January 2024 Weather in the PNW (Part II)

[Olive1010]

1 minute ago, Doinko said:

I definitely think here in PDX we could see a decent event. Even if it's just a little bit of snow the strong Gorge winds would be exciting

Yessir

[North_County]

3 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said:

I lived in Bellingham for several decades.  And we did often get skunked in that situation.  But Bellingham at least had that magical White Christmas a couple of years ago.  Wish I could have experienced that when I lived there.

Bellingham did. Up here in Sumas the wind was raging. I have no idea how much precipitation actually fell out of the sky because all of it got blown half a county away. As different as Bellingham's winter weather can be compared to the rest of the state, the weather in north county is equally different than Bellingham. Often, if it's snowing there, it's windy and dry here; and if it's snowing here, it's raining there.

[Doinko]

11 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

New 7 day from Mark. Good forecast for now. Late Friday to Saturday looks like the timeframe for something to happen.

He seems pretty confident we see some sort of winter storm

[lowlandsnow]

16 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It feels so especially cruel. January 2020 actually had a weaker airmass; this current one is one of the stronger ones of this century.

Time is running out on seeing single digits again in my lifetime. I already feel sad enough that I've thus far missed out on that, but think about all the poor kids with no memories of the deepish cold in Dec 2008 and Nov 2010 like I do, who only have the warm-coded snow events of the last decade.

At least I might be able to knock off that 'foot in one storm' item from my bucket list this weekend, if all goes right.

I think us younger folks have a good chance at seeing single digits some time 

[Front Ranger]

14 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

It feels so especially cruel. January 2020 actually had a weaker airmass; this current one is one of the stronger ones of this century.

Time is running out on seeing single digits again in my lifetime. I already feel sad enough that I've thus far missed out on that, but think about all the poor kids with no memories of the deepish cold in Dec 2008 and Nov 2010 like I do, who only have the warm-coded snow events of the last decade.

At least I might be able to knock off that 'foot in one storm' item from my bucket list this weekend, if all goes right.

SEA saw a 27/17 in Dec 2021, which is only slightly warmer than the coldest days of those events. OLM saw a low of 7, which equaled what they saw in Dec 2008 and was slightly colder than Nov 2010.

[westcoastexpat]

NWS forecaster discussions for western WA and OR

[Rubus Leucodermis]

4 minutes ago, North_County said:

Bellingham did. Up here in Sumas the wind was raging. I have no idea how much precipitation actually fell out of the sky because all of it got blown half a county away. As different as Bellingham's winter weather can be compared to the rest of the state, the weather in north county is equally different than Bellingham. Often, if it's snowing there, it's windy and dry here; and if it's snowing here, it's raining there.

You have been skunked a lot in recent winters. I have recorded three 10+" snowfalls in the past two years IMBY.

[TT-SEA]

10 minutes ago, Olive1010 said:

Yeah, sounds good, I just found a Meteogram generator site

Here you go...

[BLI snowman]

2 minutes ago, North_County said:

Bellingham did. Up here in Sumas the wind was raging. I have no idea how much precipitation actually fell out of the sky because all of it got blown half a county away. As different as Bellingham's winter weather can be compared to the rest of the state, the weather in north county is equally different than Bellingham. Often, if it's snowing there, it's windy and dry here; and if it's snowing here, it's raining there.

Yeah, that was why I never had any interest in living north of Smith Road when I had the chance. The wind up there was just too much outside of the rare bleed-in events like late February 2014. The blowing/stinging snow is fun for about 20 seconds before it loses its appeal, and the lack of settling from the snow really takes away a lot of the aesthetic appeal IMO.

Someplace like Sudden Valley or perhaps out towards Deming/Maple Falls would have been a nice balance compared to Lynden/Sumas. Still are able to benefit from the outflow a little more and shielded a bit from the instant death by downsloping that plagues Bellingham. But not nearly as perpetually windy as the flatlands.

[Doinko]

Just now, TT-SEA said:

Here you go...

Could you post the 12z Euro/GEM as well? Thanks!

[Cold Snap]

18z GEFS got quite a bit snowier for the Seattle area. A little less for Portland.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Over the next few sets of runs if this thing keeps tracking north then this place will be progressively getting further into meltdown mode.

[Winterdog]

5 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

I think us younger folks have a good chance at seeing single digits some time 

I saw a single digit just the other day while driving down I-5

[TT-SEA]

3 minutes ago, Doinko said:

Could you post the 12z Euro/GEM as well? Thanks!

 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

4 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Over the next few sets of runs if this thing keeps tracking north then this place will be progressively getting further into meltdown mode.

Is the weather station still working?

[Cold Snap]

Just 37 for a high today so far. Actually managed to squeak in a sub-40 high yesterday.

[Requiem]

5 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

18z GEFS got quite a bit snowier for the Seattle area. A little less for Portland.

About the same but I'm surprised it's a bit less considering it was a fair bit colder (particularly w the low level stuff from the basin)

[iFred]

20 minutes ago, westcoastexpat said:

Oh nice, great to see the season come to an end early.

[Doinko]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

Saturday looks cold on both models at least, hopefully we can get some good cold air through the gorge

[Slushy Inch]

7 minutes ago, Cold Snap said:

18z GEFS got quite a bit snowier for the Seattle area. A little less for Portland.

