January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Meatyorologist]

Andrew is unbanned. Not sure what's going on?

[Phil]

1 minute ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

He says he got banned in the last 15 mins.

He’s not banned.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

Andrew is unbanned. Not sure what's going on?

Me neither. Told me in the last 15 mins that it all of a sudden shows he has been banned again.

[Cold Snap]

FWIW Wunderground still shows a decent amount of snow for my area. I’d be very happy if this happened.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

He says he got banned in the last 15 mins.

I get that message sometimes. Tell him to clear his history

[TacomaWx]

#freemyboi #andrewsinnocent 

[Front Ranger]

3 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

#freemyboi #andrewsinnocent 

Plus, the models really started falling apart when he got banned. For the good of all, he must be freed.

[Cascadia_Wx]

6 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Andrew is unbanned. Not sure what's going on?

Probably whatever glitch makes it so I STILL can’t log in on my lap top

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Currently 46F with some clouds.

[Phishy Wx]

AI Euro banned Andrew

 

sponsored by Diet Coke

[Phil]

Just now, Cascadia_Wx said:

Probably whatever glitch makes it so I STILL can’t log in on my lap top

From all browsers?

[Front Ranger]

It's the drunkle NAM, but it does show cold air further west and a little bit faster to move south compared to 12z.

Also shows a pretty clear CZ signature down the sound with the Arctic front Thursday. Probably rushing things a bit, though.

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, Front Ranger said:

It's the drunkle NAM, but it does show cold air further west and a little bit faster to move south compared to 12z.

Also shows a pretty clear CZ signature down the sound with the Arctic front Thursday. Probably rushing things a bit, though.

Always rushes.

[hawkstwelve]

3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Probably whatever glitch makes it so I STILL can’t log in on my lap top

When was the last time you were able to sign in on that device? April 2023? I see two IPs associated with a Windows machine you logged in with around then and haven't logged in with since, but it looks like both IPs have been unblocked already.

If you can grab the IP associated with your laptop (public, not private) feel free to send it to me and we might be able to search and see if it's still getting blocked. Otherwise, might be a cookie/cache issue or something else at play.

[Front Ranger]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

Always rushes.

Yep. Shows mid 20s in Seattle by early afternoon Thursday, Bellingham in single digits by late that evening.

Doubtful, but at least it's an improvement on the last couple runs, FWIW.

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, Phil said:

From all browsers?

As far as I can tell. Meaty was on the case until he decided I was Satan incarnate  

[GoldenEars]

Its been snowing on and off all morning at my work in Aldergrove.  It's been sitting around 33 all morning so not much is sticking.

[Phil]

Looks like the 18z ICON may take a small step in the GFS direction as well. But won’t be a complete cave.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

1 hour ago, Prairiedog said:

I'm exactly 16 miles south of that spot and it's like a different world.  I will be under a warm nose with southerlies most of the time except for Feb '21.  The mouth of the Gorge is like entering the Arctic Kill Zone sometimes. 

 

1 hour ago, Prairiedog said:

Warm nose, right on schedule.  right over my house!  100% accuracy. 

Still got some time for the systems to trend more south. Hoping you can SCORE!

[Cascadia_Wx]

7 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

When was the last time you were able to sign in on that device? April 2023? I see two IPs associated with a Windows machine you logged in with around then and haven't logged in with since, but it looks like both IPs have been unblocked already.

If you can grab the IP associated with your laptop (public, not private) feel free to send it to me and we might be able to search and see if it's still getting blocked. Otherwise, might be a cookie/cache issue or something else at play.

Thank you. I should be able to tackle that this evening.

[Meatyorologist]

1 minute ago, Phil said:

Looks like the 18z ICON may take a small step in the GFS direction as well. But won’t be a complete cave.

fairly large step. still some volatility, though the kinks are working out

[Phishy Wx]

7 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

As far as I can tell. Meaty was on the case until he decided I was Satan incarnate  

might work with VPN Opera browser

[Meatyorologist]

I've fully accepted we probably won't go much lower than 24F. Let's get a 2' snowstorm instead!

[KingstonWX]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

I've fully accepted we probably won't go much lower than 24F. Let's get a 2' snowstorm instead!

This is the way.

[TT-SEA]

27 minutes ago, MV_snow said:

Pretty interesting weather day here today. Getting copious amounts of rain like an AR but without the AR-like temps. Mountains are getting nuked which is a victory in itself for a Nino year.

Interesting... precept has been very light here all day.

