snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 FWIW the GFS extended ensemble looked really nice by mid December. Well defined GOA block. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 We could do a lot worse than 07-08 or even 99-00. 3 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Forecast is for 27.......down to 30.2 at 6:25 PM. Doubt that forecast holds. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Yep, we are doing this!! 4 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 41 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I wouldn' mind it. Leavenworth had 66 inches in December and 39 in January. 128 total for the winter. But I hope everyone gets a lot of snow this winter. BTW the snowiest month I could find was December 1996. 94 inches fell. I know for a fact 1916 was uber ridiculous over there. I've seen pictures from Cle Elum that showed many feet on the ground. It was extraordinary even for there. I want to say there was over 100 inches on the ground, but I can't remember where I saw that. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 6 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: We could do a lot worse than 07-08 or even 99-00. I will say that Dewey brought up an interesting point about some near misses in 2007-08. If that's the worst case scenario this time around just some minor details going better could make it acceptable. I seem to remember the model world showing a huge blast in January of 2000 so it came close. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I know for a fact 1916 was uber ridiculous over there. I've seen pictures from Cle Elum that showed many feet on the ground. It was extraordinary even for there. I want to say there was over 100 inches on the ground, but I can't remember where I saw that. Bet the Model T had a hell of time in such weather. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 52 minutes ago, Dave said: It's definitely been torchy in western Oregon. BTW, for anyone that wants to pull those anomaly maps, here is a great website to snag them from. https://wrcc.dri.edu/anom/ That's not an anomaly map. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, MossMan said: Yep, we are doing this!! No bonus this year 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Looking at the anomaly map for the past 30 days there is quite an N to S gradient. Zero to +2 for the Seattle area to +4 to +6 for the Willamette Valley Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: I know for a fact 1916 was uber ridiculous over there. I've seen pictures from Cle Elum that showed many feet on the ground. It was extraordinary even for there. I want to say there was over 100 inches on the ground, but I can't remember where I saw that. I have seen pictures from Leavenworth from what I think was 1916, before it was a Babarian town. Very impressive. Of course they didn't have snow removal like we do now, but still amazing. 3 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 16 minutes ago, TheNewCulverJosh said: Forecast is for 27.......down to 30.2 at 6:25 PM. Doubt that forecast holds. Finally getting a bit of a chill going. Already down to 40 here with lots of sub freezing east of the Cascades. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That's not an anomaly map. This one is. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 minute ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I have seen pictures from Leavenworth from what I think was 1916, before it was a Babarian town. Very impressive. Of course they didn't have snow removal like we do now, but still amazing. At first I thought you had written barbarian town. I thought... I never knew it was that crazy over there back then. That is a crazy amount of snow. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 21, 2021 Author Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 7 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: I have seen pictures from Leavenworth from what I think was 1916, before it was a Babarian town. Very impressive. Of course they didn't have snow removal like we do now, but still amazing. I can't believe Springfield, OR is going to look like that on Christmas day 2021 1 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Down to 35. High was 45 today. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 15 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: At first I thought you had written barbarian town. I thought... I never knew it was that crazy over there back then. That is a crazy amount of snow. At times during Oktoberfest it has seemed like a barbarian town! 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: I was just going to post that. Doesn't look half bad for an ensemble mean 23 days out... It's been pretty consistent showing that kind of a pattern for about the last week. And consistent with the Euro long range as well as the CFS. BTW for those who don't know, the really long range GFS is run once per day for the 0Z forecast. It is available on Pivotal very late afternoon the next day and on some paid sites. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Not sure what is worse. Rex block that lasts from Dec 1st-March 31st, or the way the Ducks are playing tonight. 1 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 35, hoping to score a freeze by midnight. Average for my station for November is 8, I'm at 2 so far. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 32 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: At times during Oktoberfest it has seemed like a barbarian town! those are some crazy snow pictures man, wow! i guess you don't have to worry about Oktoberfest any more? It's going to be in Wenatchee. has your mayor outlawed Christmas and the tree lighting yet? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 39 in the swamp gonna get a good freeze tonight Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheNewCulverJosh Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 2 minutes ago, The Swamp said: 39 in the swamp gonna get a good freeze tonight I'm thinking a 34.4 degree frost. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 00z GFS Day 1 2 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 3 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Chilly night here in the southern Willamette Valley and at the Reser Stadium. 36 at CVO. Brookings still at 61 after a high of 68. Banana belt it sure is! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 4 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 5 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mtep Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 5 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Day 4 *clears phlegm* you couldn't hear a dump truck driving through a nitroglycerin plant 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 6 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 7 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Thanks, Randy @MossMan for inspiring me while posting the 00z GFS! 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 8 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: That's not an anomaly map. Oops. I was forced to consume a drink or two due to the Duck game and clicked the wrong link. That page does have the anomaly maps there though that are easily available. It's a solid resource for those that like to whine about how things have been going lately. Including me. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 A very chilly 42 when were in the truck yard. 39 now. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GHweatherChris Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Day 9'er 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 Temp: 36.1, Dewpoint: 31.6 almost feels like Winter outside! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted November 21, 2021 Report Share Posted November 21, 2021 3 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said: Temp: 36.1, Dewpoint: 31.6 almost feels like Winter outside! Sounds like some froggy weather is potentially in the books. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.