GobBluth Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I’m still taking the under.Under on Monday, over Tuesday thru Thursday Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I was over under and under was over done. Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Under on Monday, over Tuesday thru ThursdayEuro says nah. More onshore flow later next week. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Probably the hotttest Euro run I’ve ever seen. 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I’m still taking the under.Will be close. If PDX doesn't get there, maybe another location around the area. Just for fun I'll go with 101/100 for PDX, it'll be hot regardless. I'll be out on the Coast tomorrow so I'll miss one of the days. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Your front loaded summer’s load shifted during flight to a fake vacation. I too doubt we touch 100 either day but it’s a toss up.Daughter and grandson going to attempt cooking a cookie in whatever heat you do get down south i will report how it goes and taste....I’m assuming gooey and moist Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Some theorize they will grow into giant beanstalks with giants living at the top.we shall send Dead animal Dave to investigate!!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 It's still weird how progressive the ridge looks, as hot as it gets. There's literally no amplification. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Phil have you locked in on any analogs for the coming fall/winter? 49-50, 68-69, 08-09 (150 miles south), 13-14 2 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 It's still weird how progressive the ridge looks, as hot as it gets. There's literally no amplification.The momentum budget doesn’t favor the type of amplification you’re thinking of (N/NE Pacific trough closing off with ridging building over the West). I get that’s a typical mid/late summer progression, especially recently, but usually the in-situ boundary conditions are what allow it to occur that way. Sort of fluky that ridge is even there to begin with. If hurricane Douglas hadn’t developed it might not be present in any substantial fashion. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Cicadas buzzing again today, with a light WNW breeze. There hasn't been one day this entire summer that had completely calm, still conditions. 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I'll "Price is Right" it and go with Sun 98F and Mon 97F here. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Phil have you locked in on any analogs for the coming fall/winter?Not yet. Won’t have much idea until late September at earliest. Uncertainty rises upon the termination of ASM season, given the large quantity of heat present in the IPWP that could change the low pass structure significantly. Also the QBO is a disorganized mess..looks like we’re entering the downwelling westerly shear phase early, with few if any easterly anomalies remaining at/below 50mb come DJF. Also need to see how geomagnetic activity evolves from mid-September to mid-November..though it’s probably going to be quieter this year assuming a typical solar minimum transit re: charged particle fluxes. Analog pools for ENSO/Smin/QBO extrapolation are still mostly useless because the SSTA/OHC structure and atmospheric circulation aren’t spatially synchronized right now. 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 It’s not cold out anymore. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 It’s not cold out anymore. If it's not Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Winterdog Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Seems to get a lot colder over there at night; there hasn't been a sub-50F low here since June 14th and even then just barely at 49F.Our property is in a small valley with very little wind so we do well with overnight lows. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 That’s a monstrous NE-Canada ridge on the LR euro. Sort of reminiscent of the 2010/11 period (as is the IO standing wave). Who knows, maybe that’ll be a winter analog. Of course the euro also yanks the rug on any real cooldown out here. Can’t get invested..this hobby is brutal. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Had a low of 46 here this morning. Already up to 74 so 80 should be achieved very easily. I really hate this season anymore and hope fall can start in August this year with some legitimate rains. But in reality it'll probably be hotter than this month and actually continue the string of ridiculously warm and dry summers. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Had a low of 46 here this morning. Already up to 74 so 80 should be achieved very easily. I really hate this season anymore and hope fall can start in August this year with some legitimate rains. But in reality it'll probably be hotter than this month and actually continue the string of ridiculously warm and dry summers. Thought you moving to Florida where you don't have to worry about our annoying pleasant summers? Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Had a low of 46 here this morning. Already up to 74 so 80 should be achieved very easily. I really hate this season anymore and hope fall can start in August this year with some legitimate rains. But in reality it'll probably be hotter than this month and actually continue the string of ridiculously warm and dry summers.Yeah summer used to be my favorite season, but has regressed to #3. Some may be surprised to know my least favorite season is winter. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Yeah summer used to be my favorite season, but has regressed to #3. Some may be surprised to know my least favorite season is winter.1. Fall2. Winter3. Summer4. Spring 3 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 That’s a monstrous NE-Canada ridge on the LR euro. Sort of reminiscent of the 2010/11 period (as is the IO standing wave). Who knows, maybe that’ll be a winter analog. Of course the euro also yanks the rug on any real cooldown out here. Can’t get invested..this hobby is brutal.That was a really solid winter above 1000’ down here. Not amazing for PDX and the valley. I hear it was really good for Seattle though. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 1. Fall2. Winter3. Summer4. Spring1. Winter2. Spring3. Fall..784. Covid-19..♾: Summer 3 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
El_Nina Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Thought you moving to Florida where you don't have to worry about our annoying pleasant summers?The weather is always exciting there no matter what time of year. And for some reason the humidity doesn't bother me at all, I actually kind of like having some texture in the air. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 49-50, 68-69, 08-09 (150 miles south), 13-14Little Ice Age. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Little Ice Age.Ironically 13-14 kind of sucked at the higher elevations. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jbolin Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I was over under and under was over done.https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=IC7pZSd8iRg Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Time to get into cross country skiing.I’ll probably figure out some way to make it work. I do ski racing for school and the future of that is uncertain but I’ll have to find a way to go skiing at least a few times. If not that, then probably snowshoeing. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I’ll probably figure out some way to make it work. I do ski racing for school and the future of that is uncertain but I’ll have to find a way to go skiing at least a few times. If not that, then probably snowshoeing. I'd be surprised if the resorts close off this winter, especially with our looming 1000" base at Meadows. Skiing is a pretty socially distanced activity. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 I'd be surprised if the resorts close off this winter, especially with our looming 1000" base at Meadows. Skiing is a pretty socially distanced activity. Not to mention masks are common. Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Ironically 13-14 kind of sucked at the higher elevations. Yeah it was great for the lowlands tho, and I think several CCG events, including the early Feb, 2014 event. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 1. Winter2. Spring3. Fall..784. Covid-19..♾: Summer Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Hanna has intensified into a Cat 1 hurricane and has officially made landfall on the south Texas coast. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Hanna has intensified into a Cat 1 hurricane and has officially made landfall on the south Texas coast.Almost made it up to category 2. I'm impressed how fast it strengthened. "Hurricane #Hanna made landfall on Padre Island, Texas at 5 PM CDT with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph." https://mobile.twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1287147118847643649 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Almost made it up to category 2. I'm impressed how fast it strengthened."Hurricane #Hanna made landfall on Padre Island, Texas at 5 PM CDT with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph."https://mobile.twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1287147118847643649Here’s Hurricane Douglas in the Pacific. Doesn’t look so big when it’s in the middle of the vast ocean, but when you realize it’s almost as big as Arizona... 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 1 Quote Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Almost made it up to category 2. I'm impressed how fast it strengthened. "Hurricane #Hanna made landfall on Padre Island, Texas at 5 PM CDT with maximum sustained winds of 90 mph." https://mobile.twitter.com/NHC_Atlantic/status/1287147118847643649Thinking the next one (Isaias) could be a biggie. If nothing else, simply because half of all “I-named” storms have been retired since the turn of the century. IrisIsadoreIsabelIvanIkeIgorIreneIngridIrma 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jakeinthevalley Posted July 25, 2020 Report Share Posted July 25, 2020 Just got back from a morning fishing/crabbing trip out of Pacific City. 51f when I left Salem at 3am. Got down to 49f. Amazed that the water off PC was in the upper 40's/lower 50's. No blob there Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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