Deweydog Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: You don't think PDX will see a high of 22 next week?! Doubt they get that warm. 1 1 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Raining again!! Up to .95” on the day. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 13 minutes ago, bainbridgekid said: December 2013. My first experience with very cold weather that year lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is the definition of coast to coast cold! 12 in Santa Barbara! 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This is the definition of coast to coast cold! That is sub zero temps across literally 2/3 of the entire country at the same time. Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 19 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: FWIW the 00z UKMET at days 5 and 6. Have to wait for it to load on pivotal to see the 850mb temperatures. slides east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Are you people ready to get cold? It sure looks likely now. The GEM was pretty epic and kind of support my idea the GFS might be holding back too much given the extreme nature of the back digging that's going to be happening. Another thing to bear in mind is the low level cold may be quite impressive compared to what 850s might suggest in this situation. 1 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 None of the cold is going to make it here. The pattern modeled just doesn't account for the large mountains. This is all going to push east. Money Back Guarantee 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Are you people ready to get cold? It sure looks likely now. The GEM was pretty epic and kind of support my idea the GFS might be holding back too much given the extreme nature of the back digging that's going to be happening. Another thing to bear in mind is the low level cold may be quite impressive compared to what 850s might suggest in this situation. Just hoping we can get colder 850hpa temps west of the Cascades so when the actual moisture comes, we get snow and not ice. Let's see what the Euro says. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 5 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 12 in Santa Barbara! Very common. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: 12 in Santa Barbara! If that verifies, gonna be pretty damaging to palms and citrus trees down there. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Seriously ...could start another forest fire 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GeorgeWx Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Are you people ready to get cold? It sure looks likely now. The GEM was pretty epic and kind of support my idea the GFS might be holding back too much given the extreme nature of the back digging that's going to be happening. Another thing to bear in mind is the low level cold may be quite impressive compared to what 850s might suggest in this situation. You must not have seen the Ukmet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Wonder what the extracted data will be from the GEM. It would have to show highs around 20 given the looks of it. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, ..... said: None of the cold is going to make it here. The pattern modeled just doesn't account for the large mountains. This is all going to push east. Money Back Guarantee Oh brother. The mountains are factored in. Are you aware 850s dropped to around -20 with cold straight from the east in Feb 2006? It just takes a strong persistent push and the cold air can make it. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, snow_wizard said: Oh brother. The mountains are factored in. Are you aware 850s dropped to around -20 with cold straight from the east in Feb 2006? It just takes a strong persistent push and the cold air can make it. I will bet you any reasonable amount of money you choose that it will not hit 12˚F in Santa Barbara this month. It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, GeorgeWx said: Only the Ukmet sees how massive the Rockies are. The GEM sees no mountains People way under estimate how cold air can clear the mountains given the right pattern. The 500mb configuration being progged speaks for itself. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, Rubus Leucodermis said: I will bet you any reasonable amount of money you choose that it will not hit 12˚F in Santa Barbara this month. That would be pretty insane. The cold air will likely be held pretty far north in the far west. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Had 1.6" fall on the 3rd. This next 5-6 days look dry so it won't snow until mid month. Just came off three consecutive below normal snow months which doesn't look good for the overall winter, maybe February changes things. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Oh brother. The mountains are factored in. Are you aware 850s dropped to around -20 with cold straight from the east in Feb 2006? It just takes a strong persistent push and the cold air can make it. What was the coldest high in Seattle during that event? Starting on 2/15... Snoqualmie Falls had 40, 41, 45, 35, 43, 45, 42 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 GEM was bone dry. ICON was cold and had moisture. 1 1 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Euro is a bit weak for Oregon mountains snowfall but shows more up in Washington. My next somewhat decent snowfall is about a week from now on pivotalweather. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: What was the coldest high in Seattle during that event? Starting on 2/15... Snoqualmie Falls had 40, 41, 45, 35, 43, 45, 42 SEA's coldest afternoon was 37. PDX benefitted a little more from the gorge and managed a 31F afternoon high with full sunshine, which was pretty impressive. That was a pure easterly event, almost no Fraser River outflow at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 10 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Oh brother. The mountains are factored in. Are you aware 850s dropped to around -20 with cold straight from the east in Feb 2006? It just takes a strong persistent push and the cold air can make it. That 2006 blast doesn’t get much love due to its mundanity, but it was a beast. Important to note it had much more formidable Pacific blocking. #teleconnectionsANDblacklivesmatter 2 My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: SEA's coldest afternoon was 37. PDX benefitted a little more from the gorge and managed a 31F afternoon high with full sunshine, which was pretty impressive. That was a pure easterly event, almost no Fraser River outflow at all. Interestingly... I remember being in Bellingham looking at homes with my parents during that event and the wind was roaring from the NE up there under crystal clear skies. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 17 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: What was the coldest high in Seattle during that event? Starting on 2/15... Snoqualmie Falls had 40, 41, 45, 35, 43, 45, 42 That’s what I have had for highs over the last week! Except for the 35. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, MossMan said: That’s what I have had for highs over the last week! That was in the Snoqualmie Valley with what I have now learned was 850mb temps of -20C in the middle of February! 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Matt is still not onboard. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted February 6, 2021 Author Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 6 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Interestingly... I remember being in Bellingham looking at homes with my parents during that event and the wind was roaring from the NE up there under crystal clear skies. It was more of a downslope component there with that. BLI hit 37 on the 17th as PDX stayed below freezing. The CAA was all focused through the easterlies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: That was in the Snoqualmie Valley with what I have now learned was 850mb temps of -20C in the middle of February! I think he meant November 2006. That was fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Anyone staying up for the ECMWF?? 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MR.SNOWMIZER Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Just now, MossMan said: Matt is still not onboard. He wasn't in 2019 either. I remember every one of those frightening posts. 1 We come from the land of the ice and snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: I think he meant November 2006. That was fun No... Jim was specifically referring to February 2006. **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Anyone staying up for the ECMWF?? Nah I think we should all get our rest and pick up again on Monday. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bainbridgekid Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Little bit of CZ/arctic front snow Monday morning on the WRF. 2 Everett Snowfall (510 feet elevation) Snow since February 2019: 91" 2023-24: 6" 2022-23: 17.5" 2021-22: 17.75" 2020-21: 14.5” 2019-20: 10.5" 2018-19: 24.75" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 14 minutes ago, Deweydog said: That 2006 blast doesn’t get much love due to its mundanity, but it was a beast. Important to note it had much more formidable Pacific blocking. #teleconnectionsANDblacklivesmatter Nasty winds..There were 60 mph gusts nearby in Post Falls, Idaho. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, bainbridgekid said: Little bit of CZ/arctic front snow Monday morning on the WRF. Push that north 10 miles...Or I need to buy my old house back. 1 Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 Shades of 2006, maybe blocking isn’t as good though but the cold is certainly there. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 I do not remember anything from February 2006. Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted February 6, 2021 Report Share Posted February 6, 2021 1 minute ago, Requiem said: Shades of 2006, maybe blocking isn’t as good though but the cold is certainly there. I enjoyed the Feb 06 event. I'll take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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