[RentonHill]

37 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Pretty crazy to see the EPS spaghetti charts now pretty much identical to how the GEFS has looked the past 3-4 days.

Looks like just a blip from that perspective. My god, the time I've wasted here the last 7 days. I'll never get that back. Friends along the way etc etc. My marriage is probably ruined, there's no way I can come back from "No babe it's ackshually coming this time YOU have to put the kids to bed again I NEED to be online from 730-11pm and OF COURSE I rush ordered t-shirts for half the forum because the EURO is LOCKED IN BABE AND ITS DEADLY AT THIS RANGE!!"

[Mid Valley Duck]

1 minute ago, Meatyorologist said:

fairly large step. still some volatility, though the kinks are working out

Massive volatility. I cant ever recall a time where there is 15c spread at day 4 and 20c spread at day 5 in the EPS. And both camps have a solid amount of other members with them.

[OysterPrintout]

Nice to see Mark fairly bullish about Fri for PDX. Doesn't seem like he sees much for tomorrow night unless the low tracks exactly right for us. Oh and I personally think Andrew should be banned just once every day at random for 15 minutes.

[Meatyorologist]

2 minutes ago, RentonHill said:

Looks like just a blip from that perspective. My god, the time I've wasted here the last 7 days. I'll never get that back. Friends along the way etc etc. My marriage is probably ruined, there's no way I can come back from "No babe it's ackshually coming this time YOU have to put the kids to bed again I NEED to be online from 730-11pm and OF COURSE I rush ordered t-shirts for half the forum because the EURO is LOCKED IN BABE AND ITS DEADLY AT THIS RANGE!!"

The shirts are coming out of your paycheck you know that right? 

[RentonHill]

Just now, Meatyorologist said:

The shirts are coming out of your paycheck you know that right? 

Some kids in Africa are going to be so confused by the 500mb image that's on there "must be fake because that certainly didn't happen"

[ShawniganLake]

1 hour ago, ShawniganLake said:

Right at the snow line here at 500Ft. There’s no Snow just to the east and I drove up Timber ridge drive just to my west(~650ft) and it was a winter wonderland. 1-2” with light to moderate snow falling. 

Forgot to include a picture earlier. Just to the west of Shawnigan Lake is a nice snow belt for anyone wanting to move to rural Vancouver Island. 
 

[Phil]

4 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

fairly large step. still some volatility, though the kinks are working out

GFS is still worse, though. I’d be surprised if the GFS didn’t adjust at least a small amount westward.

[Phishy Wx]

overperformance....  I like it (even if it gets wiped out by rain and wind and 40 degree temps tomorrow)

 

Morning update: Precipitation has started a bit earlier than
anticipated in Eastern Washington and North Idaho this morning.
Added the Okanogan Valley to the existing winter weather
advisories as snow has quickly started to pile up late this 
morning. Expecting a burst of 2-4 inches of snow for the 
Spokane/Cda metro this afternoon and evening which may impact the 
evening commute.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

12z EURO output for PDX. It has PDX dropping below freezing Friday evening and doesn’t thaw out until Tuesday afternoon. Saturday is looking like the coldest day with the strong east winds and snow/ice.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Icon huge jump north Friday evening event.  NOT GOOD

[FroYoBro]

18z Icon is way further north for this weekend and doesn’t show any snow for Portland. 

[RentonHill]

[TT-SEA]

55 minutes ago, NorthBend RainEnthusiast said:

If you don't learn to love the rain, it can be tough out here. I see the beautiful ecosystem that the excessive rain supports: the frogs, the moss, the trees, the creeks, the lakes, the salmonberries... how can you not love rain? I get to watch my son tend to our creek or my daughter stomp in puddles. Following heavy storms, the nearby waterfalls act as white noise the moment I step outside my house. 

In the last 90 days, I have had ~30" of rain and ~0" of snow. So it works out. Don't get me wrong though, I absolutely love snow. 

What I love is that we also often have more sun out here too in the winter thanks to the east wind.  I  bet this area has had significantly more sun than most of western Oregon and SW WA since Nov. 1 in addition to more rain.   We aren't doing well on the snowfall aspect this winter... but usually do great in that regard too.   

[Requiem]

Just now, FroYoBro said:

18z Icon is way further north for this weekend and doesn’t show any snow for Portland. 

Obviously the north jump isn't great but ICON is also notoriously awful at precip type-- at face value it would be ice or snow for the metro.

[Doinko]

Just now, FroYoBro said:

18z Icon is way further north for this weekend and doesn’t show any snow for Portland. 

Looks icy for east Portland though