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56 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Running out of time!  Definitely north though.   

ecmwf-deterministic-washington-snow_24hr_kuchera-5233600 (2).png

ecmwf-deterministic-nw-precip_1hr_inch-1705060800-1705064400-1705262400-10.gif

If memory serves me correctly I’ve seen these storm run into the cold airmass like this and slip south or fall apart at the last minute. When I look at the Satellite in motion it makes sense but what do I know 🤔.  Will be curious if the energy from this storm can plow through.  

 

IMG_3997.jpeg

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1 minute ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

To give you an idea how brutal 1990 was, there was 2 feet long ice hanging off power lines down there. 

Definitely going to head down to the waterfront today or tomorrow to check it out. Either way I’ve never seen something quite as potent as this airmass in my lifetime. 

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Need some advice. Have a bball tourney in Seaside this weekend. Organizers aren’t cancelling. Everyone is heading out there this afternoon. 1) Should conditions over the pass be ok? 2) Is there gonna be enough ZR at the coast to make travel around town impossible during the day tomorrow?

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36 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

One of our residents was sitting completely still on the feeder this morning... the water was frozen but it sat there waiting.   I assume they are conserving energy.  

They feed about every 15 min.  This time of year in these conditions, without food, there will be a higher mortality rate.  It will be a rough go for them.

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1 minute ago, Blizzard777 said:

We kind of laughed at the numbers that were being spit out a couple weeks ago!! Lol and ouch 

IMG_3998.png

For the record... I didn't say anything about 850mb temp potential.  I leave that to the experts!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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26 minutes ago, the_convergence_zone said:

Unfortunately the hummer turf wars are pretty brutal. The one that owns my feeder is ferociously defending it against several others. I'm sure that some of them won't make it. Their numbers were noticeably lower after the Dec 2021 cold snap. 

I put feeders on opposite sides of the house to slow the turf wars down. 

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2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

For the record... I didn't say anything about 850mb temp potential.  I leave that to the experts!

Too bad Sean Nyberg wont come back to talk about the 850mb temp potential.

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4 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

The northern push of arctic air is beating the push through the Gorge at the moment. Im up in Salmon Creek right now and there’s a stiff north wind. The temp has fallen from 34 to 30 in the last half hour.

Yeah, the northern push had more momentum than I expected. It's just now nearing Troutdale from the east.

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5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Ninas have a higher floor and maybe a higher ceiling on a seasonal level, although 1968-69 kind of tramples that argument a little.

Otherwise, Ninos can still be very effective at producing regional subseasonal cold/snow patterns in the PNW. Just this century alone we've seen it in January 2007, December 2009, February 2019, and January 2024 (!). The notion that we have to be warm/splitty in a Nino is pretty lazy.

 

I think getting 2014-15 and 2015-16 back to back did a number on the Niño reputation. Both were highly prototypical for the PNW.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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7 minutes ago, thickhog said:

Need some advice. Have a bball tourney in Seaside this weekend. Organizers aren’t cancelling. Everyone is heading out there this afternoon. 1) Should conditions over the pass be ok? 2) Is there gonna be enough ZR at the coast to make travel around town impossible during the day tomorrow?

Take your Tauntaun

han-solo-tauntaun.jpg

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1 minute ago, iFred said:

@MillCreekMike and @MossMan - I have some shirts from the meet up if you two (and anyone else in the SnoCo area) want to do a coffee meetup later today.

If I didn't have other plans today I would love to meet Randy and Mike too!

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 50.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-2022-23: 5.75"

-2023-24*: 0.25"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

-Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31

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12 minutes ago, SimplySmoothWX said:

Rain showers in Corvallis right now, even though nothings showing up on radar

Yeah...radar down here is nonexistent. Unfortunately the northern portion of "The Empty West" is pretty much a forgotten part of the country in terms of weather.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Haven't cleared driveway because I figured it would melt like all other little snow events this week.  Not happening for some reason... might have to reconsider.   😀    

Temp has not budged all day.   Sitting at 19. 

20240112_110855.jpg

Ya didn’t hit our lowest temp so far until around 10-10:30 when we hit 14 now it bumped up 15 which is crazy for 11:30. 

