Meatyorologist Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Yellow plus blue is green, simple. Sun has a slight yellow tint even at moderate angles. Water is blue, and transparent. Voila. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Deweydog said: Petrichor! 'twas an ozone storm on the way home from work today Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Frontal Snowsquall Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 New July ECMWF seasonals. The signal for Fall(Sep/Oct/Nov) shows the PNW slightly wetter than normal. The Central part of the US is drier than normal. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 12 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: New July ECMWF seasonals. The signal for Fall(Sep/Oct/Nov) shows the PNW slightly wetter than normal. The Central part of the US is drier than normal. Actually has a western trough signal in August. Haven’t seen it depict that since 2010, either. 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 ECMWF seasonal out to January 2023. Ridge bridge! 3 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 19 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: New July ECMWF seasonals. The signal for Fall(Sep/Oct/Nov) shows the PNW slightly wetter than normal. The Central part of the US is drier than normal. Weird that it's defaulting to a western ridge signal. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, Phil said: Actually has a western trough signal in August. Haven’t seen it depict that since 2010, either. Really stretching it there... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Really stretching it there... Roughly 40/52 members have the western trough/offshore ridge. Can’t post that graphic here, though. Which btw is the favored pattern through at least the first 3 weeks of the month. Late in the month that might change. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Omegaraptor Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: Roughly 40/52 members have the western trough/offshore ridge. Which is the favored pattern through at least the first 3 weeks of the month. Late in the month that might change. Are you still thinking hot September as Niña climo often goes? Or early fall? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, Omegaraptor said: Are you still thinking hot September as Niña climo often goes? Or early fall? Yeah, unfortunately. Late August and September have potential to be gross. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: Yeah, unfortunately. Late August and September have potential to be gross. Wake me up when September ends Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: @Jginmartini Played gearhart links today. Second off the tee at 7am and it was cool and calm with a few raindrops, but just about perfect links golf weather for scoring. Shot 77 in 2.5 hours….if only every round etc etc Have not played down there….wow, that green looks fabulous! Great game! That will keep ya coming back Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 minute ago, Phil said: Yeah, unfortunately. Late August and September have potential to be gross. In a couple weeks you will be predicting cold and wet for September. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 .02 and 62* 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: In a couple weeks you will be predicting cold and wet for September. Well I certainly hope so. Would be nice if the West didn’t roast and burn for once. Will be tough to make it through that tail section of summer without another multiweek period of ridging, though. You guys lucked out with this current pattern being neutered compared to what it could have been. 2 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 7 minutes ago, Jginmartini said: Have not played down there….wow, that green looks fabulous! Great game! That will keep ya coming back It was in really great shape. Agree with @Deweydog its right up there with my favorite WA courses 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Just now, Phil said: I hope so. Would be nice if the West didn’t roast and burn for once. Will be tough to make it through that tail section of summer without another multiweek period of ridging, though. You guys lucked out with this current pattern being neutered compared to what it could have been. How have we lucked out? We are supposedly following years like 1999, 2001, 2008, 2011. etc. and none of those years had any extended heat. I think this is the way this summer is supposed to go... no luck needed with a strengthening Nina. 1 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: How have we lucked out? We are supposedly following years like 1999, 2001, 2008, 2011. etc. and none of those years had any extended heat. I think this is the way this summer is supposed to go... no luck needed with a strengthening Nina. Last June is an example of what can go wrong if the pieces come together in exactly the wrong way at the wrong time in a Niña year. Other tragic examples include 1967 and 2017. Thankfully that has been avoided thus far. 1 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Cutoff low should finally get the boot by the weekend, but it's a weatherman's woe and the goalposts keep moving. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 3 hours ago, Frontal Snowsquall said: That's insane! Here's an explanation for why the sky was green. For an explanation of the sharp contrast in colors, AccuWeather Meteorologist Isaac Longley points to the late-afternoon fuel source of the storms. "Thunderstorms tend to occur later in the day due (to) the sun's energy during the day helping to fuel them," Longley stated. "As we know, the sun appears more red later in the day as it approaches the horizon." Once light underneath tall thunderclouds is introduced, the combination of red sunlight and blue lights leads to the green colors engulfing the sky. "Light underneath a tall thundercloud appears blue due to the scattering by water droplets," Longley said. "When the blue light is illuminated by the red light from the setting sun, it appears green, which is why some thunderstorms have that greenish hue to it." https://news.yahoo.com/south-dakota-skies-green-amid-001944655.html Always heard about green skies before big storms growing up in Georgia, but never saw it with my own eyes. Word was if the sky turned green you'd better make sure that you made things right with your higher power because you were pretty much f**ked. 