SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 At 1pm it is 68 at North Bend in Coos County, 25 at Baker City. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 4 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: Well like I said yesterday though it’s only February 6th. We can’t see anything in the second half of February or into March at this point. We probably thought winter was dead at this point in 2011,2018,2019 and 2020. Not saying it will happen just that we don’t know. First half of February will certainly end up being one of the most dull I can remember though. Feb 2020 will be a hard one to beat for dullness. Snow was N/A that whole month in Klamath Falls. I doubt it will be that bad. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 18 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Timmy Supercell Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 49 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Don’t worry the next run will be a February/March 2015 hybrid. At least there's already a difference from that year. The first 3 consecutive months in 2015 were all top tier torches. Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 18 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, 5/4, 5/5, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 One definite piece of good news is the MJO is in Nina friendly territory right now and the CFS is rock solid on cold ENSO continuing right through the summer. As Phil has said, this is probably our best shot at a legit cold year in quite some time if we avoid a Nino. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 57 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: No sunshine here yet 42 degrees. Here it was clear all night and then got foggy for a few hours right after sunrise. Currently 44 and sunny after a low of 30. Currently 62 at the fire training academy. I'm still betting this warm ridging will give way to something much colder later on. We have just had too many days with warm 850s to fit the context of this year. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: This CFS run is insane. Kind of a February 2011/March 2012 hybrid. In that case, it’s over. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: One definite piece of good news is the MJO is in Nina friendly territory right now and the CFS is rock solid on cold ENSO continuing right through the summer. As Phil has said, this is probably our best shot at a legit cold year in quite some time if we avoid a Nino. True. I’m skeptical we hold -ENSO, though. Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hawksfan2008 Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 1 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 18 minutes ago, Phil said: In that case, it’s over. We ll see. It hasn’t done to poorly. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
High Desert Mat? Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 What I’m really missing is split flow. It’s been awhile since we’ve had that consistently. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 65 at Redmond, OR. Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 13 minutes ago, High Desert Mat? said: What I’m really missing is split flow. It’s been awhile since we’ve had that consistently. Yeah, if only we had that! There is always next winter! 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 18z is a let down though. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 Hmmmm. The ECMWF ENSO forecast is a notch cooler than the one released on Jan 1. It's going for warmish / neutral by late summer. Historically that's an ENSO state that treats us well. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 6, 2022 Report Share Posted February 6, 2022 19 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is a let down though. I actually like it the believable range. Amplification is maintained and the pattern shifts westward. Good enough for now. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 57 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said: 18z is a let down though. That front on Valentine’s Day that ensembles want to promise is pretty much completely gone on this run. Dry forever 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Late February 2011 was sure top tier! My area ended up with around 18” or so of snow if I remember correctly. Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Joshua Lake Oswego Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 51 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: That front on Valentine’s Day that ensembles want to promise is pretty much completely gone on this run. Dry forever Goose egg. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TonyP Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Pretty nice sunset action over the UW T campus tonight 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post T-Town Posted February 7, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Another good one tonight. 13 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 57 minutes ago, TonyP said: Pretty nice sunset action over the UW T campus tonight Shame that such a beautiful city has gotten so unbelievably crime ridden. 3 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Blob Posted February 7, 2022 Author Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Nice drive to work this evening. Got down to 31 IMBY this morning. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
