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If the upper levels had cooperated then this would've been a poor man's Jan 1969.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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4 minutes ago, Deweydog said:

Down to 8 at Cape Horn.

Impressive. I actually took a drive up there last night to experience the Gorge outflow before the roads got bad. It was 13-14 then.

Where do you see the floor for PDX with this, temp wise? Temp/DP spreads are still decent, and with heavier moisture moving in it seems like they could squeeze out a couple more degrees.

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Summer ☀️ grows while Winter ❄️  goes

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2 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I’m in Enumclaw to experience the East windstorm. Don’t think I’ve ever seen their Zone Forecast for up to 75 mph gusts before.

Detailed forecast for

East Puget Sound Lowlands

Rest Of Today
Very windy. Mostly cloudy. Highs 17 to 24. East wind 20 to 35 mph, except east 25 to 45 mph near gaps in the terrain. Gusts to 50 mph late in the morning. Near gaps in the terrain, gusts to 60 mph increasing to 75 mph in the afternoon. 
Tonight
Very windy. Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 9 to 16. Northeast wind 25 to 35 mph becoming east to 10 mph after midnight. Near gaps in the terrain, east wind 30 to 45 mph with gusts to 75 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph after midnight.

Biggest one I experienced was Feb 2006 in Tacoma. 60+ mph gusts with that.

A forum for the end of the world.

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Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Impressive. I actually took a drive up there last night to experience the Gorge outflow before the roads got bad. It was 13-14 then.

Where do you see the floor for PDX with this, temp wise? Temp/DP spreads are still decent, and with heavier moisture moving in it seems like they could squeeze out a couple more degrees.

That’s tough to say, but I think 14 is doable. Maybe close to sunset?

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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5 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

I’m in Enumclaw to experience the East windstorm. Don’t think I’ve ever seen their Zone Forecast for up to 75 mph gusts before.

Detailed forecast for

East Puget Sound Lowlands

Rest Of Today
Very windy. Mostly cloudy. Highs 17 to 24. East wind 20 to 35 mph, except east 25 to 45 mph near gaps in the terrain. Gusts to 50 mph late in the morning. Near gaps in the terrain, gusts to 60 mph increasing to 75 mph in the afternoon. 
Tonight
Very windy. Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 9 to 16. Northeast wind 25 to 35 mph becoming east to 10 mph after midnight. Near gaps in the terrain, east wind 30 to 45 mph with gusts to 75 mph decreasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to 35 mph after midnight.

When is it supposed to start there?   And does the wind hitting Enumclaw also mean it's hits Crystal Mountain?   I can't believe its calm at Crystal right now.    My son said they were so worried about crowds that they implemented parking pass system for this weekend and the place is half empty and there are no lines and the weather and snow conditions are great.   

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Just now, Ken in Wood Village said:

I want to say this is a deformation line forming. Precipitation rates are going to increase dramatically 🤗🌨❄️

KRTX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 10_56 AM.gif

KRTX - Precipitation Depiction, 10_56 AM.gif

That's a sleet profile Ken. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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Just now, TT-SEA said:

When is it supposed to start there?   And does the wind hitting there also mean it's hit Crystal Mountain?   I can't believe its calm at Crystal right now.    My son said they were so worried about crowds that they implemented park pass system for this weekend and the place is half empty and there are no lines and the weather and snow conditions are great.   

It was extremely windy here in Ravensdale this morning. Went for a walk up the ridge behind my home and I can see the Cedar River Water shed and the back side of NorthBend.IMG_5461.thumb.jpeg.1c6768c857944b5fc85702aa05386eda.jpeg

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-5 now at Santiam Pass. That air is spilling down the North Santiam drainage. Down to 13 at Detroit. 

The next 1-2 hours is the peak of the warm layer. If I was in the mid-metro getting sleet now I wouldn't be super concerned. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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17 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

It’s not good for anyone 

That letter L just needs to creep in a few more miles to the south and I believe we might be golden up here…Maybe? 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Certainly the most memorable storm I’ve had in my life. I feel for all the folks without power right now, must be miserable. This is truly dangerous for those stuck outside. 

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Location 850’ NW Hills in Portland

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7 at The Dalles. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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10 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

I'm grateful we got below freezing and managed to be in the surface Arctic airmass. More enjoyable than being in Roseburg where they'll approach a 50F burger today. Already like a 15F temp gradient between there and here.

Anything below Roseburg 😂 but obviously Medford to Ashland we do better than them. Supposed to get to 47F here but we have managed to stay 37F and right now we have heavy rain. Sucks to be in the south end of this storm.

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1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Still all snow here, for the precip type watchers

Can't really tell here. I think it's all snow right now? Not hearing anything on the window anymore but sometimes it starts sounding like sleet for a bit. Either way it's been mostly snow since the early morning

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Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Still all snow here, for the precip type watchers

Should stay all snow north of the river. 3-6pm will likely be the heaviest snow for you and all the metro. I think by about 3pm the vast majority of the metro except maybe the Oregon City area will be all snow. 

