TT-SEA Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Be nice to have the those wasted time outs!! As usual. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Be nice to have the those wasted time outs!! As usual.No timeouts left now. Not good. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted September 30, 2018 Author Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Yay Walsh-Janikowski! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Wow... so nice to have a kicker with power. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 By the skin of our teeth. A W is a W but there is no way it should have been that close. Rams next week. That should be.... Interesting. That kick looked like it was heading left and then veered to the right. Seen so many other kicks by opponents do that. Nice to see it happen to us. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Do you guys all watch sporting events with your phones opened up to a weather forum? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Nice day. Partly cloudy and 68 with a light east wind, after morning showers and a low of 51. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Do you guys all watch sporting events with your phones opened up to a weather forum? Laptop on coffee table in front of big screen TV. Its just a way of sharing the experience. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 65 and partly sunny here... had a few sprinkles today but almost entirely dry. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted September 30, 2018 Report Share Posted September 30, 2018 Snowing at our cabin up the Cariboo again. Second time this year. Seems very early. 2” forecast tonight and another 2” tomorrow. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Farmboy Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Apparently no one has seen the 18z. I can't post the maps from my phone, but it looked like quite the cornucopia of cold starting around hr. 162 or so... Quote "Avoiding unwanted weather is a key element of happiness." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Looks like SEA will end the water year about +1.80 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Apparently no one has seen the 18z. I can't post the maps from my phone, but it looked like quite the cornucopia of cold starting around hr. 162 or so...I’m sure people saw it. Might be too early in the season for people to get excited about chilly weather Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 I’m sure people saw it. Might be too early in the season for people to get excited about chilly weatherI would prefer more rain at this point. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Today's sports talk is solely responsible for the lack of thundersnow at my house today. Thanks, A-holes... 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 It would be even more unbelievable if it actually verified. I’m not sure how long you’ve actually been following the weather but I’m pretty sure 2008 had some pretty significant late summer and early fall troughsI didn't start seriously following the weather until 2010. I've taken it even more serious the past few years. In 2008, I remember not looking at the models and forums until November. If that's true then that's a good sign because everybody got a good pounding in December 2008. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 I didn't start seriously following the weather until 2010. I've taken it even more serious the past few years. In 2008, I remember not looking at the models and forums until November. If that's true then that's a good sign because everybody got a good pounding in December 2008.Not Eugene/Springfield apparently. I didn't live here then but the locals talk about their last great snow as being way further back. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Apparently no one has seen the 18z. I can't post the maps from my phone, but it looked like quite the cornucopia of cold starting around hr. 162 or so...Nice backdoor cold shot. Sub 534 thickness west of the Cascades. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Nice backdoor cold shot. Sub 534 thickness west of the Cascades. This pattern so early feels to me like it bodes poorly for later. Shooting our load before the action can get going. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Spent the afternoon with the folks in Monmouth. Headed home and, right on cue coming into Lane County, the sun comes out and it's probly 65% sunny as opposed to most of the valley. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VancouverIslandSouth Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Near constant rain/drizzle all day today, with humidity sticking around 97%. It's been a long time since we've had a day like this. Some legitimate drizzle out there now Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 This pattern so early feels to me like it bodes poorly for later. Shooting our load before the action can get going.Let’s this pattern become the trend for the season Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Near constant rain/drizzle all day today, with humidity sticking around 97%. It's been a long time since we've had a day like this. Some legitimate drizzle out there now Sounds beautiful. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Sounds beautiful.Can’t even remember the last time we had a day that nice. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Not Eugene/Springfield apparently. I didn't live here then but the locals talk about their last great snow as being way further back.Their probably thinking January 1969. Blows everything out of the water. Over 3 feet of snow January 25 to 27 and 47.1" for the month. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 This pattern so early feels to me like it bodes poorly for later. Shooting our load before the action can get going.I understand your concerns but to me it's a good sign we are starting to see lots of blocking up in Alaska already. Sure, we need the rain but do we really want zonal flow for most of Autumn and then magically hope the pattern changes for December? From now through the first half of Winter, I don't think the overall pattern will drastically change much. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 The 00z GEM goes absolutely nuts. Sub 528 thickness west of the Cascades. This is starting to get ridiculous. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 I understand your concerns but to me it's a good sign we are starting to see lots of blocking up in Alaska already. Sure, we need the rain but do we really want zonal flow for most of Autumn and then magically hope the pattern changes for December? From now through the first half of Winter, I don't think the overall pattern will drastically change much.In 1949-50, the pattern changed a lot between November and January. Magic may or may not have been involved. