MR.SNOWMIZER 6948 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, MossMan said: From 31 to 36 here in the last two hours. 35 here dewpoint 32. I still think it will work out for here. 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 That ridge rebuilds very nicely in the clown range. Wow. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Okay.... 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5630 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 35F and mostly clear. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
bainbridgekid 3873 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Thursday night snow FWIW. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 21 minutes ago, MossMan said: From 31 to 36 here in the last two hours. I'm up to 32 now. Not often you get to say "up to 32" around here is it? 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11795 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 43 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Not great trends on this run, but just one run! What makes u say that? Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14925 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Some potential in the long range. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6804 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 2nd week of February retrograde? 5 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14925 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, Phil said: What makes u say that? Kold Aire goes EASt. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11795 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Surface temps don’t dictate p-type y’all. Calculate your wet bulb temp and pull up a sounding. 2 1 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10605 Posted January 24 Author Report Share Posted January 24 16 minutes ago, MR.SNOWMIZER said: 35 here dewpoint 32. I still think it will work out for here. 37 now, but DP still at 30. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11795 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: nO zOnAl FlOw 2 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 0z LR is showing some hopes for Feb. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
bainbridgekid 3873 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Pulled off a 39/21 day here today. Easily the coldest day of the Winter. 3 Quote Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1405 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Just now, Cloud said: 0z LR is showing some hopes for Feb. 3 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
mtep 272 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 39 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: Up to 33˚F. Starting to get the feeling this may bust here. About half the models are saying cold rain at this point anyhow. I have a feeling it's gonna take a drive to north lake Samish for us to see anything around here. I hope I'm wrong though. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11795 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 That’s some big league cold in the clown range. We go from this: To this: 1 1 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 407 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 9 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Kold Aire goes EASt. Like "Live", Gas hed goes West? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14925 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 3 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Seeing how the current pattern pushes the block too far west, we want this to be as close to us as possible in this time frame anyway! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SouthHillFrosty 1405 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: Hour 768!!!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
umadbro 778 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Hour 768!!!! I'm onboard 1 1 Quote KISS - Keep It Simple Stupid https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWARIDGE52 Link to post Share on other sites
MWG 201 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Finally out of the 40's it's 38 now 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2649 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 39 degrees with a dp of 35. I should be waking up to a winter wonderland tomorrow. Talk to you all then! 1 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
MR.SNOWMIZER 6948 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 38 minutes ago, Phil said: Surface temps don’t dictate p-type y’all. Calculate your wet bulb temp and pull up a sounding. There is a observation 10 miles west of me and 2300ft on the outer edge of the Olympics that I use to get a idea of air mass and it is very accurate. It's 30 degrees there and I've never not had snow here when that observation was 32 or lower. We'll see what happens tonight but I do expect to start at a mix and transition to snow. 4 1 Quote We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Euro time! Who's pumped for a really good run! 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11746 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 The GFS and parallel are both gung ho on a major reset of the block in early February. This is undoubtedly in response to the big West Pacific MJO wave. Right now it looks below normal for the entire next two weeks with good prospects for much below normal beginning somewhere in the 10 to 15 day period. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 37 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11746 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Euro time! Who's pumped for a really good run! I like the way things are trending right now. The GFS is really liking the idea of some pretty legit cold around day 10 in addition to the moderate cold up until then. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 37 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The GFS and parallel are both gung ho on a major reset of the block in early February. This is undoubtedly in response to the big West Pacific MJO wave. Right now it looks below normal for the entire next two weeks with good prospects for much below normal beginning somewhere in the 10 to 15 day period. Oh we finally have tropical forcing on our side? That could be the missing piece. Here we go!!!! Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 407 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 I'm at almost 2700'. Snow level will be 2701' tomorrow....lol. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Acer 994 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I like the way things are trending right now. The GFS is really liking the idea of some pretty legit cold around day 10 in addition to the moderate cold up until then. Sure not seeing that on the ensembles but sounds good to me. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Day 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11746 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 One thing I certainly like about tonight's GFS run is it shows the surface low tracking inland over SW WA tomorrow instead of NW WA or SW BC. It shows very limited moisture though. Certainly a bunch of snow chances in the coming week. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 37 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11746 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 6 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Oh we finally have tropical forcing on our side? That could be the missing piece. Here we go!!!! We sure do. The models had been advertising a favorable MJO wave to emerge at the very end of the month, but it emerged much sooner than had been expected. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 37 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11795 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 48 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: In that case, winter cancel. Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
TheNewCulverJosh 407 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, Acer said: Sure not seeing that on the ensembles but sounds good to me. Speaking of ensembles. Breakfast Club is a great movie......analog anyone? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Day 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11746 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 54 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: Very misleading. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 37 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
snow_wizard 11746 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 8 minutes ago, Acer said: Sure not seeing that on the ensembles but sounds good to me. The 18z and 0z showed some Canadian cold air arriving at day 10 on both the regular and parallel GFS models. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2020-21 stats Total Snowfall = 7.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 5 Total Hail = 0.0" Coldest Low = 23 Lows 32 or below = 37 Highs 32 or below = 2 Lows 20 or below = 0 Highs 40 or below = 5 Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: One thing I certainly like about tonight's GFS run is it shows the surface low tracking inland over SW WA tomorrow instead of NW WA or SW BC. It shows very limited moisture though. Certainly a bunch of snow chances in the coming week. GFS showed chances for Tues/Wed then again for Thur/Fri. Certainly some chances coming up. I'll be happy to see some flakes flying even if accumulations are limited. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Day 4 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14925 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 9 minutes ago, Phil said: In that case, winter cancel. Well it sucks until the very end. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
nwsnow 2770 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Snow in the air, looking a bit too warm again at the moment. Offshore flow at least. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 LOOK OUT NOW! PDX up to HALF INCH of snow! 2 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Day 5 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Cloud 1521 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 Euro is basically dry for the Sound at hour 84 compared to what the GFS was showing with some light snow. Also a couple degrees warmer for Seattle. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
The Blob 331 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 7 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: LOOK OUT NOW! PDX up to HALF INCH of snow! I'm at work Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Phil 11795 Posted January 24 Report Share Posted January 24 I’m going to nuke NC if they steal another snowstorm from me. Would rather suffer thru warm rain than get missed to the south. 1 Quote Personal Weather Station: NOAA: https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/mesowest/timeseries.php?sid=F3819&num=168&banner=NONE Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62/graph/2019-08-23/2019-08-23/daily Link to post Share on other sites
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