Chewbacca Defense Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 43 minutes ago, Brian_in_Leavenworth said: PSA: It’s not fun out here. Stay home people. https://t.co/fEo8H4NqZY BULLSH*T!!!!! that looks like an absolute BLAST!!!!!! Silly CBC reporter! 2 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 Snow country east coasters hate winter, that's why they all retire to FL and the Carolina coast 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 5 minutes ago, Phishy Wx said: Snow country east coasters hate winter, that's why they all retire to FL and the Carolina coast Hating snow and cold in the winter seems so foreign to me. One thing is for sure…The John Deere lawn tractor group I am a part of, the East coasters were really weenieing out big time with the late start to winter over there. They kept posting pics of their machine with either the plow or the snow blower attachment ready to go but with no snow to move. They were extremely jealous of my post in late December!! Now they are in heaven pushing and blowing snow. Hopefully they will be sad again come February. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AlTahoe Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 January's that have had 8" of precip or more in Tahoe City since 1990 1993, 1995,1996,1997,1998,1999,2000 2017,2019 What the hell happened to Jan? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 GFS would end January with some snow up here. Currently a gloomy 42 in Salem. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 18z gives us a nice dickblast to the face 2 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: 18z gives us a nice dickblast to the face It wants to go backdoor, but that ridge is getting smushed a little. 1 1 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 4 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It wants to go backdoor, but that ridge is getting smushed a little. 12z was able to tuck that trough underneath for a Kona Low which helped force the backdoor. 18z misses the kona low which leaves that opening 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 First time seeing the sun at home since WEDNESDAY! 7 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 18z GFS seems reasonable. Let's scour the ensembles for improvement. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 Heres back half of the 18z GFS 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: Another sure sign of a cold and snowy February is a beautiful MLK Day. Just took my daughter and our 15-year old dog to the park in North Bend and it was gorgeous out there. I swear it's been like this on MLK Day several times in the last few years. And winter always comes back. Good to see that your neighbor has not shot your dog! 2 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 February - cold/dry March - cold/dry April - warm/dry May - warm/dry June - hot/dry July - hot/dry August - hot/dry 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 8 hours ago, Timmy_Supercell said: Some snow was falling after midnight. New report shows 5.0" in downtown Ashland, I ended up with 4". Treasure it. To paraphrase the SEC, "It just means more." Pretty nice! 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 3 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: February 2017 was pretty decent too. Had that Super Bowl Sunday snow event in W. Washington, and was very wet and coolish in NW Oregon. Broke 1996 for wettest February on record at Salem. We had quite a bit of snow at the end of the month with cold onshore flow. So really 2017 started the party. That was a really fun event. I think I've mentioned it before but I was supposed to go to a job interview in Fargo, ND from Everett that Saturday via the Empire Builder train but it was delayed several hours due to a mechanical issue so I had to cancel. Would have been fun to live in such a snowy place. Then we stayed in Mt Vernon at one of the Best Westerns and spent two days/nights watching the snow fall hard. That train ended up getting stuck near Glacier Ntl Park for a few days and then went back to Spokane so I would have missed the event in W. WA. It worked out just fine in the end for me. There's still snow on the hills south of Spokane but it becomes more sparse south of Colfax. Still was hovering near freezing when my flight got into GEG this am. Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 28 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: It wants to go backdoor, but that ridge is getting smushed a little. The dickblast is going backdoor? 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 17, 2022 Report Share Posted January 17, 2022 16 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: February - very cold/wet March - cold/wet April - warm/wet May - warm/dry June - cool/wet July - warm/dry August - cool/wet Fixed it for you. 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Model trend over last 3 days for hour 306 on GEFS. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 GEFS is starting to figure things out. Looks like our blast is actually going to come from the south. Good for OR folks, but the Antarctic front will probably stall around Olympia. 1 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 12z GEFS 1/31 04z: -0.9C 18z GFS 1/31 04z: -2.6C Ensemble improvement. 