January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[MossMan]

10 minutes ago, KingstonWX said:

We don't need to win, we just need to get a participation trophy. 

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

[Front Ranger]

13 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

The GFS shifted 100 miles south. It’s folding like the cheap tent it is. Sorry Seattle, you aren’t going to win this battle.

May the biggest weiner win.

[Mercurial]

-40 burgers coming up 

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Like forever?

Yes. 100% guaranteed. 

[Cloud]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Like forever?

I wish! Ice age baby. 
just last frame I saw

[Dillymill217]

4 minutes ago, awright-31 said:

Careful, don't get too excited. Those snow totals are way overdone, the GFS always does that. 6-10" way more realistic on the high end of things. Maybe a foot in a few spots.

I know, goofus will goof but one can dream lol. I will be happy with a few inches which is far more realistic. Haven’t gotten a foot or more since February 2017 when we got hammered with 14 inches in one day lol.

[westcoastexpat]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

Size queen.

[kokaneekidz]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

A real size queen

[LowerGarfield]

1 minute ago, MWG said:

I just want enough snow tonight into tomorrow morning the school district cancel school because buses can't even ride on the snow routes lol!  

Hire all the Californians as bus drivers and you'll get snow days

[KingstonWX]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

You get 6" in showery fringe events. That's easy.

[CasuallyFoxy]

Starting to mix with snow in OC, seems a bit ahead of schedule.

[Parrot]

8 minutes ago, Mid Valley Duck said:

Not a meaningful southern shift? I can’t say I agree with your assessment. 

 

Sorry, I'm broke so I can't exactly do frame by frame analysis besides what gets posted here. Looked similar in some of the other maps I saw but clearly I'm wrong.

[LowerGarfield]

Just now, westcoastexpat said:

Size queen.

For that he's getting 6.6.... centimetres of snow.

[Deweydog]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

I think average is like 5.5

[Kayla]

16 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

Helluva air mass. What'd you hit last December again? I think you said Bozeman was near all time record?

The airport saw -24F/-45F last December 22nd which is now the coldest day on record. -17F/-40F in my backyard but my Davis is only rated to -40F so it's possible that it was colder.

We saw 700mb temps around -30C with that one last year. The latest GFS is showing -23C but the Euro gets down to -31C. Lots of -30 to -40F readings look to be a good bet at his point.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

Spoken like a man who is accustomed to nice things.

[TT-SEA]

Here is a good comparison on the GEM.

Top frame is total snow Friday 1 p.m. through Sunday 1 p.m. (entire event) from 12Z run.    Bottom frame is the new 00Z run.   That is consistent.      Just a slight southward shift.  

[westcoastexpat]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Here is a good comparison on the GEM.

Top frame is total snow Friday 1 p.m. through Sunday 1 p.m. (entire event) from 12Z run.    Bottom frame is the new 00Z run.   That is consistent.      Just a slight southward shift.  

No need to post the GEM anymore. We're all in on the GFS.

[Minion]

55 minutes ago, MossMan said:

When it comes to my snow…I’m always DEAD serious…

Fair lol

[North_County]

2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

You're the biggest power outage fan I know, Randy. 

*Only*. He's the *ONLY* power outage fan I know.

[Minion]

8 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I need at least 6”. 6” will make me happy. Nothing less though. 

Well... if that will make you happy buddy. 

[MossMan]

6 minutes ago, LowerGarfield said:

For that he's getting 6.6.... centimetres of snow.

[Mercurial]

8 minutes ago, MWG said:

I just want enough snow tonight into tomorrow morning the school district cancel school because buses can't even ride on the snow routes lol!  

I grew up in Maryland, which is like the snow day capital of the US.  They average 15-20" per year, but schools routinely close for even 1" of snow.  I got 4-5 snow days per year like clockwork.  I basically missed half of high school Calculus during the winter of '02-03.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

00z GRAF shows PDX temperature fall from 39 at Friday noon to 30 in 2 hours as they start getting an east wind. Looks like some precipitation is making its way in during that time.

[Minion]

8 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

I think average is like 5.5

Not in Canada... 6.1 is so he should head north. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

This is going to be the biggest snow storm to hit the area in a long time. Whoever is in the sweet spot might get a once or twice lifetime event.

[LowerGarfield]

1 minute ago, MossMan said:

that would be a puke reaction for you though.

[MV_snow]

That second low modeled right behind the first one on the GFS is interesting. Wondering if other models will pick up on that. Seems like the two low solution is the only way we can get a regional event.

[Rustysprocket]

SW Tron/Aloha chunky mix, 37. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

This is going to be the biggest snow storm to hit the area in a long time. Whoever is in the sweet spot might get a once or twice lifetime event.

Not sure about that.  2019 was much bigger for the Seattle area.    

[Requiem]

Snow at Gales Creek

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I’m eyeballing an inch right now. 

[Cold Snap]

Big step back for Seattle on the 00z GEFS. Portland looks better though.

[Jbolin]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Not sure about that.  2019 was much bigger for the Seattle area.    

Yup, some places in West Seattle for example had over two plus feet. That was also a longer duration event too.

[Requiem]

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Not sure about that.  2019 was much bigger for the Seattle area.    

I'm talking about 1 single storm. 

[Mid Valley Duck]

Significant shift south with the GEFS. The OP is on the north side of it's own ensemble now.
 

[Doinko]

Snow mixing in, first flakes of the season!

[westcoastexpat]

Please redact any post with the 00Z GEFS. 

[FroYoBro]

Heavy rain is bringing the temperature down even with a south breeze. Down to 37, but my power is still out, so don’t have a good snow light to use for a flake search.