weatherwonder Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er We are starting to see the cooler snowier pattern starting to emerge as we get closer to Christmas A Little patience, and we will get there in the models in a few days 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, weatherwonder said: We are starting to see the cooler snowier pattern starting to emerge as we get closer to Christmas A Little patience, and we will get there in the models in a few days the one problem is that every day the models are different i see no consistency when i see some consistency maybe i'll get excited 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Getting there one little step at a time. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 minutes ago, AbbyJr said: Getting there one little step at a time. Well a White Christmas is looking less likely, however New Years...Possible!! Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Now THAT'S a torch... 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
umadbro Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 My birthday is on the 27th. I'll be turning 35 this year. It's only snowed once on my birthday. 1996. I lived in Lynnwood at the time. 1 Quote https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/efcb24c8a999dceddfaba7469ce5bd2f my personal weather station Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 The GFS looks like it’s going somewhere good in the long range, but doesn’t. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 7 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Now THAT'S a torch... I've seem warmer. Warm, but nowhere near any records. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The GFS looks like it’s going somewhere good in the long range, but doesn’t. Yeah that ridge looks like it wants to head our way instead of amplifying. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AbbyJr Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: The GFS looks like it’s going somewhere good in the long range, but doesn’t. CFS is a different story. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 GFS for the second run in a row shows a very awkward pattern in the long range. Has a block too far west and a period of ridging/SW flow beforehand that drains Canada of all its Arctic air, before amplifying a large ridge right over the west part of the country. Could lead to retrogression in the future, but even a period of northerly "arctic" flow would just force south regurgitated/modified Pacific air were this run to verify. Which it won't. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 We need another snowy game! Anyway, temp up to 36 after bottoming out at 32 a few hours ago. 2 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 You can look at the temperature graph and know when the offshore front started to move in and the wind shifted. It never got back down to freezing this evening, it was about 36F at 7pm with no wind. temps have gone up 3-4F since with a 2-4mph east wind. Currently 39. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 47 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Now THAT'S a torch... yeah that’s not a great pattern for cold anywhere in the middle latitudes. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 26 minutes ago, MossMan said: We need another snowy game! Anyway, temp up to 36 after bottoming out at 32 a few hours ago. I was at that game, the drive home was not good, ended up off the road. But it was still kinda fun. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Might be time to take a break for the holidays. 1 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Might be time to take a break for the holidays. Hip hip hooray for Christmas Vacation!!! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 A lot of potential ahead, but it's going to be about 5 days until models show that being realized. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 3 hours ago, snow_wizard said: 33 at 7pm. You could almost convince me it's winter! The fact it was dark before 5pm was pretty convincing. Though we are starting to gain light in the evenings now. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 00z GEFS, CMCE Day 10-16 GIF 500mb Height Anomaly. Good potential ahead. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Precip from the next system has arrived here, and surprisingly it is starting out as mostly ice pellets. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Precip from the next system has arrived here, and surprisingly it is starting out as mostly ice pellets. Up to 40 here now but the deck is still frosty, DP’s must still be low. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 11 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: 00z GEFS, CMCE Day 10-16 GIF 500mb Height Anomaly. Good potential ahead. @snow_wizard I think you might like this. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 8 Would be nice if the pattern wasn’t so transitory. Just at face value we have a shot at seeing some snow up here in that post frontal airmass. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Would be nice if the pattern wasn’t so transitory. Just at face value we have a shot at seeing some snow up here in that post frontal airmass. Yeah, and right about Day 8.5-9 is where the Op remains rather progressive, but the ensembles consistently slow the NPAC down quickly. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Day 9'er Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: Up to 40 here now but the deck is still frosty, DP’s must still be low. It's 38 here and still ice pelleting. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Maybe we really do get a cold inversion for Christmas. That ridge is about to nose over us. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Up to 36˚F now. Got down to 31 before breezes started mixing out the surface inversion. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 Certainly looks like winter ahead. Maybe nothing overly exciting, but solid typical PNW winter fare. 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted December 13, 2020 Report Share Posted December 13, 2020 00z ECMWF 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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