Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Today’s models runs are going to be a lot more exciting than the super bowl. Just sayin’ 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 4 minutes ago, Cloud said: Power outage in sub freezing temps? No thanks! People have died in the past due to carbon monoxide poisoning because of the stuff they had to do to keep warm. If this place lost power in an arctic setup that would be disastrous. We can't use the fireplace either because the chimney was blocked up years ago. 1 1 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jesse Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Praying the models trend way warmer today to put MossMan in the sweet spot for once 1 1 1 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: 06z EPS control model looked quite snowy by Friday night. This is a slight shift northward from it's 00z run. Thinking the morning Euro is gonna trend more north as well. Guess we’ll find out soon. 3 4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Cloud said: Thinking the morning Euro is gonna trend more north as well. Guess we’ll find out soon. Yeah... the 12Z GFS has me thinking the northward trend might continue. It was such a dramatic shift to the north. 1 1 **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 I don't like trends north. Soon enough Vancouver Island will be the sweet spot and locations to the south can pound sand with 40 rain. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 15 minutes ago, Timmy said: Holy crap. The GEM just keeps thinking of more amazing solutions for us, lol. That would be the absolute best case scenario. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, ..... said: I don't like trends north. Soon enough Vancouver Island will be the sweet spot and locations to the south can pound sand with 40 rain. Who is the mystery person with no name and no picture? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Hope the EURO sticks to its guns, as long as we get that offshore flow to tap into the cold air PDX is in the running. "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... the 12Z GFS has me thinking the northward trend might continue. It was such a dramatic shift to the north. 5 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Yeah... the 12Z GFS has me thinking the northward trend might continue. It was such a dramatic shift to the north. Except I don’t think it’ll be much of a shift. Still leaving a snowy solution for most, so I like to assume the Euro at this point is just making adjustments to details. PDX posters shouldn’t be worry about missing out on the snow as the GFS tends to be more dramatic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Lol 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FroYoBro Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: Lol Maybe just a tiny bit unrealistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, FroYoBro said: Who is the mystery person with no name and no picture? It's me PuyallupJon reimagined for the next four years. Black is beautiful and the best best thing ever. Everything black is wonderful and amazing. I've seen these types of situatations unfold before. With the initial shot I'd be happy if things went too far south. So many times the cold air doesn't make it here because of some pesky low not dropping far enough south. The goodies get held up at the border and then slide east. 1 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 UKMET 12z has 3 in of snow into Seattle on Wednesday. Looks like this system will be much more potent. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, ..... said: It's me PuyallupJon reimagined for the next four years. Black is beautiful and the best best thing ever. Everything black is wonderful and amazing. I've seen these types of situatations unfold before. With the initial shot I'd be happy if things went too far south. So many times the cold air doesn't make it here because of some pesky low not dropping far enough south. The goodies get held up at the border and then slide east. Some flashes of lightning through that window would top it off 1 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 10 minutes ago, ..... said: I don't like trends north. Soon enough Vancouver Island will be the sweet spot and locations to the south can pound sand with 40 rain. I like those trends just fine… 2 1 It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Big shift north with the Friday system on the UKMET. Looks like a PDX special. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
paulb/eugene Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 If I get 1.5” of ice I’m dead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Some flashes of lightning through that window would top it off Yeah, the window didn't turn out so well in the picture but I'm glad someone(you) saw it. This is going to be a fun and wild week. Are you ready for it? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 7 minutes ago, Timmy said: Lol I feel like the GEM has been an indication of what the Euro will show as of late. 12z euro may be colder yet. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 hour ago, Phil said: The winter onslaught has reached the Netherlands. Soon to be heading to a lamplight in my own neighborhood! Awesome! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, wxmet said: Big shift north with the Friday system on the UKMET. Looks like a PDX special. The Thursday system looks like it comes onshore around Central Oregon. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The GEM/ICON camp look great for everyone. GFS/EURO are great for PDX - north, but shifting north quickly. Right now the odds are not good anywhere south of PDX for cold and snow. Probably 50/50 for PDX. Seattle still looks to be in a good spot. 2 2 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmet Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Big system on Saturday on the UKMET where Seattle gets in on the action. Temps look good all the way down to PDX. Should be a regional event. 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Watch PDX get like two inches of ice lol 2 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The GEM literally parks the PV over Central Oregon. I have a feeling the crazy model solutions will continue. 3 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 2 minutes ago, ..... said: Yeah, the window didn't turn out so well in the picture but I'm glad someone(you) saw it. This is going to be a fun and wild week. Are you ready for it? Definitely. I think a lot of the time the models underestimate this basin down here. I've seen it a lot. 3" could translate to 8-9". We'll see. I forget what these models were doing in Jan 2017 at my place. Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Look where the TPV is on the Canadian 6 1 1 Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 37 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Seattle area finally gets in on the action on Monday... Helping my son move from Ballard to Crown Hill on Monday. Might be slippery! 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, SilverFallsAndrew said: The GEM literally parks the PV over Central Oregon. I have a feeling the crazy model solutions will continue. The odds aren’t good south of pdx 1 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, wxmet said: Big system on Saturday on the UKMET where Seattle gets in on the action. Temps look good all the way down to PDX. Should be a regional event. 12z UKMET 6 day snow totals. Onto the 12z King EURO! 2 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Timmy said: The odds aren’t good south of pdx Bellingham to Wilsonville maybe. 1 "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 3 minutes ago, Requiem said: Watch PDX get like two inches of ice lol I'm definitely expecting some ice since I live near the Gorge but hoping for a good snowstorm before then. All I know is that the East winds will be ripping. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 1 minute ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: 12z UKMET 6 day snow totals. Onto the 12z King EURO! 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Just now, Requiem said: Bellingham to Wilsonville maybe. Except Wilsonville is one of the worst metro spots for snowfall (they do good in some wind events however). My brother has lived there for 7 years. He hasn't had a real snowstorm since 2008 in Hillsboro. 2 Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 22 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, 5/15, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 Gem has probably the most odd snow map ever 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Fircrest Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 This is so much fun. Can you imagine getting paid to do this as a professional?! I almost majored in meteorology but didn't because of all the math involved. Should have done it anyway. 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2021 Report Share Posted February 7, 2021 The GEM develops a lot of juice along the arctic frontal boundary. I think there is a good chance that feature ends up being a lot snowier than modeled, especially in the Puget Sound area. 5 Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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