December 2020 Weather Observations for the PNW

[Timmy Supercell]

Ended Nov with the same amount of snow as Nov 2018. If that's an analog maybe February will be the regions biggest producer for snow.

Also added the new season to my sig; condensed the last couple to the top so its not so long.

[Phil]

That’s some legit cold on the clown range GFS.

-44C 850s within that TPV filament.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

5 minutes ago, Phil said:

That’s some legit cold on the clown range GFS.

-44C 850s within that TPV filament.

And it's not gonna be headed this way anytime soon. The days of 1990-style blasts are over for our lifetimes.

There will most likely still be some marginal events, and maybe some after 2-3 weeks or so. But I lived through the 1996-2003 snowless wasteland, so I've seen this movie before. Get psyched for a nina and then...nothing. Like 1999-2000.

[Omegaraptor]

Wouldn’t be surprising to see December go down as a warm month at this point. Some pretty torchy lows / average temps forecast.

https://weather.com/weather/tenday/l/4e42d31c6fac979dd81dcca0bc1a717772501434f8fba3cd8a9961bfb58c1a34

[Chewbacca Defense]

Got down to about 35 this morning, frost on the rooftops but not on the cars. 

I take it the aurora was a bust last night?  I checked a couple of sites before I went to bed and didn't look like much was happening.

[Jesse]

14 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And it's not gonna be headed this way anytime soon. The days of 1990-style blasts are over for our lifetimes.

There will most likely still be some marginal events, and maybe some after 2-3 weeks or so. But I lived through the 1996-2003 snowless wasteland, so I've seen this movie before. Get psyched for a nina and then...nothing. Like 1999-2000.

Good morning sunshine! 

[Timmy Supercell]

13 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Got down to about 35 this morning, frost on the rooftops but not on the cars. 

I take it the aurora was a bust last night?  I checked a couple of sites before I went to bed and didn't look like much was happening.

There were a couple times over the years it was viewable from my place; but I'm never up late enough to catch it.

It's pretty rare in Oregon to see it, wouldn't surprise me if it didn't happen.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

20 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

And it's not gonna be headed this way anytime soon. The days of 1990-style blasts are over for our lifetimes.

There will most likely still be some marginal events, and maybe some after 2-3 weeks or so. But I lived through the 1996-2003 snowless wasteland, so I've seen this movie before. Get psyched for a nina and then...nothing. Like 1999-2000.

Think fifties and rain! C’MON!!

[Jesse]

12z Euro has about three times as much rain for PDX the next 10 days as the 00Z did.

About the same for mountain snowfall, though. Mild AR event at the end of the run.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

18 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Got down to about 35 this morning, frost on the rooftops but not on the cars. 

I take it the aurora was a bust last night?  I checked a couple of sites before I went to bed and didn't look like much was happening.

I did not see anything when I want out to look. And then it got cloudy.

[Deweydog]

Just finished today’s calculations and....

 

It’s December 10th.

[Deweydog]

Can you believe it’s already two weeks til Xmas Eve???

[FroYoBro]

Still only 39 degrees here. 
 

WINTER!

[Brian_in_Leavenworth]

There was some definite torching in the Euro.  Especially mid to late next week.  When the mountains are getting rain in December, that is torching. 

[Omegaraptor]

Euro is a good run if you want Central Valley temperatures in the Willamette Valley and 6500’+ snow levels.

[Timmy Supercell]

As of 12/10 I'm behind like two-thirds of the winters I experienced here. Late starts can happen of course but just an observation. I know the cascades performed a lot better than the east sides.

[Jesse]

5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Euro is a good run if you want Central Valley temperatures in the Willamette Valley and 6500’+ snow levels.

Oh wah. Temps are pretty close to average with some good mountain snow thru the mid range, and it’s pretty active with a ton of valley rain. If it was dry and chilly you’d just be bitching about that instead.

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

4 years ago today...

 

My slop was not quite as magical. 

[Deweydog]

6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

This winter is over. Might as well not even look at the models. Nothing but endless torching and rain.

I can't wait to see flowers start popping up again soon!

Should be a chilly spring!

[luminen]

2 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

This winter is over. Might as well not even look at the models. Nothing but endless torching and rain.

I can't wait to see flowers start popping up again soon!

To be perfectly honest I am looking forward to the brighter days in April/May and enjoying a beer or glass of wine on the balcony.

[Omegaraptor]

11 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Oh wah. Temps are pretty close to average with some good mountain snow thru the mid range, and it’s pretty active with a ton of valley rain. If it was dry and chilly you’d just be bitching about that instead.

Dry and chilly >>>>>>> warm rain. No question.

Last time I checked 2002-03 and 2014-15 were pretty active. 

[Timmy Supercell]

Just now, luminen said:

To be perfectly honest I am looking forward to the brighter days in April/May and enjoying a beer or glass of wine on the balcony.