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 1, 2018 Author Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Their probably thinking January 1969. Blows everything out of the water. Over 3 feet of snow January 25 to 27 and 47.1" for the month. Wondering how an event like that is possible? Low stalls off the coast of Cape Blanco with a subtropical moisture plume to the south, coupled with a backdoor blowing continental air offshore? Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 In 1949-50, the pattern changed a lot between November and January. Magic may or may not have been involved.The point I was getting at was that it's not necessarily a bad thing to see very cold anomalies for this time of year and in this case for October with what some of the model runs are showing. Speaking of that Winter, October 1949 had a significant cold snap that month. If I'm not mistaken 1949 still holds 5 days of record lows that month, the most for any year. Oct 16: 34Oct 18: 31Oct 19: 27Oct 20: 28Oct 21: 30 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Wondering how an event like that is possible? Low stalls off the coast of Cape Blanco with a subtropical moisture plume to the south, coupled with a backdoor blowing continental air offshore?Here's a link where you can see the weather maps for that time frame. You just need to have the djvu plug-in. I downloaded it from the app store and it works like a charm. https://library.noaa.gov/Collections/Digital-Collections/US-Daily-Weather-Maps All I know from reading up on that event was that it came as a shock to many. Here's an article about that epic event. "The forecast for Saturday, Jan. 25, called for, “Increasing clouds, chance of snow.” Maybe as much as 2.3 inches of snow by noon, the forecast said. Instead, the forecast would have been more accurate if it had included another foot between noon and midnight. But what kind of nutty weatherman was going to predict that?" "Even Florence Florence! got 14 inches over the course of the blizzard. In the first 24 hours of the snowstorm, Eugene-Springfield got 22.9 inches." "Predicting a snowstorm like that which caught forecasters from Roseburg to British Columbia by surprise is about as easy as predicting Earth’s final days, says Clinton Rockey, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Portland who keeps Oregon snow records all the way back to the late 19th century." http://special.registerguard.com/csp/cms/sites/web/news/5675242-35/story.csp 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Here's a link where you can see the weather maps for that time frame. You just need to have the djvu plug-in. I downloaded it from the app store and it works like a charm. https://library.noaa.gov/Collections/Digital-Collections/US-Daily-Weather-Maps All I know from reading up on that event was that it came as a shock to many. Here's an article about that epic event. "The forecast for Saturday, Jan. 25, called for, “Increasing clouds, chance of snow.” Maybe as much as 2.3 inches of snow by noon, the forecast said. Instead, the forecast would have been more accurate if it had included another foot between noon and midnight. But what kind of nutty weatherman was going to predict that?" "Even Florence Florence! got 14 inches over the course of the blizzard. In the first 24 hours of the snowstorm, Eugene-Springfield got 22.9 inches." "Predicting a snowstorm like that which caught forecasters from Roseburg to British Columbia by surprise is about as easy as predicting Earth’s final days, says Clinton Rockey, a meteorologist with the National Weather Service in Portland who keeps Oregon snow records all the way back to the late 19th century." http://special.registerguard.com/csp/cms/sites/web/news/5675242-35/story.cspFascinating read, thanks for posting. Little bit damp this morning here. 1 Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest daniel1 Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 The first half of October is looking good at this point. Looks like we have a great shot at the coveted hot July / cold October combo this year. Combine that with 8-9 winter, very low (and still declining solar), and diminishing likelihood of an El Nino and we have a pretty nice recipe for this winter. I have felt for a while now we would see a noteworthy cold shot during the autumn and the models have certainly been hinting at it.Lol at you saying diminishing likelihood of an El Niño. Keep wishcasting some more. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Lol at you saying diminishing likelihood of an El Niño. Keep wishcasting some more.Does it matter if we end up with a weak niño instead of a warm neutral? The difference is trivial in the end (as far as observable weather/climate tendencies are concerned). 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest daniel1 Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Does it matter if we end up with a weak niño instead of a warm neutral? The difference is trivial in the end (as far as observable weather/climate tendencies are concerned).Everything is pointing to El Niño strengthening to at least weak strength. Yes I think it does matter in the grand scheme of things. The atmosphere is ready to transition to El Niño later in October. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Everything is pointing to El Niño strengthening to at least weak strength. Yes I think it does matter in the grand scheme of things. The atmosphere is ready to transition to El Niño later in October.Huh? It’s already transitioned into a niño-like state. We have WHEM forcing and WPAC subsidence ongoing as we speak. Are you referring to the -EPO/SE-ridge pattern resembling a niña? If so, that’s merely a product of the poleward displaced ITCZ/z-cells and the ongoing poleward propagation of +AAM. This has little to do with ENSO, and more to do with subseasonal variability and the seasonal cycle itself. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Front Ranger Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 Not Eugene/Springfield apparently. I didn't live here then but the locals talk about their last great snow as being way further back.2013-14. Quote A forum for the end of the world. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 1, 2018 Report Share Posted October 1, 2018 1.46" of rain here for this month. Not nearly as wet as the area north or towards the foothills. Month was slight below normal here. Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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