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Snowfall                                  Precip

2022-23: 95.0"                      2022-23: 17.39"

2021-22: 52.6"                    2021-22: 91.46" 

2020-21: 12.0"                    2020-21: 71.59"

2019-20: 23.5"                   2019-20: 58.54"

2018-19: 63.5"                   2018-19: 66.33"

2017-18: 30.3"                   2017-18: 59.83"

2016-17: 49.2"                   2016-17: 97.58"

2015-16: 11.75"                 2015-16: 68.67"

2014-15: 3.5"
2013-14: 11.75"                  2013-14: 62.30
2012-13: 16.75"                 2012-13: 78.45  

2011-12: 98.5"                   2011-12: 92.67"

It's always sunny at Winters Hill! 
Fighting the good fight against weather evil.

 

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12Z EPS for Wednesday system... the mean is a little better for northern areas than the 00Z run.   

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-snow_24hr-5536000.png

 

 

 

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-snow_6hr_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-5514400.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-snow_6hr_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-5514400.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 minutes ago, iFred said:

The last winter event I experienced in Philly was our four weeks of Nor'easters in March 2018. I'll never forget that month. It was a weekly cadence where the first three storms brought 6", 8", and 12" of snow respectively. Something special about being in a frosted landscape with 50º sun angles on a very very bright day. On the fourth week, with only a few days to April, we were forecasted to have highs in the upper 20s, another foot of snow, and then a transition to ice before warmer and drier air won out.

The last snow picture I took in Philly was in the parking lot of my apartment that night as the storm started off. Absolutely magical with baby fisted sized clumps of flakes casting shadows against the glow of a very bright orange sodium parking lot lamp. I stood out there for about an hour just listening to the snow, warmed only by my coffee mug. Filled with what my wife might have described as a reckless abandon for my safety and well being, or what I feel like was better described as childhood giddy that I had not experienced since November 2010, I took a brief nap so I could go out for a snow storm drive in my totally snow worthy Chevy Sonic.

I woke up at 5am to the sound of plinking against the living room window.

.

The storm had changed over way too soon. I looked at my phone, pulled up my trusty RadarScope, and was absolutely horrified to find that the snow-sleet line was all the way north to Allentown. ******* Allentown, that valley always got the good stuff. Well no worry, the rain-sleet line was all the way down in Maryland and temps were cooler with my neighborhood still at 29ª. I transported myself from the living room to the bedroom upstairs. I thought maybe if I just get some normal sleep, maybe I could get my wife and I breakfast and legitimize my snow drive.

I wake to my wife shoving me and to more pinking.
"Its all gone!"
"What?!" I said, dreading why our bedroom window was giving off more of a colorful glow against the wall opposite that I was presently staring at.
I rolled over, got up, and opened the blinds.

Rivers of sleet.

Straight up rivers of sleet through the parking lot, over the sidewalk, with the only vestiges of the prior three weeks of snow limited to the artificial bergs that the snowplows left us.

When sleet piles up, it effectively becomes a soup. You can't drive in it, you can't shovel it, you can enjoy it. As the air was pretty humid and temps at the surface just above freezing, it felt like you were walking in the ice cold tears of every SE Pennsylvanian weenie, getting your shoes soaked.

It rained that afternoon and we had an evening high in the low sixties.

**** sleet.

Hey you get to say that bad word in the correct spelling !!!!

We come from the land of the ice and snow.

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Job done! BOTH headlights were burnt out…My wife was apparently only running with fog lights and didn’t know a few days ago. I had just checked her lights two weeks ago and both were good. However it had been about 3 years since I last changed them. Anyhow, between Mr Buddy heater and the radiator heater it almost felt like a typical January warm day in the garage! I currently sitting in my heated chair enjoying the view. 

IMG_1844.jpeg

IMG_1845.jpeg

Edited by MossMan
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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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This storm is very typical of the kinds of storms we can get east of Portland. In the 35+ years I have been here, I have seen this many times. In 89-90 we had two storms like this. The gorge is a monster and definitely makes its own weather. 84 will be closed, trucks will be piled up at the truck stops there, the new people will be reporting from Sylvan and Troutdale, and cars will be spun out everywhere. Never changes except when you add in ice which is a lot less fun.

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19 minutes ago, Ken in Wood Village said:

I want to say this is a deformation line forming. Precipitation rates are going to increase dramatically 🤗🌨❄️

KRTX - Super-Res Reflectivity 1, 10_56 AM.gif

KRTX - Precipitation Depiction, 10_56 AM.gif

Heavier echoes can reflect warming aloft too though, hence the dreaded sleet.

Areas that stay snow with it will get a good pounding in the next couple hours.

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3 minutes ago, Slushy Inch said:

Why are you doing 6hr? That captures little of the snow

Main part of event... but you are right in that there could be timing differences.

Here is total snow for all members.   #42 would be insane!

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_a-5536000.png

ecmwf-ensemble-avg-or_wa-snow_total_multimember_panel_ecmwf_b-5536000.png

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Some sleet mixing in here. Been snowing for about 2 1/2 hours and maybe pushing 1". Lot of light snow/snow globe stuff. Going to be some work to do in the afternoon to increase totals if the NWS doesn't want to bust low on that updated forecast. Really awesome stuff to see regardless.

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20 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said:

 

Is it snowing in Eugene? 

No, a lot of freezing rain.

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Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024)
  • Total snowfall: 0.0"
  • Total ice: 2.25”
  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9")
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F)
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0"
  • Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4

 

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13 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said:

When the low gets closer to the coast we should see another push north. Going to be close.

Hope you're right! I was just going to say that it's not going to snow in Tacoma today, but maybe still a slight chance??

Otherwise this is LAME...as someone else would say, haha.

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