PNW January 2022, Contact Info for Phil

[Chewbacca Defense]

13 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Getting chilly up there! 

I must admit this is the one and only time I am greatly conflicted about the cold and snow we are seeing tonight….my wife has a huge interview early tomorrow morning and I don’t want her dealing with crap roads to get to it.  Once she it there, let the skies open up and the cold winds blow!!

 

down to 26 IMBY and snowing again.  Not a lot of accumulation yet, maybe .5”-.75”

[Cloud]

29 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Sorry Phil but I have to troll you tonight! Doesn’t mean I don’t think you are a great contributor…But you were about as accurate as Matt’s yearly MLK predictions with this one. 
I haven’t seen my grass since the afternoon of Christmas Eve. 
 

 

[TacomaWaWx]

7 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

I must admit this is the one and only time I am greatly conflicted about the cold and snow we are seeing tonight….my wife has a huge interview early tomorrow morning and I don’t want her dealing with crap roads to get to it.  Once she it there, let the skies open up and the cold winds blow!!

 

down to 26 IMBY and snowing again.  Not a lot of accumulation yet, maybe .5”-.75”

You guys have had a lot of weather activity lately…and have done really well with the snow and cold the last couple weeks. Seattle and Tacoma have done pretty well too but north of Everett has done great particularly whatcom county.

[GHweatherChris]

925s getting better.

 

[Deweydog]

43 minutes ago, MossMan said:

Sorry Phil but I have to troll you tonight! Doesn’t mean I don’t think you are a great contributor…But you were about as accurate as Matt’s yearly MLK predictions with this one. 
I haven’t seen my grass since the afternoon of Christmas Eve. 
 

SHOTS FIRED!

[TT-SEA]

The weather station near here has picked up .65 in total precip in the last 24 hours.

I did not see much rain falling in that period... but saw plenty of snow and some sleet falling.    And yet we have less snow on the ground now then we did last night at this time.   

[Gradient Keeper]

Pretty decent pressure rises at Bellingham over the past hour.

12 AM 1017.9mb
11 PM 1016.6mb

[Cloud]

4 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

To Jim's point - Euro showed BLI at 34 degrees at midnight. It's actually 27. That's a pretty large difference for this close in time and might lend itself to a bit higher confidence that it's very low totals due to surface temps are wrong. Maybe we land somewhere between the two? Slightly closer to Euro? 

Also, the BLI-YWL gradient was down to -16.2mb as of an hour ago. I believe on 1/26 it peaked at -18mb so we are getting down there a bit.

 

[TT-SEA]

8 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said:

To Jim's point - Euro showed BLI at 34 degrees at midnight. It's actually 27. That's a pretty large difference for this close in time and might lend itself to a bit higher confidence that it's very low totals due to surface temps are wrong. Maybe we land somewhere between the two? Slightly closer to Euro? 

Also, the BLI-YWL gradient was down to -16.2mb as of an hour ago. I believe on 1/26 it peaked at -18mb so we are getting down there a bit.

Looks pretty localized to Whatcom County though.    From Mt. Vernon southward its a pretty soupy air mass tonight.    I don't think the Fraser outflow is going to have much of an impact down here tomorrow.   We will have to rely on the outflow from the passes.   Its actually colder in parts of Bellingham tonight than it is at Snoqualmie Pass right now.

[The Blob]

Meanwhile on this day in 2017

[gusky]

We should make a collab Spotify playlist for model watching. Who would be down to contribute?

[Cloud]

8 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Looks pretty localized to Whatcom County though.    From Mt. Vernon southward its a pretty soupy air mass tonight.    I don't think the Fraser outflow is going to have much of an impact down here tomorrow.   We will have to rely on the outflow from the passes.   Its actually colder in parts of Bellingham tonight than it is at Snoqualmie Pass right now.

Still a pretty horrible output for the Euro though. It was showing 31F at Abbotsford at 1AM. It's currently 23-24F up there? That's way off. GFS was spot on. 

[TT-SEA]

2 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Still a pretty horrible output for the Euro though. It was showing 31F at Abbotsford at 1AM. It's currently 23-24F up there? That's way off. GFS was spot on. 

True... both models have their issues.   The GFS also shows it is snowing in Seattle right now.     Not sure what to think.   

