YahRaEl Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 34* Spanaway near Walmart 1 Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: A record low of 39 seems like some low hanging fruit. SLE s record low is like 28. I haven’t looked, but ours is probably in the mid 20s at least. Our average low is around what SEA s record is lol. How thrilling. Nice crisp weather, but it’s not THAT exciting. Maybe not exciting, but intriguing as hell. You still have to tip your hat to a top 5% event which the average temp for the first half of October is going to be. I have always been a sucker for cold in October anyway, and we have it in spades this year. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 minute ago, Spiritual Chris WX said: 34* Spanaway near Walmart Down to 36 here now. I will notch my -10 departure for the day. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Maybe not exciting, but intriguing as hell. You still have to tip your hat to a top 5% event which the average temp for the first half of October is going to be. I have always been a sucker for cold in October anyway, and we have it in spades this year. Gonna go out on a limb and say that this part of the region is not experiencing a top 5 event. Things are different down here than they used to be. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Down to 36 here now. I will notch my -10 departure for the day. Just a -3.5 for here. Just a bit different. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 It's here! Green on the horizon! Nice and bright! 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Maybe not exciting, but intriguing as hell. You still have to tip your hat to a top 5% event which the average temp for the first half of October is going to be. I have always been a sucker for cold in October anyway, and we have it in spades this year. It’s interesting to an extent, but we just had an extremely cold October 2 years ago. We will see if this year can stack up to that one. I have my doubts. But a solidly chilly month would be a win. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 More significant rain coming up here the next 5 days... 2 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 13 minutes ago, Skagit Weather said: I mean I don't know how to prove that, but I can show you this time lapse from Skunkbay Weather. This camera is less sensitive than the human eye at night and you can see it (although not particularly impressively) at the end of the video. I mean it certainly wasn't the brightest I've ever seen and not like any of the pictures make it appear, but it was enough to make reflections on the Sound. SkunkBayWx_AuroraCam.mp4 14.87 MB · 0 downloads That shows nothing, not trying to be an assshole but if it isn't visible to the naked eye then it's not impressive to me, just my opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Just now, TigerWoodsLibido said: Just a -3.5 for here. Just a bit different. It’s been solidly below average everywhere. A bit more so at SEA, a bit less so at EUG. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 7 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: If Chris didn’t see it then it didn’t happen Not true at all, just an opinion. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: That shows nothing, not trying to be an assshole but if it isn't visible to the naked eye the it's not impressive to me, just my opinion. How tf does someone prove what they’ve seen with the naked eye? I’m sorry but that’s kind of a dumb question people are literally posting pictures of it…people can see it with the naked eye I could even see it here like 75 miles south going against the Seattle light pollution. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 minute ago, TacomaWaWx said: How tf does someone prove what they’ve seen with the naked eye? I’m sorry but that’s kind of a dumb question people are literally posting pictures of it… Lol, I wanna see flip phone pics, that would prove it. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Just now, GHweatherChris said: Lol, I wanna see flip phone pics, that would prove it. I’m just gonna assume you’re trolling at this point like usual. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 minute ago, GHweatherChris said: Lol, I wanna see flip phone pics, that would prove it. Or a video that showed the light pillars moving. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Just now, snow_wizard said: Or a video that showed the light pillars moving. That would be perfect evidence!! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 5 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It’s been solidly below average everywhere. A bit more so at SEA, a bit less so at EUG. I think I'm at about -6 here. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: I’m just gonna assume you’re trolling at this point like usual. Jim just stated what would be the best proof, I am not the only skeptical one. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 12, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Down to 39 here Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 36° here. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
YahRaEl Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 KTCM (McChord) 33* Quote Eastside Tacoma/Salishan, WA. Elv 263ft Family home in Spanaway, WA. Elv 413ft ☥𓂀 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 3 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: Jim just stated what would be the best proof, I am not the only skeptical one. Someone literally quoted you with the video…I’m not sure why I’m even responding this is just the same dumb sh*t you do to Tim all the time. Throw in the random weather observation 10% of the time and useless stuff 90% of the time… 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Just now, TacomaWaWx said: Someone literally quoted you with the video…I’m not sure why I’m even responding this is just the same dumb sh*t you do to Tim all the time. The video did not show anything, I tried to see it many times but it isn't there. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 18 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: More significant rain coming up here the next 5 days... Euro makes quite the jump in precip for Washington for such short time out 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: Euro makes quite the jump in precip for Washington for such short time out Nvm I guess it’s just moving the band north from the 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 I'm in Canyon Park in Bothell and it's already 37°. I think more areas are going have frost tonight! Quote Mercer Island, 350 ft 2021-2022: 11.6", 02/21 2020-2021: 15.6" 2019-2020: ~10" 2018-2019 winter snowfall total: 29.5" 2017-2018: 9.0", 2016-2017: 14.0" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Only time I’ve seen the northern lights was up in Omak back in 2001 at Loup Loup. It was mesmerizing. I have absolutely no proof this happened. 4 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 22 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: It's here! Green on the horizon! Nice and bright! Faded fast. Oh well, fun while it lasted. Glad I thought to give the sky one last look before going to bed. Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted October 12, 2021 Author Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 38 now! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Mean temp at my place this month has been 48.6. That’s -1 for the whole month, so probably-4/-5 month to date. Course I haven’t even been home so it’s just numbers. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 33 minutes ago, GHweatherChris said: The video did not show anything, I tried to see it many times but it isn't there. It is quite possible to see it with the naked eye though it’ll most likely be a hazy mess. This should be the skunkbay camera loop. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Officially in the 30s. We’re down to 39. First time since mid April! Almost a good 6 months ago. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 49 minutes ago, Spiritual Chris WX said: KTCM (McChord) 33* The models have been terrible with the low temps on this cold snap. The GFS had their low being 37 tonight and the ECMWF 35. They have been high on everything on the low temps. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: The models have been terrible with the low temps on this cold snap. The GFS had their low being 37 tonight and the ECMWF 35. They have been high on everything on the low temps. Grand Mound and Yelm are 32. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 37˚F. Frost starting to form on parked cars. 1 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 23 minutes ago, Cloud said: It is quite possible to see it with the naked eye though it’ll most likely be a hazy mess. This should be the skunkbay camera loop. Also quite variable in intensity. Went from bright and obvious to barely visible to not visible to the naked eye in a matter of minutes. 1 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 Man when was the last time we had an anomaly distribution quite like this one? Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: Or a video that showed the light pillars moving. We show it...we show all of it. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 8 hours ago, Cloud said: Cohen’s thoughts and blog on the SSW peaking around October 25. Seems to suggest early SSW’s in Oct/Nov will lead to something very significant during mid-winter. This is quite exciting. Definitely worth the read. https://www.aer.com/science-research/climate-weather/arctic-oscillation/ Also this thread regarding weak SSW in Oct/Nov leading to a more significant one later. The concern is a very early SSW could make it more difficult for efficient wave driving in the subsequent 6-8 weeks, during the peak of the radiative cycle, particularly in December. Wave activity fluxes are rendered inert without a westerly moat above the zero wind line. I’d rather see an average (or slightly stronger than average) vortex in October/early November. But not so strong that we lose a ton of O3 and the PV becomes an immovable black hole perpetuating a shallow/stable/warm tropical tropopause. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow drift Posted October 12, 2021 Report Share Posted October 12, 2021 1 hour ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: Still 42F here. Standard October fare. Pleasant normal fall evening. Got up to 60F so I’m not sure what the fuss is about. Sounds like a nice day.☀ Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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