Red wine and t'storms sound nice!

[Jesse]

2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

Dry and chilly >>>>>>> warm rain. No question.

Last time I checked 2002-03 and 2014-15 were pretty active. 

Most of the warm rain is at the end of the run. Seems like that period has been pretty variable lately.

Dont fret and just try to enjoy the ride. You’ll be getting to enjoy REAL winters in Siskiyou county soon enough I’m sure.

[Deweydog]

I think we all need to head back to Midas and get a preference alignment.

[ShawniganLake]

3 minutes ago, luminen said:

To be perfectly honest I am looking forward to the brighter days in April/May and enjoying a beer or glass of wine on the balcony.

Some early season bulbs poking up at the property I’m working today. Spring and those higher sun angles aren’t far off now. 

[Jesse]

1 minute ago, Deweydog said:

I think we all need to head back to Midas and get a preference alignment.

My preference is to hate everything that happens. I don’t think there’s any way to fix it

[ShawniganLake]

Jesse. You would be able to focus a lot more time to your education if you got Fred to setup your account to automatically downvote every post. 

[Jesse]

3 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Jesse. You would be able to focus a lot more time to your education if you got Fred to setup your account to automatically downvote every post. 

I downvote a lot? Interesting. Don’t think this has ever been discussed before  

[Omegaraptor]

11 minutes ago, Jesse said:

Most of the warm rain is at the end of the run. Seems like that period has been pretty variable lately.

Dont fret and just try to enjoy the ride. You’ll be getting to enjoy REAL winters in Siskiyou county soon enough I’m sure.

I mean, next year I could be going to MSU. I’m sure Bozeman qualifies as having real winters.

Siskiyou Co isn’t Montana or Wyoming by any means but certainly beats out anywhere in the western OR and WA lowlands in winter. Pretty obviously at that considering it’s a mountain area and the I-5 corridor there gets fairly easy cold air drainage from the eastside through the Klamath River canyon and the fairly porous Cascades.

[Jesse]

4 minutes ago, iFred said:

So we are all on board with winter being canceled?

Do something Fred. Seems worse than usual this year, this early.

Probably not a bad sign in the long run though...

[Jesse]

5 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I mean, next year I could be going to MSU. I’m sure Bozeman qualifies as having real winters.

Siskiyou Co isn’t Montana or Wyoming by any means but certainly beats out anywhere in the western OR and WA lowlands in winter. Pretty obviously at that considering it’s a mountain area and the I-5 corridor there gets fairly easy cold air drainage from the eastside through the Klamath River canyon and the fairly porous Cascades.

I wrote up a really long post about the climate of this area on one of your threads and you never even responded

[Deweydog]

8 minutes ago, iFred said:

So we are all on board with winter being canceled?

Winter cancel in a cancel culture???

Has to be a good sign moving forward!

[FroYoBro]

10 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said:

I mean, next year I could be going to MSU. I’m sure Bozeman qualifies as having real winters.

Siskiyou Co isn’t Montana or Wyoming by any means but certainly beats out anywhere in the western OR and WA lowlands in winter. Pretty obviously at that considering it’s a mountain area and the I-5 corridor there gets fairly easy cold air drainage from the eastside through the Klamath River canyon and the fairly porous Cascades.

Jesse is always really rude to you for no reason. You are a very nice kid and handle it well. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

I don’t think people are freaking out at all, just discussing the models which show nothing of interest in the near term. 

[Jesse]

3 minutes ago, FroYoBro said:

Jesse is always really rude to you for no reason. You are a very nice kid and handle it well. 

I like him just fine too. Smart and has a lot of knowledge/interest in climate for being so young. Seems like it’s rare to see him ever be happy about any weather event though. It’s a bad, weenie-esque mindset I know all too well, so I give him a hard time about it.

It’s often with a smile on my face, but I could tone it down if everyone finds it to be unbearably offensive.

[Requiem]

Been a good while since I’ve received any ranty DMs, must be a sign that I’m at least considered tolerable around here

[Jesse]

Just now, Requiem said:

Been a good while since I’ve received any ranty DMs, must be a sign that I’m at least considered tolerable around here

Well you haven’t been posting much either so....

[Requiem]

1 minute ago, Jesse said:

Well you haven’t been posting much either so....

Everything in moderation...

Really though, I still feel terrible about the way I used to act on here. Water under the bridge I hope.

[Jesse]

4 minutes ago, Requiem said:

Everything in moderation...

Really though, I still feel terrible about the way I used to act on here. Water under the bridge I hope.

You are just fine. It’s odd, for being such a mean, intolerant pr*ck I never found you to be too bad.

All you ever wanted was a little wind.

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, Jesse said:

You are just fine. It’s odd, for being such a mean, intolerant pr*ck I never found you to be too bad.

Do you act the same in person or is this just an internet personality? Jw cause some ppl act the same while some act different.