Timmy Supercell Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: We’re -0.2 for July as of right today but that’s quickly gonna go up. Has been a pretty pleasant month so far with a max temp of 84 on 7/11 and 7/20 too bad it couldn’t last. I could end this month around 4-5" rain, and still manage to be one of the warmest months of the year. 2 1 Quote Ashland, KY Weather '23-'24 Winter Snowfall - 5.50" First freeze: 11/1 (32) Minimum: 2 on 1/17 Measurable snows: 4 Max 1 day snow: 3" (1/19) Thunders: 16 1/27, 1/28, 2/10, 2/22, 2/27, 2/28, 3/5, 3/6, 3/14, 3/15 3/26, 3/30, 3/31, 4/2, 4/3, 4/8, Severe storms: 2 ------------------------------------------------------- [Klamath Falls, OR 2010 to 2021] https://imgur.com/SuGTijl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Just now, Timmy Supercell said: I could end this month around 4-5" rain, and still manage to be one of the warmest months of the year. Here I am hoping for 0.10” in the first week of august lol. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Nocturnal HCS! 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MossMan Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 19 minutes ago, TacomaWx said: Sending prayers. Lol in all seriousness hope you have a good few days of jet skis man. Thanks! I’m hoping to take a day off later in the week for a full day of lake fun!! 1 1 Quote Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 24 minutes ago, MossMan said: High cloud shocker ruined jetski Sunday. So glad it wait until evening to move through down here. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: GFS showed 84 at SEA today. Actual high was 84. ECMWF showed 76. The GFS is absurd. GFS missed by 9 degrees yesterday. ATROCIOUS Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 50 minutes ago, MossMan said: High cloud shocker ruined jetski Sunday. Prayers. Deep prayers. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 hour ago, TT-SEA said: GFS showed 84 at SEA today. Actual high was 84. ECMWF showed 76. The GFS is absurd. No marine layer? Imagine that! 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 35 minutes ago, Phil said: GFS missed by 9 degrees yesterday. ATROCIOUS And ECMWF by 8 today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
smerfylicious Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Ended today at 87 for a high. Only 5 degrees warmer than forecast. Pretty sure I'll be hitting 6 straight 90+ days then. Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 8 hours ago, snow_wizard said: It could get REALLY hot on the east side with this pattern. The ECMWF was showing 118+ east of the cascades a few runs ago I think. Gladly it's backed off but I think it was still showing ~114 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 52 and drizzle in Newport. 2 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Gorgeous sunset... everything is red tinted right now. 3 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Requiem Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 12 minutes ago, Doiinko said: The ECMWF was showing 118+ east of the cascades a few runs ago I think. Gladly it's backed off but I think it was still showing ~114 showing pretty widespread 110-115 temps in the Columbia Basin atp 2 Quote "Let's mosey!" --Cloud Strife ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------ Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014): (1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019. Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 One thing we`ve been monitoring carefully is the potential for mid-week convection, the likelihood of which is incredibly tough to pin down due to disagreement among members of the grand ensemble. Several members in each ensemble are now depicting QPF across some part of our CWA during the mid to late week timeframe, though there is very little temporal alignment. The deterministic GFS and Canadian ensembles bring the most clear shortwave feature - a northward moving band of enhanced cyclonic vorticity passing across NW Oregon during the Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning period. Ironically, the EPS, which does not highlight such a distinct feature and whose ensemble fails to support sufficient instability for convective activity, does forecast lightning strikes in the Cascades Wednesday evening. The Canadian`s instability forecast is the most impressive, as the mean of its ensemble has 342 J/kg of CAPE in Eugene Wednesday afternoon, while the maximum in the EPS ensemble suggests 189 J/kg (its mean is 8 J/kg). This feature will bear watching, as the NAM suggests flow along and ahead of this feature, which will potentially induce a tropospheric fold, will turn south-southeasterly; this means that any thunderstorms which do manage to develop in the Cascades would move across our CWA rather than out of it. For now, we'll continue to monitor the threat and will message updates to our thinking accordingly. More clarity sould come when we get close enough to the event temporally to utilize the CAMs, which will theoretically help pin down the timing and strength of any mesoscale mechanisms to generate convection. -NWS Portland AFD. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Peaked at 73F today. Nice sunset. Tomorrow is projected to be 80F here. 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cloud Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Seattle NOAA warns of some smoke coming from British Columbia. They also don't see any quick marine air push into the southern part of the Puget Sound. They seem to think it will be a gradual cool down with no big drop or relief day. 1 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 First annual Weather Forum BBQ at my crib Saturday August 13th if y'all wanna slide through 1 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Just now, NWbyNW said: Seattle NOAA warns of some smoke coming from British Columbia. They also don't see any quick marine air push into the southern part of the Puget Sound. They seem to think it will be a gradual cool down with no big drop or relief day. 00Z GFS shows 86 and 84 at SEA next Saturday and Sunday... pretty sad I am going to miss another spectacular Seattle summer weekend. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z GFS shows 86 and 84 at SEA next Saturday and Sunday... pretty sad I am going to miss another spectacular Seattle summer weekend. Basically the same weather in MN, right? I forget did you grow up there it was it San Diego? Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Boardwalk was busy and for good reason! 70* 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, Phil said: Basically the same weather in MN, right? I forget did you grow up there it was it San Diego? Grew up in MN. But there is something very special about this area when we hit our summer stride. I hate to leave. