January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[smerfylicious]

I think i mightve lucked out on this. CZ is parked on top of me. Might scratch more than a few inches out of this!

[SnowWillarrive]

17 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

We have confirmation. It snow  

Where are you? 

[Cold Snap]

Radar is starting to look kind of juicy up near Bellingham.

[Deweydog]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

What are your thoughts on how the low level cold persists next week? Feel like it could be a pretty optimal pattern with such a cold antecedent airmass, especially if we get some snowcover.

The GFS is best case with the sharper ridge solution. Pure gap wind with a nice lid on the air mass. With decent snowcover, I could see PDX flirting with four consecutive highs in the 20’s, although the other models seem to be more about NW’erly flow which would mean a quicker moderation at the surface.

[LowerGarfield]

17 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

We have confirmation. It snow  

A thing of beauty.

[smerfylicious]

1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said:

Where are you? 

Gold Bar

[TacomaWx]

10 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

Who is all headed to the meet up later? Was thinking of maybe pulling up.

I was gonna, but I’m up here working til atleast 6 tonight prepping water treatment sites for the freezer. 

[Requiem]

I am choosing to believe the other models mostly in lockstep rather than the NAM, which has apparently forgotten how to resolve low pressure areas

[sherwoodor]

5 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Where is it?

I dont know where/what it actually is, but I've seen my favorite word mentioned quite a few times regarding the meetup location, and I'm told its at the S.L.U.T

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

25 in Bellingham

[SnowWillarrive]

3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

Gold Bar

I’m impressed. Gives me a little hope for this evening. 

[KingstonWX]

Currently experiencing the lightest snow shower ever in history. 

...and sun at the same time. 

[Port Angeles Foothiller]

Now 40 with a DP of 27. Winds still howling out of the west

[Cascadia_Wx]

Would also be a small win if PDX can manage to drop into the 30s by midnight tonight (and stay there into morning) just for the sake of scoring their first sub-40 high of the season tomorrow.

[SouthHillFrosty]

10 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Where is it?

SLU (South Lake Union) in Seattle at a bar called Tapster I believe.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nam south but stronger low.

[Phil]

Well what do you know. Bottom-up instead of top-down but it’s a SSW nonetheless (hence the near zero lag time to project onto the NAM (northern annular mode).

[Blizzard777]

42* and winds from the south
22 mph gust so far 

[Phil]

13 minutes ago, iFred said:

@RentonHill and I will be there. @Meatyorologist and @SouthHillFrostymight be there. Was hoping for @MossManand @TT-SEA to make an appearance.

I’d 1000% be there if I could teleport.

[mtep]

Tiny flakes starting to stick in south Bham. Probably won't amount to much but it sure is pretty. 

[AbbyJr]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Well what do you know. Bottom-up instead of top-down but it’s a SSW nonetheless (hence the near zero lag time to project onto the NAM (northern annular mode).

Do you think the SSW could bring another -PNA/-NAO period with some more PNW cold? Or will it likely go +PNA/-NAO?

[Cascadia_Wx]

3 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

Nam south but stronger low.

Man north but weaker low

[Phil]

2 minutes ago, AbbyJr said:

Do you think the SSW could bring another -PNA/-NAO period with some more PNW cold? Or will it likely go +PNA/-NAO?

+PNA and -NAO don’t really work well together, so I’d wager at least neutral/dormant PNA during next -NAO cycle (probably starts Feb 10-15).

[High Desert Mat?]

4 minutes ago, Phil said:

Well what do you know. Bottom-up instead of top-down but it’s a SSW nonetheless (hence the near zero lag time to project onto the NAM (northern annular mode).

Can barely read the dates on it but if I’m correct it says January 24th? If that’s the case another bout of cold weather could happen at the end of fist week of February or so. Something to keep an eye on. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Man north but weaker low

I had to look at that a minute lol.

[SnowWillarrive]

That banding over HWY 2 is intense

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 hour ago, OysterPrintout said:

do not do it Fred this man was our good luck charm I will forever refer to this as the Nyberg Storm of 2024

LoL.  Tough crowd.  

[Poulsbo Snowman]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

I’d 1000% be there if I could teleport.

Video call.  Just have your own beverage available.

[MossMan]

20 minutes ago, iFred said:

@RentonHill and I will be there. @Meatyorologist and @SouthHillFrostymight be there. Was hoping for @MossManand @TT-SEA to make an appearance.

If you do another one up around Everett someday I will definitely make it! 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

winds are switching and picking up in the north sound, this isn't going to take long.

[Phil]

5 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said:

Can barely read the dates on it but if I’m correct it says January 24th? If that’s the case another bout of cold weather could happen at the end of fist week of February or so. Something to keep an eye on. 

Possibly, yes. Though this is a bottom-up type SSW as opposed to the classic top-down type SSW.

The initial (minor) SSW that already happened has already downwelled effectively and is contributing to the -NAO

[Phil]

1 minute ago, Poulsbo Snowman said:

Video call.  Just have your own beverage available.

Haha, I mean I’d be down. Does a Dasani water bottle count as a beverage??

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Reports of flurries coming in from NE parts of metro Vancouver.

Nothing IMBY yet. My best chances start in another hour or three, per models.

[TacomaWx]

1 minute ago, SnowWillarrive said:

That banding over HWY 2 is intense

Can clearly see it. You can tell where the frontal boundary is up north too. Going to be an interesting evening across the area. 

[AbbyJr]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

+PNA and -NAO don’t really work well together, so I’d wager at least neutral/dormant PNA during next -NAO cycle (probably starts Feb 10-15).

Maybe another cold period in the PNW around that time then. One can hope. It can still get cold here in February. I remember February 2018 was quite cold and there was a region wide snowstorm up here in SWBC late month. 

[Blizzard777]

23 minutes ago, iFred said:

@RentonHill and I will be there. @Meatyorologist and @SouthHillFrostymight be there. Was hoping for @MossManand @TT-SEA to make an appearance.

At best I’m a wildcard to show.  But I’m too into this event and saving lives from this chair

[SnowWillarrive]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

Can clearly see it. You can tell where the frontal boundary is up north too. Going to be an interesting evening across the area. 

I hope that banding can push south with the front. Preferably after 4 pm 

[Poulsbo Snowman]

2 minutes ago, Phil said:

Haha, I mean I’d be down. Does a Dasani water bottle count as a beverage??

I don't do Dasani.  Not the purest water ever.  But yes, that counts!

[Poulsbo Snowman]

Looks like the front is approaching Anacortes.  Dew points falling.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12z GraphCast not much change. SW WA/PDX Metro at the northern end of moisture.