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 10 minutes ago, Phil said: Last June is an example of what can go wrong if the pieces come together in exactly the wrong way at the wrong time in a Niña year. Other tragic examples include 1967 and 2017. Thankfully that has been avoided thus far. 1967 and 2017 were tragic? Virtual signal much? The ONI was -0.2 in AMJ 1967 and +0.3 in 2017. It was -1.0 this year. Big difference. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 22 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: In a couple weeks you will be predicting cold and wet for September. No Indian summer? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chewbacca Defense Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 hour ago, RentonHillTC said: @Jginmartini Played gearhart links today. Second off the tee at 7am and it was cool and calm with a few raindrops, but just about perfect links golf weather for scoring. Shot 77 in 2.5 hours….if only every round etc etc 77....not too shabby. I usually average about 66-69 myself. For the back 9. I'm in the 50's on the front nine. I like to think of it as "getting my money's worth" 1 1 1 Quote Britton Rd Bellingham Weather Station: https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KWABELLI103?cm_ven=localwx_pwsdash Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 3 minutes ago, Chewbacca Defense said: 77....not too shabby. I usually average about 66-69 myself. For the back 9. I'm in the 50's on the front nine. I like to think of it as "getting my money's worth" You want your cost per swing to be as low as possible. The cost is fixed... so better take lots of swings! 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 14 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 1967 and 2017 were tragic? Virtual signal much? The ONI was -0.2 in AMJ 1967 and +0.3 in 2017. It was -1.0 this year. Big difference. You mean virtue signal? 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Dewpoint peaked at 79°F today. Stupid how easy it happens now. Today was actually a negative departure. In the early 20th century we could go 4-5 years without a number like that. Now it’s basically every week. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 58 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: Weird that it's defaulting to a western ridge signal. Winter is over Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Canadian! 8 2 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 30 minutes ago, hawkstwelve said: FSD recorded an 80 mph gust, which is no 96 mph like in Huron or 99 in Howard, SD but still fairly decent. A few fences are down, some flower potters destroyed, garbage cans blown over, etc. A good whack but nothing too crazy, at least IMBY. South Dakota is great, if not for anything but the weather alone. Not only is it so cool to experience legit severe weather but it's sunny and warm almost every day in the summer. (Warning: Preference incoming....) That is really nice and refreshing to not have gray and rain, especially after hearing how this spring has been over there. Just not our cup of tea. Although the constant heat and humidity is whole other thing. As for the other stuff here, I'll just say we definitely agree more with how things are done here vs WA but it's still not without it's flaws. Don't believe everything the Governor sells ya. I'm glad you're enjoying where you live. I think everyone deserves to live in a region where they want. 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 00z GFS has a stellar thunderstorm pattern in the LR 4 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 8 minutes ago, Phil said: Canadian! BC! BC! Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 31 minutes ago, Phil said: Canadian! 00Z GEFS at day 10... 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Seems like we’re in a pretty good spot for on and off showers tonight they just keep moving in. Up to 0.05” and 0.11” for July. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 7 hours ago, Phil said: Another Wow! Sounds like this winter could be a dandy here. I don't think anyone expected the atmosphere to remain profoundly La Nina this summer, and now this! 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 Really liking the looks of the GFS for week two. Nice pattern for below normal temps with limited precip. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Really liking the looks of the GFS for week two. Nice pattern for below normal temps with limited precip. Buyer beware... the GEFS looks completely different for that period. 1 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 For the record....I'm on board with troughs that dig down the BC coast or dig in from the interior of Canada. The ones I hate in the spring / summer is when they dig far enough offshore to give us days of nasty gloom. 1 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 4 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: Buyer beware... the GEFS looks completely different for that period. Yeah...I see it has the trough axis further west. The 12z EPS liked the trough more east like the 0z GFS with -PNA returning. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 1 hour ago, hawkstwelve said: FSD recorded an 80 mph gust, which is no 96 mph like in Huron or 99 in Howard, SD but still fairly decent. A few fences are down, some flower potters destroyed, garbage cans blown over, etc. A good whack but nothing too crazy, at least IMBY. South Dakota is great, if not for anything but the weather alone. Not only is it so cool to experience legit severe weather but it's sunny and warm almost every day in the summer. (Warning: Preference incoming....) That is really nice and refreshing to not have gray and rain, especially after hearing how this spring has been over there. Just not our cup of tea. Although the constant heat and humidity is whole other thing. As for the other stuff here, I'll just say we definitely agree more with how things are done here vs WA but it's still not without it's flaws. Don't believe everything the Governor sells ya. It's more what I have heard about your governor. Glad you like it there. Truth be known I can live without too much of the severe stuff, but cold and snow is another matter. Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 6, 2022 Report Share Posted July 6, 2022 18 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Yeah...I see it has the trough axis further west. The 12z EPS liked the trough more east like the 0z GFS with -PNA returning. ECMWF looks nice too. Interesting how similar all the operational runs are given the long lead time. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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