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowWillarrive Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 10 minutes ago, TT-SEA said: 00Z GFS shows 86 and 84 at SEA next Saturday and Sunday... pretty sad I am going to miss another spectacular Seattle summer weekend. Sounds terrible 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 4 minutes ago, SnowWillarrive said: Sounds terrible Not a fan of 90s this week... would prefer it just stay like today. Next weekend might be repeat of today. Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 00z GFS is delaying the cool down now. Caving to the Euro? Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blizzard777 Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 31 minutes ago, Doiinko said: One thing we`ve been monitoring carefully is the potential for mid-week convection, the likelihood of which is incredibly tough to pin down due to disagreement among members of the grand ensemble. Several members in each ensemble are now depicting QPF across some part of our CWA during the mid to late week timeframe, though there is very little temporal alignment. The deterministic GFS and Canadian ensembles bring the most clear shortwave feature - a northward moving band of enhanced cyclonic vorticity passing across NW Oregon during the Wednesday afternoon through Thursday morning period. Ironically, the EPS, which does not highlight such a distinct feature and whose ensemble fails to support sufficient instability for convective activity, does forecast lightning strikes in the Cascades Wednesday evening. The Canadian`s instability forecast is the most impressive, as the mean of its ensemble has 342 J/kg of CAPE in Eugene Wednesday afternoon, while the maximum in the EPS ensemble suggests 189 J/kg (its mean is 8 J/kg). This feature will bear watching, as the NAM suggests flow along and ahead of this feature, which will potentially induce a tropospheric fold, will turn south-southeasterly; this means that any thunderstorms which do manage to develop in the Cascades would move across our CWA rather than out of it. For now, we'll continue to monitor the threat and will message updates to our thinking accordingly. More clarity sould come when we get close enough to the event temporally to utilize the CAMs, which will theoretically help pin down the timing and strength of any mesoscale mechanisms to generate convection. -NWS Portland AFD. Lol….all the convective activity will happen up here as I go south! Just wrong Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Cascadia_Wx said: 00z GFS is delaying the cool down now. Caving to the Euro? A small part of me is hoping for us to beat the 95+ consecutive days record just so that we have something to note looking back on this heatwave, but I'd also rather it end faster for people without AC. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 3 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said: 00z GFS is delaying the cool down now. Caving to the Euro? Canadian looks better! 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Can confirm the sunset was good. 9 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GobBluth Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Portland nws hedging the Tuesday temps depending on California wildfire smoke. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 15 minutes ago, Doiinko said: A small part of me is hoping for us to beat the 95+ consecutive days record just so that we have something to note looking back on this heatwave, but I'd also rather it end faster for people without AC. Lots and lots and lots of notable heatwave stuff to look back on in the last several years alone. Having a heatwave that did not set some sort of new benchmark would be more notable if anything. 2 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cascadia_Wx Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Plus most models that extend the heatwave don’t do it with 95+ days. Low 90s stuff over the weekend into Monday. 1 Quote Summer grows while Winter goes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doinko Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 minute ago, Jginmartini said: Lol….all the convective activity will happen up here as I go south! Just wrong I'm going to be back to the PNW on Friday so I'll miss any convection that happens on Wednesday 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Another great GFS run. My heart goes out to people in the Midwest and the NE if this solution verifies though. Downright ugly back there for week 2. 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: Another great GFS run. My heart goes out to people in the Midwest and the NE if this solution verifies though. Downright ugly back there for week 2. How bad? Can you post it pls? Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TT-SEA Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Another great GFS run. My heart goes out to people in the Midwest and the NE if this solution verifies though. Downright ugly back there for week 2. You just gloss over a very hot week in the PNW but you are worried about the Midwest at 300 hours out on the GFS. 1 Quote **REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Another great GFS run. My heart goes out to people in the Midwest and the NE if this solution verifies though. Downright ugly back there for week 2. I’ll be in FL/GA where that pattern would produce easterly flow and (relatively) cooler temps. So..let it rip! Until I get back home, of course. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Deweydog Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 I just told everyone about the east coast heatwave. 1 1 1 1 Quote My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phil Posted July 25, 2022 Report Share Posted July 25, 2022 1 minute ago, TT-SEA said: You just gloss over a very hot week in the PNW but you are worried about the Midwest at 300 hours out on the GFS. Would be a godsend if the long overdue mega heatwave happened while I’m out of town. I’m basically rooting for it at this point. 1 Quote Live Weather Cam: https://www.youtube.com/live/KxlIo8-KVpc?si=xKLCFYWbZieAfyh6 PWS Wunderground https://www.wunderground.com/dashboard/pws/KMDBETHE62 PWS CWOP/NOAA: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=F3819&hours=72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Posted by MWG,
17 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by DareDuck,
18 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by Guest administrator,
0 reactions
Go to this post
Posted by Meatyorologist,
Recommended by Meatyorologist0 reactions
Go to this post
Join the conversation
You can post now and register later. If you have an account, sign in now to post with your account.