[TigerWoodsLibido]

11 minutes ago, gusky said:

We should make a collab Spotify playlist for model watching. Who would be down to contribute?

Here's a good night drive track.

 

[Gradient Keeper]

King GFS?

[gusky]

2 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said:

Here's a good night drive track.

 

Can't say I like it better than the original, but it's a good cover. I added the original to my playlist instead

[SouthHillFrosty]

2 minutes ago, DJ Droppin said:

King GFS?

[Cascadia_Wx]

42/37 day here with lots of low clouds and drizzle 37 is also the current temp 

[RentonHill]

EPS.

Blood in the water on the meteogram.

[GHweatherChris]

That's better.

[GHweatherChris]

The next system looks to be ahead of schedule per radar and satellite.

[Gradient Keeper]

Bellingham down to 25. Cold air is trying to filter south of Lake Samish.

[TigerWoodsLibido]

43F with showers.

[Phil]

4 hours ago, MossMan said:

Sorry Phil but I have to troll you tonight! Doesn’t mean I don’t think you are a great contributor…But you were about as accurate as Matt’s yearly MLK predictions with this one. 
I haven’t seen my grass since the afternoon of Christmas Eve. 
 

That must’ve been around Thanksgiving.

I changed my tune soon after.  

[Phil]

4 hours ago, MossMan said:

When do you head home? 

The 6th. Sad to leave family but would be happy if I never saw a palm tree again.

[Phil]

4 hours ago, gusky said:

Did you get any snow? Saw some stories about that online

Back home did, yeah. I missed it.

Apparently it was a wet cement snow that brought down some tree limbs. Will have some cleaning up to do upon my return.

[MossMan]

Down to 31.5. My snow melt has finally stopped! 

[TT-SEA]

Had a c-zone over us most of the night per the radar loop and it was snowing here but did not really accumulate at all... still dripping out there.

[TT-SEA]

06Z ECMWF... looks like the cold air up north is going to hang on long enough for snow in Bellingham and Vancouver Island.   And for Randy of course! 

[TT-SEA]

The other story will be the heavy rainfall on Thursday into Friday... probably 3 inches of rain out here and 4 inches for Chris.    Going to be some street flooding around here as the water has nowhere to go with all the snowbanks.

 

[Kayla]

-6F here and snowing moderately currently with a couple of inches so far. Doesn't take hardly any moisture with 50:1 snow ratios! One of the colder if not coldest moderate snowfalls I've seen thus far.

Snow should continue throughout the morning with another system moving in tonight.

[Chewbacca Defense]

Didn't get to peruse the board much or update last night, spent the evening talking to my wife about a job offer I got, looks like I am headed back to the aerospace industry.  I know I said I was glad to be out of aerospace, but come to find out I really miss it, and this was an opportunity that was too good to pass up.  As an added bonus I am going back to the company I was with before so I get to keep my 17+ years seniority!

 

On the weather front, we have been sitting at 25 most of the night.  We ended up with about .5" of a snow/graupel/sleet mix.

[MossMan]

1 hour ago, TT-SEA said:

The other story will be the heavy rainfall on Thursday into Friday... probably 3 inches of rain out here and 4 inches for Chris.    Going to be some street flooding around here as the water has nowhere to go with all the snowbanks.

 

Looks like I get some healthy shadowing thankfully! 

[MossMan]

Lynden and Sumas is at 21 degrees. 
I am at 31.0. 

[Blizzard777]

14 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said:

Didn't get to peruse the board much or update last night, spent the evening talking to my wife about a job offer I got, looks like I am headed back to the aerospace industry.  I know I said I was glad to be out of aerospace, but come to find out I really miss it, and this was an opportunity that was too good to pass up.  As an added bonus I am going back to the company I was with before so I get to keep my 17+ years seniority!

 

On the weather front, we have been sitting at 25 most of the night.  We ended up with about .5" of a snow/graupel/sleet mix.

Congratulations and glad you got to keep your seniority!   That’s Huge in itself  

Still have some nice snow patches around the yard and 36*

 

[Everleigh]

Temp was around 36* when I got up at 5am, but has since dropped to 34.7*. My bones are aching big time this morning....I hope it's a sign my area will score with snow today/tonight, instead of the measly trace to rain poo. (Probably not, it's just a sign that I am old lol)

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The fog and 32 degrees with drizzle here doesn't feel like snow is coming. So far any drying with offshore flow has been zero.

