February 2024 Weather in the PNW

[VancouverIslandSouth]

22 minutes ago, Sunriver Snow Zone said:

00z gfs trended south! Snow totals are low though 

Feels more like it trended west, heaviest precip totals remain well offshore.

[MossMan]

I’m suddenly vomiting a lot this evening. Started around 00z for some reason. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

2 minutes ago, MossMan said:

I’m suddenly vomiting a lot this evening. Started around 00z for some reason. 

Sorry to hear! 

[bainbridgekid]

WRF still looks surprisingly snowy North of Seattle. Kitsap has pretty consistently been getting hammered. 

[bainbridgekid]

WRF is significantly wetter in general than the GFS. Over half inch of QPF for Seattle through 4am Thursday.

 

[Sunriver Snow Zone]

Welp, winter's over in the lowlands, and on life support here. Anchorage alaska, here we come!

[bainbridgekid]

16 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

WRF is significantly better in general than the GFS. Over half inch of QPF for Seattle through 4am Thursday.

 

Really baffling how much drier the GFS is than the WRF considering it gets its data directly from it.

 

[Phishy Wx]

2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

You’d think they were all over up there as bad as you make it sound. Sadly I don’t think they could ever survive in Spokane, even with lots of global warming

Being from the east coast, I’m not sure if you even have the regional context to grasp that you live in one of the best climates on here.

I was referring to your current weather in that comment, more of a joke based on the sarcasm of Palm trees around here

Cheers

[Phishy Wx]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Population 0. 

a think a few people actually live on Stevens Pass

[Phishy Wx]

gunna be a nothing burger over here most likely.  story of this winter (compared to average)

[Cascadia_Wx]

Down to 39 here!

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF... Hood Canal looks like a lock.   925 temps are just a little too warm for the rest of western WA,  

[LowerGarfield]

37F now. Just finished my taxes around 03Z (in honor of the ICON) since we're all using Zulu time now.

[bainbridgekid]

6z NAM way South again and brings snow near PDX.

 

[ShawniganLake]

11 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

6z NAM way South again and brings snow near PDX.

 

Huge variation in the models for 48 hours out. 

[Ken in Wood Village]

These are pictures after the big snowstorm on this day in 2021. We had snow drifts over 2 feet because of the Eastwinds. This was an amazing snowstorm. The snow was very fluffy and most of the pictures you see, I was the first person to walk in the snow...lol 🌨

[Front Ranger]

7 hours ago, Phishy Wx said:

a think a few people actually live on Stevens Pass

Phil knows them.

[umadbro]

5 hours ago, bainbridgekid said:

6z NAM way South again and brings snow near PDX.

 

This is probably the best outcome for everyone involved.

[TacomaWx]

7 hours ago, TT-SEA said:

00Z ECMWF... Hood Canal looks like a lock.   925 temps are just a little too warm for the rest of western WA,  

lol I’m sure some folks are upset about the realistic take on the situation but it is what it is. Just never seemed like it was going to work for most of us on the I-5 corridor. If I didn’t have to work I’d make a trip out to kitsap this week. 

[umadbro]

6z gfs agrees with the NAM

[ShawniganLake]

The NAM is totally flailing. 12z is probably the best case scenario to see sticking snow in the Seattle Tacoma areas. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

This upcoming pattern would have actually been pretty decent had there been any cold air within 1000 miles. 

[Timmy]

Looks like a pretty decent dump in the hills around here above about 1000’

[Anti Marine Layer]

2 hours ago, Front Ranger said:

Phil knows them.

He might know more acronyms than people. 

[Cascadia_Wx]

19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This upcoming pattern would have actually been pretty decent had there been any cold air within 1000 miles. 

Starting to look like we go straight back to a blowtorch after this event too we are losing the late month COF

[Cascadia_Wx]

Ended up with a low of 34 here. It was frosty earlier but dense fog has since formed.

[MossMan]

Currently 37.

And the not so Fuzzy PNA. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

25 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

Starting to look like we go straight back to a blowtorch after this event too we are losing the late month COF

Nino February 

[LowerGarfield]

27F and frosty. Colder than expected.

[ShawniganLake]

36F drizzle here.  We did drop below freezing overnight though

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

This upcoming pattern would have actually been pretty decent had there been any cold air within 1000 miles. 

The frazer valley and north has cooled down a bunch since yesterday, 15 at my cabin, coldest reading in a couple weeks. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The gfs keeps light snow going out here clear through thursday evening, low comes in near long beach. The Nam looks like a full on snow storm for the entire area

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The Portland forecast discussion explains whats going on and what to look for really good. Might be a interesting couple days for Portland and North. 

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

If this storm goes like the rest this year and that is over perform on the moisture side of thing we could be looking at a fairly large event here. 10 inches of 32 degree snow would be fun.

[bainbridgekid]

[the_convergence_zone]

8 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said:

The depth map shows where the model thinks it will stick. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Finally another decent GFS run. 

[Phil]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Nino February 

In jest or not, you’re correct.

STJ dominated pattern still, not much in the way of a northern stream (which would be more typical of cool onshore flow regimes).

Long range models will gyrate all over the place but there is an element of predictability beneath all that.

[Phil]

My sister in NYC has been sending me snow pics all morning. I’d be lying if I said I wasn’t jealous. Rates up there are much better with this storm compared to the storms down here in January.

Snowed for a couple hours here this AM but it was in the mid/upper 30s so it largely melted.

[TT-SEA]

6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Finally another decent GFS run. 

'EPS has been consistent in the long range... no surprise to see the GFS showing something similar.