RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Unless the EPS is a major improvement over 12z my brain won’t let me sleep until we see 6z GEFS. 1 6 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Day 7 sembles Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Day 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Of course another way to look at this is if the cut-off were handled differently Day 4-6 we could have gone into a cold pattern sooner around Day 7-8. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 GEFS is full of shite EPS looks good 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 That is one pretty block being shown on the EPS. A little different than the 12z, but a better look IMO. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 22 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Unless the EPS is a major improvement over 12z my brain won’t let me sleep until we see 6z GEFS. What in the name of flying circus shitts is that thing? 6z GFS in 2 hours 4 minutes 4 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 This calls for a north Pacific view. Sexy! 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Looks fine vs 12z Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 This EPS run certainly hints at snow. A truly classic block. Going to be some really good members I'm betting. 4 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 7 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: GEFS is full of shite EPS looks good Not much better 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Not much better Not before Day 10, no, but after it definitely is. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 EPS day 14 va 12z and GEFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 I think a really major event is very much on the table given everything we've seen over the last couple of days. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 minute ago, RentonHillTC said: EPS day 14 va 12z and GEFS The one thing about this EPS is brings back the big N to S gradient again. Obviously the GEFS tonight was out to lunch. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 50 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 We'll know by Wednesday 00z runs if this pattern comes together or not. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: The one thing about this EPS is brings back the big N to S gradient again. Obviously the GEFS tonight was out to lunch. SE ridge is nowhere on GEFS Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 hour nap 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 44/39 day today mostly cloudy nice to go back to coolish conditions after one day of torching yesterday hopefully we get into a good inversion pattern this coming week 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Down to 45 at PDX… Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 hour ago, snow_wizard said: That positive center is money. Right where it was in Jan 1950. Dropped to -6F here in 1950. I’d be pleased if we come within 20 degrees of that. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 30 minutes ago, Deweydog said: Down to 45 at PDX… Hope everyone has their ice scrapers…. I mean squeegees handy for the morning 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Pretty mild in the Willamette Valley. Down to 33 up here at least. Just checked out the 00z CFS. Wall to wall blow torch through February. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 06z GFS could turn the mood around. Who knows? 2 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 So far on 6z, stronger ridging over Alaska might help push a trough out of BC towards us. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 2 hours ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 06z GFS could turn the mood around. Who knows? Maybe this is the models way of pushing us back to the 5-10 timeframe. GFS is garbage but GEFS looks like it might get cold again ? Straw grasping etc 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Day 13 GEFS. Not quite as catastrophic as 00z 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Yeah the 06z is kind of another notch worse. Here’s to the 12z... Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tyler Mode Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Down to just 7 degrees above normal for the low this morning...brrrrrr Haven't had a freeze since the 10th, and only 5 for the month. Weenie post I know. Spring is on the way though, the sun rises in Barrow today for the first time since November 19th! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Was down to 31... now back up to 33 here. Looks frosty out there with the moon shining and clear skies. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BLI snowman Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 GFS really went off the rails fast. Oh well. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Hit 5 this morning, coldest of the season. This was only the 2nd low in the single digits, but I bet western KY has had temps below zero. 3 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 21 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, 5/6, 5/7 5/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 32 and frosty. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 39 and mostly cloudy this morning east wind should clear things out later this afternoon maybe some frost in the coming nights Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Usually Tacoma narrows is one of the colder spots but only got down to 39 there this morning. 36 here. Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted January 22, 2022 Report Share Posted January 22, 2022 Foggy here. Hoping it burns off and we get some sun but this morning’s afd doesn’t have me too hopeful. Currently 40 degrees. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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