July 2019 Weather Discussion for the PNW

[ShawniganLake]

FWIW... the 12Z GFS ensemble mean is less aggressive with the break down of the ridge next week compared to the operational run.

 

Here is the 12Z GFS operational run for next Thursday:

 

 

 

And here is the 12Z GFS ensemble mean map at the same time:

 

Quite a bit of spread in the ensemble and the operational is one of the most aggressive with the trough. Long range seems to have 2 fairly distinct camps. One hot and one not.

[Tenochtitlan]

It's gray and pretty windy this morning for July, seems like it's gusting to around 30. My tomatillo plant is bending in the wind! 

[Phil]

Only peripherally relevant to the evolution over the PNW but relevant nonetheless:

 

[Tenochtitlan]

Whether the stats support it or not, this July has not really felt like summer. The overall cloudiness and lack of a distinct heatwave has not lead to a summer-y feel.

 

It's actually been a frequent conversation among coworkers in each of the four businesses I work with.

Yeah, especially after May/June being so warm, and the last several July's being exceptionally warm and sunny for the most part as well. This July feels more similar to a typical July in southern England than one here.

[Front Ranger]

Whether the stats support it or not, this July has not really felt like summer. The overall cloudiness and lack of a distinct heatwave has not lead to a summer-y feel.

 

It's actually been a frequent conversation among coworkers in each of the four businesses I work with.

 

No doubt, it's been cloudier than normal, with cooler highs than normal.

 

Also undoubtedly, the unusual warmth/sunniness of the past 6 summers has created a greater contrast with this July so far.

[TacomaWaWx]

Light rain has began to fall here in Tacoma. Currently 65 and breezy as well definitely not your typical mid summer day.

[ShawniganLake]

Vancouver YVR has seen an above average high on 11 of 16 days so far in July.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I was just looking at some stats and PDX currently has had only 1 clear day so far in July. However all the other stations around them have had more. Aurora and Hillsboro have had 4. McMinnville, Scappoose, Troutdale and Vancouver all have had 5 so far.

[Omegaraptor]

I was just looking at some stats and PDX currently has had only 1 clear day so far in July. However all the other stations around them have had more. Aurora and Hillsboro have had 4. McMinnville, Scappoose, Troutdale and Vancouver all have had 5 so far.

I believe the PDX station reports too cloudy.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

Vancouver YVR has seen an above average high on 11 of 16 days so far in July.

What's YVR's overall departure so far in July?

[Frontal Snowsquall]

I believe the PDX station reports too cloudy.

Yeah, I remember you mentioning that.

[ShawniganLake]

What's YVR's overall departure so far in July?

+1.4 or so.

[TT-SEA]

12Z ECMWF is decent. Not much of a break down... pleasant and sunny for the most part.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

76F and clouds burning off and what looks to be another beautiful sunny day for the south valley.

[ShawniganLake]

12Z ECMWF is decent. Not much of a break down... pleasant and sunny for the most part.

Still some hope for some real heat towards the end of July. Hoping for that outcome.

[ShawniganLake]

Starting to see some nice sunbreaks now. Seems like the rain has wrapped up. 0.07”

[Front Ranger]

Yeah, especially after May/June being so warm, and the last several July's being exceptionally warm and sunny for the most part as well. This July feels more similar to a typical July in southern England than one here.

 

True, and March was also sunnier than normal. Only 50% cloud cover that month at SEA.

[Omegaraptor]

True, and March was also sunnier than normal. Only 50% cloud cover that month at SEA.

January was sunnier than normal in my area and it was infuriating for skiiers. No fresh snow for almost the entire month.

[Requiem]

Back from Japan and the weather here is glorious. I'm loving it!

[jcmcgaffey]

Despite all your whining, the timing has been pretty good for weekend weather this summer.

Uh try again....

 

https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/wsdot-our-kingdom-for-two-dry-weekends-as-us-2-project-washes-out-for-12th-time

 

Edit: i do believe Seattle south has had much drier/sunnier weekend weather than the location they are talking about in the article as Seattle north has been much cloudier/rainier overall.

[Timmy Supercell]

I guess the downside to having a cooler July is that every time we get 90+ here my house without AC will feel a lot hotter than in years where I would shrug this off. lol

 

On that note I hope the hottest parts of this summer come with a bit of wet t'storm action.