OP 

[iFred]

Just now, Norwood said:

Holy . My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results today. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the ******* **** is this cold going to the east? This can't be happening. I'm having a ******* breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so warm. I want a future to believe in. I want the old runs to be valid and fix this nightmare. I cannot ******* deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I was supposed to be frolicking in snow!???? This is so 33.

7/10 pasta

[Prairiedog]

2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

 

That just doesn't seem reasonable to me for PDX.  I sure would love that but man, it looks to me that cold air starts sliding east pretty fast and 850's start warming.  This would tell me things aren't going to be as progressive as it looked earlier. That means the east winds are still howling next week.  Does the 12z/Gem even seem reasonable?

[Poulsbo Snowman]

1 minute ago, Norwood said:

Holy . My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results today. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the ******* **** is this cold going to the east? This can't be happening. I'm having a ******* breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so warm. I want a future to believe in. I want the old runs to be valid and fix this nightmare. I cannot ******* deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I was supposed to be frolicking in snow!???? This is so 33.

You should speak to Ferris Bueller.

[DareDuck]

2 minutes ago, Norwood said:

Holy . My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results today. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the ******* **** is this cold going to the east? This can't be happening. I'm having a ******* breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so warm. I want a future to believe in. I want the old runs to be valid and fix this nightmare. I cannot ******* deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I was supposed to be frolicking in snow!???? This is so 33.

Is this the weather version of “I just smashed the tv in front of 30 guests because of the game”?

[TacomaWx]

4 minutes ago, iFred said:

7/10 pasta

I’m pretty sure that guy wasn’t actually being serious right? 

[Slushy Inch]

Snow Wednesday morning on NAM m

[smerfylicious]

1 minute ago, TacomaWx said:

I’m pretty sure that guy wasn’t actually being serious right? 

It's an old pasta, but it checks out. IIRC it was originally about the 2016 election. A classic goof and a gaffe.

[KingstonWX]

3 minutes ago, smerfylicious said:

It's an old pasta, but it checks out. IIRC it was originally about the 2016 election. A classic goof and a gaffe.

Here's the OG:

 

Quote

Holy s***. My mom came into my room to bring me a plate of chicken nuggets and I literally screamed at her and hit the plate of chicken nuggets out of her hand. She started yelling and swearing at me and I slammed the door on her. I'm so distressed right now I don't know what to do. I didn't mean to do that to my mom but I'm literally in shock from the results tonight. I feel like I'm going to explode. Why the ******* **** is he losing? This can't be happening. I'm having a ******* breakdown. I don't want to believe the world is so corrupt. I want a future to believe in. I want Bernie to be president and fix this broken country. I cannot ******* deal with this right now. It wasn't supposed to be like this, I thought he was polling well in New York???? This is so f**ked.

 

[TT-SEA]

18Z GFS keeps the cold hanging on in Seattle for a long time as well.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

4 hours ago, Blizzard777 said:

I got to enjoy living there 5 years at the mouth of the gully!  Fantastic weather extremes ! Glad I experienced it 

lol, found out it was useless to plant trees 

 

2 hours ago, Blizzard777 said:

It truly is a cool place to live and experience.  But I had my fill of 24/7 30 mph sustained winds with gust up to 70! The house groaning and creeking like and old schooner in rough seas none stop . 

I love that area. Especially near the Sandy River. You ever experience blizzard conditions?

[jakerepp]

3 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

18Z GFS keeps the cold hanging on in Seattle for a long time as well.

Before an absolute torch for nearly a week!

[Perturbed Member]

I thought the Euro had this arctic blast all planned out for us but then the GFS showed up and just punched it in the mouth. Still waiting to see if the Euro gets any wins here in the next 48 hours or if the GFS is going to continue to body up the Euro. 

[lowlandsnow]

NAM is cold

[MWG]

NWS in Medford 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

3 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

NAM is cold

Sometimes the Nam thinks our mountains are 32 feet tall.

[Frontal Snowsquall]

46 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

Nice. This looks like a very reasonable forecast.

 

35 minutes ago, Doinko said:

He seems pretty confident we see some sort of winter storm

He must be leaning heavily towards what the EURO is showing since it has 24/19 on Saturday with snow/ice. It’s a smart move unless it shows otherwise.

Moisture is not going to be an issue this time around. So confident is high there. He thinks this could also be a big event. I’d take any of the events he mentioned. From his blog post:

“Cold arctic air arrives late Friday out of the Gorge and clashes with a lot of milder Pacific precipitation for an ice and/or snow storm in metro area and Gorge late Friday through Saturday. This MAY be a big event like February 2023, Christmas Eve 2022, February 2021, January 2017, January 2004...etc... It’s too early to know if cold air makes it all the way to Salem/Eugene.”

[Snownerd3000]

5 minutes ago, lowlandsnow said:

NAM is cold

NAM has arctic front to Seattle by 1pm Thursday.

[Slushy Inch]

18z euro Wednesday morning 

[Slushy Inch]

3km NAM too! 2-3 inches fall

[Timmy]

Anyone have oregon snow maps for 18z euro ?

Edited January 9 by Timmy