DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7241 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 00z GFS does look about 10mph higher with gusts vs 18z. Still not near the level of the Euro. 4 1 Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 4 Past 4 runs Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 5 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
bainbridgekid 3869 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Just now, DJ Droppin said: Day 6 (Past 4 runs) Major trend toward rising heights over Hudson Bay there. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 7 (Past 4 runs) Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 8 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GHweatherChris 3496 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 2.16" of rain so far today, 13.24" of rain MTD/YTD so far. Every system wrings out the absolute most possible moisture here lately, but when it gets cold enough to snow all moisture will funnel just north or south of us, even by a mile or two. 2 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 9'er Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7241 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 FWIW, the 00z NAM also increased gusts a hair for tomorrow night vs. 18z. Euro probably won't verify but it could still be a bit windy. 1 Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 10 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
bainbridgekid 3869 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Hell of a block at day 10 on the 00z. 560+ heights into Alaska. 1 Quote Everett Snowfall 2018-19: 24.75"2019-20: 10.5" 1/10: 0.5"1/12: 5.5"1/13: 1"1/14: 1.5"1/15: 2" Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 10.5 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Hell of a block at day 10 on the 00z. 560+ heights into Alaska. Yep WITH a southeast US ridge = $$$$ 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3721 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 SEA is just about to 5 inches of rain on the month... normal for January is 5.57 inches. Should blow past that tomorrow. Here is a Matt-like prediction... the second half of the the month will probably be drier than the first half. SEA has also received just about 25% of the normal annual rainfall there in the last 20 days. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
GobBluth 283 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 12 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 9'er Little low hugging the coast on back side of high.. Close call. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6797 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: SEA is just about to 5 inches of rain on the month... normal for January is 5.57 inches. Should blow past that tomorrow. Here is a Matt-like prediction... the second half of the the month will probably be drier than the first half. First year Ninas= Wet Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Can't wait for the EURO run tonight 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
TT-SEA 3721 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Just now, BLI snowman said: First year Ninas= Wet Indeed Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14098 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 00z gets modestly chilly. 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6797 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Dry blast! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 The 00z GFS is the most reliably cold pattern yet. No freak show 500mb patterns that almost deliver insanity. Just a common, well-off cold snap with northerly winds down the coast. 3 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Decent modified backdoor blast 2 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14098 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Very 2008y. 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
TigerWoodsLibido 5625 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Very 2008y. There was an enjoyable event on campus at the end of that January. Several inches of wet snow. Quote Springfield, Oregon cold season 20-21 Stats: Coldest high: 38F (Nov 21) Coldest low: 23F (Oct 26) Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Feb 24, 2021) Days with sub-40F highs: 3 (Most recent: Dec 24) Total snowfall: 0.0" Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall: February 27, 2019 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 20.7" GoFundMe: www.gofundme.com/CollegeBasketballvsEpilepsy My Twitter @357jerseys4hope 24 Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Very 2008y. Reminds me of January 2017, as well. Very dry, which isn't a totally bad thing. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 12.5 fresh batch of arctic air. Reload 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GobBluth 283 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Not sure it matters long term, but the full Arctic blast is hanging back and Canada isn't nearly as frigid as prior runs. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14863 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Looks chilly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
High Desert Mat? 469 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Helluva run. If that verifies most will be happy. 2 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 13.5 more arctic air Gorge/east 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14863 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 This is probably the coldest run yet. 3 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 A long ways out, a long way to go, but I'm pretty confident. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Day 14.5 another batch of arctic air 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
FroYoBro 2649 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 No snow. Next. 1 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GobBluth 283 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Coldest run, but also quickest to flatten out ridge. Pick your poison. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Just now, GobBluth said: Coldest run, but also quickest to flatten out ridge. Pick your poison. Yeah, but low level cold would intensify as east wind increases. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
GeorgeWx 236 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 18 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Decent modified backdoor blast Lovely 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
SilverFallsAndrew 14863 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 No mention of the GEM? 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2020-21: 10.5" 2020-21: 52.02" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 2 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No mention of the GEM? Kind of a messy and unrealistic pattern at around 200hr. Still quite blocky. 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
BLI snowman 6797 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 3 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: No mention of the GEM? No bueno. 1 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 40 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: FWIW, the 00z NAM also increased gusts a hair for tomorrow night vs. 18z. Euro probably won't verify but it could still be a bit windy. Will you change your mind of the 00z Euro doesn't back down on the strong winds? Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Deweydog 14098 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Overrunning at hour 390!!! 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to post Share on other sites
Meatyorologist 2007 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 Just now, Kolk1604 said: Will you change your mind of the 00z Euro doesn't back down on the strong winds? From what I've heard, the Euro overestimates wind gusts even in the most benign of MSLP gradients by 5-20%. Still, its 18z solution would be a quick and powerful blow. Quote Link to post Share on other sites
hawkstwelve 7241 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 15 minutes ago, Kolk1604 said: Will you change your mind of the 00z Euro doesn't back down on the strong winds? Probably not. I don't see winds that strong verifying. But who knows... Sometimes you bet against the Euro and it proves you the fool. Quote Weather station: https://maplevalleywx.com Link to post Share on other sites
MossMan 10587 Posted January 12 Author Report Share Posted January 12 4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Probably not. I don't see winds that strong verifying. But who knows... Sometimes you bet against the Euro and it proves you the fool. My biggest winds typically come when they are under-forecasted...Generator is gassed up and ready! 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
Kolk1604 880 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 6 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: Probably not. I don't see winds that strong verifying. But who knows... Sometimes you bet against the Euro and it proves you the fool. Betting against the king? Is that a thing? Yeah, I know it's unlikely, but I can always hope. Been hoping for some serious wind and it's been awhile. 2 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
DJ Droppin 9299 Posted January 12 Report Share Posted January 12 00z ECMWF Day 1 Quote Link to post Share on other sites
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