T-Town Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 55 minutes ago, TacomaWaWx said: Shame that such a beautiful city has gotten so unbelievably crime ridden. Having grown up in Tacoma in the 1970s, I can assure you things have been worse. I found this site a few years ago and the photos definitely track with my memories from that time. http://www.cysewski.com/seattleweb/tacoma/ 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Dang! I was in VR world….but their was a mighty Dust Devil making a mess of things! 2 hours ago, TonyP said: Pretty nice sunset action over the UW T campus tonight 1 hour ago, T-Town said: Another good one tonight. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Nest cam….reliving the moment…..pretty cool sunset 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWaWx Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 8 minutes ago, T-Town said: Having grown up in Tacoma in the 1970s, I can assure you things have been worse. I found this site a few years ago and the photos definitely track with my memories from that time. http://www.cysewski.com/seattleweb/tacoma/ Right now it’s probably about as bad as it’s ever been. Shootings and homicides are through the roof along with theft and other violent crimes. Honestly don’t even want to live here anymore. On Friday, my brothers car was stolen and the police are so swarmed with other carjackings, burglaries and shootings there’s not much they can do. We’ve had no luck tracking it down. Then dealing with my crazy neighbor constantly that they won’t do anything about is so frustrating. I was angry about how bad it’s getting before but this is just ridiculous. 4 Quote Tacoma WA elevation 300’ Monthly rainfall-3.56” Warm season rainfall-11.14” Max temp-88 +80 highs-2 +85 highs-2 +90 highs-0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 40F and beautiful stars in downtown Springfield. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Looks like some fun model riding coming up. I could envision a lot of cold mins even in the near term with what's being shown with a much colder overall setup by mid month. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 1 hour ago, TacomaWaWx said: Right now it’s probably about as bad as it’s ever been. Shootings and homicides are through the roof along with theft and other violent crimes. Honestly don’t even want to live here anymore. On Friday, my brothers car was stolen and the police are so swarmed with other carjackings, burglaries and shootings there’s not much they can do. We’ve had no luck tracking it down. Then dealing with my crazy neighbor constantly that they won’t do anything about is so frustrating. I was angry about how bad it’s getting before but this is just ridiculous. Probably even a better reason than the weather to move. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Winthrop had an incredible 25/9 day with sunshine today. Obviously not too late in the season for inversions over there. Even over here the models look pretty inversionary later in the week, but nothing like that of course. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 This GFS shows three or four shots of chilly continental air invading over the next two weeks with the one at the end of the run being the best. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 hours ago, TacomaWaWx said: Right now it’s probably about as bad as it’s ever been. Shootings and homicides are through the roof along with theft and other violent crimes. Honestly don’t even want to live here anymore. On Friday, my brothers car was stolen and the police are so swarmed with other carjackings, burglaries and shootings there’s not much they can do. We’ve had no luck tracking it down. Then dealing with my crazy neighbor constantly that they won’t do anything about is so frustrating. I was angry about how bad it’s getting before but this is just ridiculous. What part of the city are u in? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 5 hours ago, MossMan said: Late February 2011 was sure top tier! My area ended up with around 18” or so of snow if I remember correctly. Not to mention years like 1962 and 1971. Even 2018 was pretty respectable the last half of Feb. There are also many years that we've gotten nailed in early March. Still lots of time. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SilverFallsAndrew Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 GFS was decent in the long range. 1 Quote Snowfall Precip 2022-23: 95.0" 2022-23: 17.39" 2021-22: 52.6" 2021-22: 91.46" 2020-21: 12.0" 2020-21: 71.59" 2019-20: 23.5" 2019-20: 58.54" 2018-19: 63.5" 2018-19: 66.33" 2017-18: 30.3" 2017-18: 59.83" 2016-17: 49.2" 2016-17: 97.58" 2015-16: 11.75" 2015-16: 68.67" 2014-15: 3.5" 2013-14: 11.75" 2013-14: 62.30 2012-13: 16.75" 2012-13: 78.45 2011-12: 98.5" 2011-12: 92.67" It's always sunny at Winters Hill! Fighting the good fight against weather evil. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Looks like the GEM is on board for extreme retrograding GOA blocking for week two. 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 2 hours ago, T-Town said: http://www.cysewski.com/seattleweb/tacoma/ Great website. I've already spent a half an hour going through the photos and examining some of the Alaska photos from the 70s as well! Very awesome stuff! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Just a little better on the CMCE 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 GEFS just won't get on board. Actually looks like it went a little the other way on the 00Z run. Better to have the EPS... but it is sort of strange. The GEFS is usually pretty friendly. Matt... feeling anything yet? 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 Pleasantly surprised to see it down to 33 already tonight. I expect the average min this month will be pretty decent. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted February 7, 2022 Report Share Posted February 7, 2022 I wonder if Jim is on board? 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by BLI snowman,
6 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.