports? Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 IMG_2332.MOV Finally transitioned over to snow about 12:45! That was something to see. We slowly went from graupel and ice pellets, with flakes slowly mixing in. Then boom, flakes got huge and it's just puking snow! Big old fat flakes falling. 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 HRRR Showing that front end thump band producing at least some snow in Iowa City and Cedar Rapids. Again rates will have to be substantial to overcome the warm surface temps. My feeling is that even if we get some moderate snow it will have a hard time accumulating over an inch. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gabel23 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 55 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: anybody report out of Lincoln,NE? auto site (LAWRS -- ATC does little or nothing) says nearly .15" of ice?? Any reports? Talked to a buddy of mine who lives in Lincoln he said they have running water down the streets! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gimmesnow Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 9 minutes ago, gabel23 said: Talked to a buddy of mine who lives in Lincoln he said they have running water down the streets! Sounds like a broken watermain. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FarmerRick Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Fairly heavy snow at my work in Omaha, 7 miles to the SE it's mostly sleet. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 So close. Hope the mix stays away Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 6 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: So close. Hope the mix stays away KOMA reporting PL-- mix line might be further NNE. 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Snowman Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 7 minutes ago, OmahaSnowFan said: So close. Hope the mix stays away Too late here near Midtown, heavy snow earlier is now some sort of rain / slop. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
clintbeed1993 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 This storm is beyond irritating. Refuses to change over to snow and I'm NORTH of interstate 80 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OmahaSnowFan Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Yep I’ve switched over to slop and now the dry slot is racing towards me. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bud2380 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Looks like a potential bust in the Lincoln area in particular. The dry slot is about to move through and from the sounds of it they haven't received any snow yet. Models also do not show the good wrap around bands that hit further west in the state. Still time for things to change, but just looking at the radar and model trends, it doesn't look very promising. The 18z HRRR shows about 3" for Lincoln and the forecast from the NWS was 5-10". Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 18Z 3KM NAM -- has OMA getting dry slotted. Don't know how much is all ready fallen - but this is depressing for OMA if comes to fruition - 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Sleet has finally changed over to heavy snow here in Omaha with very low visibilities currently, however that aforementioned dry slot is racing our way... hope it fills in or we won't even hit the low end of the predicted snowfall amounts for this system. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 If the OMA/LNK area dry slot happens-- would be one of the biggest busts I've seen in several year. Tis' the weather-- don't care how good your computer models are- mother nature will do what it does-- little win-- most get burned. Congrats to those seeing good snows!! It's tough -- enjoy it!! 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bryan1117 Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 We have went from snow/ sleet, to all snow, to all sleet, back to heavy snow, and now we are seeing moderate freezing rain mixed with sleet... and now here comes the FREAKING dry slot. This storm system is turning out to be yet another in a long line of massive Winter system duds for us in Omaha and Lincoln - the joke looks like it was on us! 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Warm air advection certainly the case here just W of DSM. Temp up to 34F. Echoes show snow-- but wlll see for sure in about 30 mins. Don't have my hopes up - other than a white ground when I leave for work tonight. Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bellona Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 8 minutes ago, Grizzcoat said: Warm air advection certainly the case here just W of DSM. Temp up to 34F. Echoes show snow-- but wlll see for sure in about 30 mins. Don't have my hopes up - other than a white ground when I leave for work tonight. I'm hoping for a few inches up here in Waterloo. It's 35 atm. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawkeye Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 It looks like the highest totals in south-central Nebraska may end up east of Holdrege where the heavy band has stalled for several hours. Holdrege kinda got stuck west in a drier pocket after this morning's heavy burst. 1 Quote season snowfall: 34.8" '22-23: 30.2" '21-22: 27.1" '20-21: 52.5" '19-20: 36.2" '18-19: 50.2" '17-18: 39.5" Average snowfall: ~30" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Snow just started here as I was in the wood shed "getting wood" and doing a JAG Bomb. Glad it's snow to begin with. - for now. 3 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ToastedRavs Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Mix of sleet and snow in downtown Des Moines as it started, with more sleet than snow. Switching more to about 70% snow now after a few minutes 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 5 minutes ago, Hawkeye said: It looks like the highest totals in south-central Nebraska may end up east of Holdrege where the heavy band has stalled for several hours. Holdrege kinda got stuck west in a drier pocket after this morning's heavy burst. Agree- Hastings is getting creamed with a P group of P0021 last hour. That's impressive for a snow event as the heated tipping bucket is usually at least 10-20% lower that a manual 8". 2 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Latest RAP has DSM potentially scoring a coup d'etat-- if this happens- I will be shocked, but it's in the cards and not so far away RAP wise-- (not including wrap around) Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Nice band of snow showing on HRRR in mby--- not supposed to be there per -NWS-- we will see, but radar trends are looking good. Take 5" all day every day.. 1 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Great post ^ Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Grizzcoat Posted January 18, 2023 Report Share Posted January 18, 2023 Losing a lot of QPF right now to plain old rain-- temp 32F-- but nothing freezing yet likely due to antecedent warmth and latent heat. --- 1 Quote The two loudest sounds known to man: a gun that goes bang when it is supposed to go click and a gun that goes click when it is supposed to go bang. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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