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1 hour ago, Winterdog said:

No snow except for what’s on Jordan Ridge,  had a low of 12, currently 14.

IMG_6858.thumb.jpeg.d79a0566387f3f75d7ae615ca3eb90db.jpeg

I beat you this morning at 10.8! 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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I'm 15 miles south of Troutdale and in a completely different world climate-wise during these events.  Been at 37f all morning.  Dropped 3 degrees about 5am but it's been constant since.  I'm more protected from the east winds too so I'll be the last to see things change in this part of the valley.  I'm 10 miles SE from 205/Division St and also in a drastically different world from there.    Incredible how a few miles changes things.  Mostly it's topography. 

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...AREAS OF BLACK ICE COULD IMPACT THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE DUE
TO A FLASH FREEZE...

At 11 AM PST Friday, temperatures were rapidly dropping across
southwest Washington and far northwest Oregon, including the
Portland/Vancouver metro, Columbia River Gorge, north Oregon
coast, and north Oregon Coast Range. In fact, many locations
within the aforementioned areas were already below freezing at 11
AM Friday. An arctic cold front dropping from the north, combined
with cold easterly winds developing in the Columbia River Gorge,
will result in rapidly cooling temperatures through Friday
afternoon and evening. By approximately 3 PM PST Friday,
temperatures should be in the 20s. Given the wet road conditions
leading up to the flash freeze, areas of black ice are a concern.
As such, slippery road conditions could impact the Friday evening
commute, prior to the arrival of a winter storm set to impact
southwest Washington and northwest Oregon Friday night through
Saturday night. Sidewalks and other surface may also become icy.
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3 minutes ago, Prairiedog said:

I'm 15 miles south of Troutdale and in a completely different world climate-wise during these events.  Been at 37f all morning.  Dropped 3 degrees about 5am but it's been constant since.  I'm more protected from the east winds too so I'll be the last to see things change in this part of the valley.  I'm 10 miles SE from 205/Division St and also in a drastically different world from there.    Incredible how a few miles changes things.  Mostly it's topography. 

Hold my beer...

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2

My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope

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2 minutes ago, Perturbed Member said:
...AREAS OF BLACK ICE COULD IMPACT THE FRIDAY EVENING COMMUTE DUE
TO A FLASH FREEZE...

At 11 AM PST Friday, temperatures were rapidly dropping across
southwest Washington and far northwest Oregon, including the
Portland/Vancouver metro, Columbia River Gorge, north Oregon
coast, and north Oregon Coast Range. In fact, many locations
within the aforementioned areas were already below freezing at 11
AM Friday. An arctic cold front dropping from the north, combined
with cold easterly winds developing in the Columbia River Gorge,
will result in rapidly cooling temperatures through Friday
afternoon and evening. By approximately 3 PM PST Friday,
temperatures should be in the 20s. Given the wet road conditions
leading up to the flash freeze, areas of black ice are a concern.
As such, slippery road conditions could impact the Friday evening
commute, prior to the arrival of a winter storm set to impact
southwest Washington and northwest Oregon Friday night through
Saturday night. Sidewalks and other surface may also become icy.

Down to 33 with the front from the north with some light flurries. This is really impressive. Hoping for some snow this evening in the air at least

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14 minutes ago, Blizzard777 said:

We kind of laughed at the numbers that were being spit out a couple weeks ago!! Lol and ouch 

IMG_3998.png

The funny thing is none of the numbers were ever all that extreme for here. It was just for a while there in the beginning that the models thought the PACNW was Montana.

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Cold Season 2023/24:

Total snowfall: 26"

Highest daily snowfall: 5"

Deepest snow depth: 12"

Coldest daily high: -20ºF

Coldest daily low: -42ºF

Number of subzero days: 5

Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: 

https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history

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weird day.  My grass is trying to freeze up at mid day.  Random snowflakes falling.  Road crews are dumping gravel on bare roads…. Ive never understood that, why would you ever put gravel on a dry road? It just gets kicked off the side

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9 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Yeah...radar down here is nonexistent. Unfortunately the northern portion of "The Empty West" is pretty much a forgotten part of the country in terms of weather.

ah, totally forgot about the radar hole here. I'm used to being in the Portland metro where what you see is what you get

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