January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part I)

[VancouverIslandSouth]

15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Snow on the CA coast is a very real threat if this verifies.

The PV basically parks itself beside California, you'd be getting actual Arctic outflow into the valleys down there. This could be a significant palm tree killer down there if it verified.

[Phishy Wx]

ok hitting the sack,  Zoom meeting at 7am.

 

pleasant dreams of blizzard warnings and wind chill warnings....

[Omegaraptor]

What are the best cold sink locations in central and south-central Oregon reachable by car in the winter?

[RentonHill]

[Snownerd3000]

 

[Slushy Inch]

EPS

[SpaceRace22]

9 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Wee bit nippy for Socal.

Sea level snow all the way down to Pt Conception, lol

[catnip]

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF re-cap. 10 Day GIFs(Might want to save these!) 500mb Height Anomaly, 850mb Temps, 925mb Temps, 1000-500mb Thickness/MSLP/Precip

[Front Ranger]

2 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said:

ok hitting the sack,  Zoom meeting at 7am.

 

pleasant dreams of blizzard warnings and wind chill warnings....

Good lord...you must work for someone back east.

[SnowWillarrive]

2 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

The PV basically parks itself beside California, you'd be getting actual Arctic outflow into the valleys down there. This could be a significant palm tree killer down there if it verified.

Kill all the palms. Revenge for the firs! 

[Parrot]

29 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

4 inches for the Pacific Ocean!   well done 

Oh good, finaly some snow for all the people who live there  

[snow_wizard]

3 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

What are the best cold sink locations in central and south-central Oregon reachable by car in the winter?

Foster Flat.

[OysterPrintout]

3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

The cold is way too entrenched for ice at that point.  Way too deep.

I'm referring to my paintbrush of looking down the road and the inevitable scouring the entrenched cold via overrunning

[Kolk1604]

Wait are we really calling this "modified"? 

 

 

[Gradient Keeper]

00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals

[snow_wizard]

10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

I think temps in the 20s with a moderate amount of snow is perfect.   No melting but also no pipes bursting or roofs collapsing.   All the good with none of the bad.  

Something like 1928-29 or 1936-37.  Great cold winters with none of the nasty crap.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Foster Flat.

Ukiah and Seneca are good ones too. 

[Snownerd3000]

Just now, Kolk1604 said:

Wait are we really calling this "modified"? 

 

 

I was just about to share this and say the same thing! Maybe the NBM isn't so radical with the temps. 

[BLI snowman]

4 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

 

[SpaceRace22]

1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said:

Wait are we really calling this "modified"? 

 

 

God D**n it Shannon I know you're reading this. How DARE you? Who the HELL do you think you are?

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

2 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Genocide Mike!

I think we're tired of you injecting your politics into every tweet of his that's posted.  Knock it off and keep it to weather.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

3 minutes ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

The PV basically parks itself beside California, you'd be getting actual Arctic outflow into the valleys down there. This could be a significant palm tree killer down there if it verified.

Could be some very low windchills in the NW with strong easterly winds out of valleys that don't typically get intense outflow due to the orientation of the typical Arctic airmass.

[RentonHill]

Just now, BLI snowman said:

 

Yes. EPS looks NOICE

[MossMan]

I still cannot believe what I am looking at forecasted IN A STRONG EL NINO JANUARY!!! Ahhhh!!! No words…Besides let’s keep this frozen ball rolling right up until game time! 

[Cascadia_Wx]

I mean we basically had a subtropical high over the Canadian arctic much of December. Would balance things out a little to have the PV parked over Plumas County, California for a couple days.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

If we get a real legit arctic blast some snow is to be expected but some of these end up dry. Not saying this will, but a major blast will probably not favor outflow areas at least once the offshore flow really cranks. 

[snow_wizard]

EPS is fantastic!  Every aspect is better.

[Gradient Keeper]

3 minutes ago, OysterPrintout said:

I'm referring to my paintbrush of looking down the road and the inevitable scouring the entrenched cold via overrunning

It would take at minimum two systems to scour out just the valley, but PDX metro the east winds would keep PDX in the deep freezer temps would be even colder than what the Euro shows. It could take 5-7 days, maybe longer? Who knows.

[TT-SEA]

ECMWF shows a low of 4 at SEA.

[RentonHill]

[MossMan]

2 minutes ago, Snownerd3000 said:

I was just about to share this and say the same thing! Maybe the NBM isn't so radical with the temps. 

Most Mets like to use that term. It was flung around wildly in the 90’s

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

I mean we basically had a subtropical high over the Canadian arctic much of December. Would balance things out a little to have the PV parked over Plumas County, California for a couple days.

The balancing things out argument would be right for once. 

[snow_wizard]

Could be looking at the greatest January event in decades.

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

28 minutes ago, CliffMassYelledAtMe said:

Any Fraser winds with this? Wondering about wind chill up in Bellingham and whether I need to prepare my kiddo up at Western. Has been a really mild fall up there so far, and she has no idea about those Fraser winds.

Having lived in Bellingham from 1984 through 2013, those winds are no joke, though the worst winds are north of town, especially north of the Smith road.  It may keep Bellingham from getting a lot of snow, but it feels pretty nasty when it's that cold and the wind is blowing.  I'm guessing a lot of kids are wearing shorts these days.  They may be in for a rude awakening.

[RentonHill]

[Rubus Leucodermis]

13 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

What are the best cold sink locations in central and south-central Oregon reachable by car in the winter?

Seneca.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Just now, RentonHill said:

It’s mocking us with that face! Looks good. I haven’t seen comparisons to the 12z but it looks solid. 

[Front Ranger]

3 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Most Mets like to use that term. It was flung around wildly in the 90’s

Technically it's always true. Even Jan 1950 was "modified" from its Arctic source.

Kinda a dumb term, though.

[BLI snowman]

That EPS run looks like a doodle that Jim did in MS Paint during a work meeting in August.