2 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Good information about the Tonga eruption from a professor of volcanology in New Zealand. https://www.cnn.com/2022/01/17/opinions/tonga-volcano-eruption-tsunami-lessons/index.html His research says this was a thousand year event for that particular volcano. He also mentioned that since the major explosion and collapse of the top of the volcano, the caldera is now underwater and subsequent activity has been occurring below the surface of the water and sending out occasional tsunamis towards neighboring islands. That is why we are seeing reports of additional eruptions with no visible sign of it happening. Fascinating stuff. First, let's look at the eruption. Events of this magnitude occur roughly once a decade around the world, but for this volcano an eruption of this scale is a rarity. Based on my research, using radiocarbon dating to examine the ash and deposits from past eruptions, it seems this latest eruption is a once-in-a-millennium event for the Hunga-Tonga-Hunga-Ha'apai volcano. It takes roughly 900-1000 years for the Hunga volcano to fill up with magma, which cools and starts to crystallize, producing large amounts of gas pressure inside the magma. As gases start to build up pressure, the magma becomes unstable. Think of it like putting too many bubbles into a champagne bottle -- eventually, the bottle will break. 6 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Comparing 12z EPS vs 18z GEFS at hour 336 (Jan 31) 5 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 18z vs 12z GEFS at 00z Feb 1 (hr 342) 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 3 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: 18z vs 12z GEFS at 00z Feb 1 (hr 342) Ensembles continue to improve. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: 18z gives us a nice dickblast to the face it's coming 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dtwenty7 Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 I think maybe this is why our local television Meteorologists have trouble forecasting weather.. They’re not aware that the sun rises in the east, and sets in the west.. 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Looks like a high of 44 at SLE today... Trying to avoid another January with an average high of 50+. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 gotta go pick up my son at daycare so here is the end of GEFS minus the last two frames. better! transition TBD but seems like backdoor is less and less likely. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Swamp Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 No SE ridge = No bueno 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 38 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: gotta go pick up my son at daycare so here is the end of GEFS minus the last two frames. better! transition TBD but seems like backdoor is less and less likely. Please NO backdoor action…North to south is where it’s at!! At least for my backyard!! 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 January started out pretty cold with a subfreezing high here. Would be funny if the 31st is also really cold with all of the crap in the middle. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Today was fog on the water. Heavy, thick, fog. But not thick enough that it shrouded ships in mystery. You could see them very well. But it was murky today. Away from the bay, skies were blue or partly cloudy and pleasant. 47F was a high. 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 41/35 today with afternoon sun and the fog bank hanging just to our south another nice wintery day Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 The producer of this video thinks it was a VEI 4 eruption, by the way (and explains why he thinks so in the video). 6 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 34 minutes ago, BLI snowman said: January started out pretty cold with a subfreezing high here. Would be funny if the 31st is also really cold with all of the crap in the middle. This very nice ridge is not “crap.” 2 Quote It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted January 18, 2022 Author Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 I don't think it got sunny today, I can't be sure since I fell asleep. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 On 1/15/2022 at 11:39 AM, Phil said: The sound of Tim’s summer dreams going up in ash. You spoke too soon. 2 1 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gusky Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 22 minutes ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: The producer of this video thinks it was a VEI 4 eruption, by the way (and explains why he thinks so in the video). I subscribed yesterday, good content 2 Quote My Weather Station: https://ambientweather.net/dashboard/b415ff35b2d13f00c899051028f04466 Located in North Seattle, elevation ~150ft. Highest temperature ever recorded is 110.3, lowest is 14.5. My Twitter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 18, 2022 Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Yeah, I think the lack of a SE ridge is a good sign the bulk of the cold air will slide east. Of course we are talking about something about two weeks out. A lot could change. Seems like the ensembles are starting to hit on something though. Maybe not arctic, but could still be decent for many. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Skier B Posted January 18, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted January 18, 2022 Snapped this picture out of my window while driving through the outskirts of Ellensburg. Temps were a chilly 25F at 10:30 AM. Less than an hour later Snoqualmie Pass was at 39F. 11 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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