[Blizzard777]

6 minutes ago, Everleigh said:

Temp was around 36* when I got up at 5am, but has since dropped to 34.7*. My bones are aching big time this morning....I hope it's a sign my area will score with snow today/tonight, instead of the measly trace to rain poo. (Probably not, it's just a sign that I am old lol)

Gfs wants to give us some love tonight 

[MossMan]

Down to 30.8 and cloudy. Looks like the EURO improved for my area! Looks like virga showing up on the over the coastal areas. When is the snow expected to start today? 

[RayRay]

WWA and WWW issued for the puget sound area.

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
241 AM PST Wed Jan 5 2022

WAZ506-511-514>516-559-052300-
/O.NEW.KSEW.WW.Y.0005.220106T0000Z-220106T1000Z/
Western Skagit County-Hood Canal Area-
Eastern Strait of Juan de Fuca-Western Strait of Juan De Fuca-
North Coast-Bremerton and Vicinity-
including Burlington, Mount Vernon, Sedro-Woolley, La Conner,
Conway, Shelton, Seabeck, Belfair, Brinnon, Sequim, Port Angeles,
Clallam Bay, Joyce, Sekiu, Beaver, Clearwater, Forks, Neah Bay,
Ozette, Queets, Bremerton, Poulsbo, and Indianola
241 AM PST Wed Jan 5 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 AM PST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 3
  inches.

* WHERE...Portions of northwest and west central Washington.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 2 AM PST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on slippery road conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...A brief period of light freezing rain is
  possible late this evening or early Thursday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

For the latest road conditions in Washington state, call 5 1 1.

&&

$$

http://www.weather.gov/seattle

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
241 AM PST Wed Jan 5 2022

WAZ503-052300-
/O.UPG.KSEW.WS.A.0001.220106T0200Z-220106T1200Z/
/O.EXB.KSEW.WS.W.0002.220106T0000Z-220106T1200Z/
Western Whatcom County-
including Bellingham, Blaine, Point Roberts, Ferndale, Lynden,
Sumas, and Sudden Valley
241 AM PST Wed Jan 5 2022

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
4 AM PST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Heavy snow expected. Total snow accumulations of 2 to 6
  inches.

* WHERE...Lowlands of western Whatcom County, including Point
  Roberts, Lummi Island, Bellingham, and Sumas.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 4 AM PST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on difficult travel conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Gusty northeast winds will cause local
  blowing snow. A brief period of of light freezing rain is
  possible Thursday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

If you must travel, keep an extra flashlight, food, and water in
your vehicle in case of an emergency.

For the latest road conditions in Washington state, call 5 1 1.

&&

$$

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service Seattle WA
241 AM PST Wed Jan 5 2022

WAZ001-555-052300-
/O.UPG.KSEW.WS.A.0001.220106T0200Z-220106T1200Z/
/O.NEW.KSEW.WW.Y.0005.220106T0000Z-220106T1000Z/
San Juan County-East Puget Sound Lowlands-
including Friday Harbor, Eastsound, Bonney Lake, Maple Valley,
Monroe, Woodinville, Arlington, Granite Falls, Lake Stevens,
Snohomish, Gold Bar, Duvall, Carnation, Fall City, Snoqualmie,
North Bend, Covington, Black Diamond, Orting, and Eatonville
241 AM PST Wed Jan 5 2022

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 4 PM THIS AFTERNOON TO
2 AM PST THURSDAY...

* WHAT...Snow expected. Total snow accumulations of up to 3
  inches.

* WHERE...San Juan County, including Stuart Island, Waldron
  Island, Orcas Island, San Juan Island, Lopez Island, Blakely
  Island, and Decatur Island and East Puget Sound Lowlands from
  Snohomish County to Pierce County, including Arlington, Gold
  Bar, Duvall, Snoqualmie, Buckley, and Eatonville.

* WHEN...From 4 PM this afternoon to 2 AM PST Thursday.

* IMPACTS...Plan on difficult travel conditions.

* ADDITIONAL DETAILS...Expected locally gusty east to northeast
  winds. A brief period of light freezing rain is possible late
  this evening or early Thursday morning.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

Slow down and use caution while traveling.

For the latest road conditions in Washington state, call 5 1 1.

&&

$$

---