[seattleweatherguy]

It feels muggy

[MossMan]

Wet and dark still.

[GHweatherChris]

Wet and dark still.

We have daylight here.

[TacomaWaWx]

Wet windy and rainy here 64 currently.

[Front Ranger]

Uh try again....

 

https://komonews.com/weather/scotts-weather-blog/wsdot-our-kingdom-for-two-dry-weekends-as-us-2-project-washes-out-for-12th-time

 

Edit: i do believe Seattle south has had much drier/sunnier weekend weather than the location they are talking about in the article as Seattle north has been much cloudier/rainier overall.

 

SEA has only had measurable precip on like 1 of the past 10 weekends...looked it up a couple days ago.

[BLI snowman]

The whining over this summer has been pretty ridiculous....

[ShawniganLake]

Partly sunny and about 74F here in north cowichan. Pretty average July day. A bit breezy though.

[Front Ranger]

People wanting summer weather in summer? Now that's ridiculous.....

 

I have a coworker who just got back yesterday from being on Whidbey Island for 5 days. Said the weather was great overall, 70s to low 80s, perfect for the summer activities they did.

[Guest CulverJosh]

Hot weather sucks. Why do you want to struggle getting to sleep and/or paying a ton for electricity to stay cool?? Same stupidity as rooting for wind that topples trees and causes power outages.

[TT-SEA]

The whining over this summer has been pretty ridiculous....

 

 

Yeah... from your perspective in your area.    Try to see it from other people's perspective like I have been doing.  

 

We have seen a cumulative total of about 3.5 days of sun here this month in 17 days.   Say what you want about this microclimate... but this is not even close to normal for July here.     And the last 2 weeks of June were cloudy as well.    Its been seriously depressing in terms of persistence considering its the middle of summer. 

 

As if its perfectly normal for 90% of the days in the summer here to be cloudy and/or wet.  Its not.

 

Different perspectives.  

[TT-SEA]

I have a coworker who just got back yesterday from being on Whidbey Island for 5 days. Said the weather was great overall, 70s to low 80s, perfect for the summer activities they did.

 

Friday - Sunday were nice enough... and I think it was decent up there on Monday while it was raining down here.   They got lucky with their timing.

[Omegaraptor]

74 at PDX.

[MossMan]

We have daylight here.

Sure it’s light...about as light as a wet crappy day at about 3:45pm in early December.

[Phil]

Given how anomalously hot/ridgy the last 6 summers have been, this “cloudy” July is just a tiny drop in the bucket.

 

The universe is a balancing act. Note the prominence of spheres and circles throughout the cosmos. Positive/negative, light/dark, yin/yang, the conservation of energy, every-action-has-an-equal-and-opposite-reaction, the cycle of life, etc.

 

You guys might be paying for those 6 years of torching for quite awhile. Tim should get out now, before the multiyear niña in the early 2020s sends glaciers into his backyard.

[TT-SEA]

Sure it’s light...about as light as a wet crappy day at about 3:45pm in early December.

 

Just a typical mid-July day at SEA...  

 

[TT-SEA]

Given how anomalously hot/ridgy the last 6 summers have been, this “cloudy” July is just a tiny drop in the bucket.

 

The universe is a balancing act. Note the prominence of spheres and circles throughout the cosmos. Positive/negative, light/dark, yin/yang, the conservation of energy, every-action-has-an-equal-and-opposite-reaction, the cycle of life, etc.

 

You guys might be paying for those 6 years of torching for quite awhile. Tim should get out now, before the multiyear niña in the early 2020s sends glaciers into his backyard.

 

Constant trolling from the peanut gallery.

[Front Ranger]

Friday - Sunday were nice enough... and I think it was decent up there on Monday while it was raining down here. They got lucky with their timing.

Sounds like there was decent summer weather quite recently.

 

No heatwaves, though.

[TT-SEA]

Sounds like there was decent summer weather quite recently.

 

No heatwaves, though.

 

Did I not sing the praises of the weather over this past weekend enough for you?     Pretty sure I was raving about our short window of nice weather.

 

I don't need any heat waves... although one would be nice for reasons that I have mentioned several times.      

[Phil]

Constant trolling from the peanut gallery.

Mostly just the last sentence.

 

Everything else is true.