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On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)


More original name title?  

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2 hours ago, NWbyNW said:

It has actually gotten warmer?  Lol.  We peaked really fast at 83F, dropped to 75F, and now sit at 77F. There is an ocean breeze today and it really cools it down outside.  It doesn't feel that hot. 

Nice here too.  Slightly cooler then Everett though. 😜

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Currently 83F. Dog days indeed.

Springfield, Oregon cold season 21-22 Stats:

  • Coldest high: 35F (Dec 27, 2021)
  • Coldest low: 17F (Feb 23, 2022)
  • Days with below freezing temps: 36 (Most recent: Apr 17, 2022)
  • Days with sub-40F highs: 5 (Most recent: Jan 17, 2022)
  • Total snowfall: 10.0"
  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31F) *Longest streak without a sub-freezing high on record*
  • Last White Christmas: 1990
  • Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0

Personal Stats:

  • Last accumulating snowfall: December 28, 2021
  • Last sub-freezing high: Jan 14, 2017 (31)
  • Last White Christmas: 2008
  • Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 30.7"

 

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Remember that rainy season?    It doesn't have to rain a drop until October and SEA would still end up way above normal for rainfall for the water year.    SEA also went 2 months this spring with almost every day being colder than normal.  

Screenshot_20220727-210430_Chrome.jpg

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GFS shows 97 on Sunday in Seattle... and then 68 on Monday.    Quite the crash.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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3 hours ago, Deweydog said:

Ground is too warm for snow to stick. 

Okay Cliff Mass…

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Didn’t realize this til just a bit ago but the last 2 days have been our first +90 high temps in July since 2015. We’ve had quite a few mid to upper 80s in those years prior but has been awhile since we’ve gotten into the 90s in July. Has all been June and august in recent years. 

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22-23 cold season stats

Coldest max-65

Coldest min-48

Monthly rainfall-0.04”

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Just now, AlTahoe said:

My balcony room at the Cosmo in Vegas is going off right now. so much lightning! 

SmartSelect_20220727-211306_Gallery.jpg

SmartSelect_20220727-211317_Gallery.jpg

SmartSelect_20220727-211331_Gallery.jpg

Great pics!

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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4 hours ago, DJ Droppin said:
7/27/22 4:30 PM ⛄️❄️Winter Countdown 🌬🌨
Who's ready? Who can picture snowflakes falling peacefully to the earth? That first cup of hot chocolate? Who can envision a gradient update? Who can almost hear the howling east winds? Tracking arctic air? YEAH! C'MON!!!!
image.png

Welcome back Rob! Can't wait for your play by play!! Think COLD and SNOW!!! 🥶

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I was just looking at some of the Special weather statements and AFDs from December 2008, and it seems like the big storm was kind of messy. Reports of 16" of snow near the West Hills/Beaverton/Tualatin with 0.5" of ice, just with that one storm. And another 3.5-4" with the Arctic front on the 14th in the west metro and a bit with the event around Christmas.

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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6 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

I was just looking at some of the Special weather statements and AFDs from December 2008, and it seems like the big storm was kind of messy. Reports of 16" of snow near the West Hills/Beaverton/Tualatin with 0.5" of ice, just with that one storm. And another 3.5-4" with the Arctic front on the 14th in the west metro and a bit with the event around Christmas.

SNOWFALL REPORTS THIS MONTH HAVE VARIED WIDELY ACROSS LOWER ELEVATIONS THE PORTLAND METRO AREA... RANGING FROM AS LOW AS 12-15 INCHES DOWNTOWN TO AS MUCH AS 25 INCHES IN OUTLYING AREAS... PARTICULARLY ON THE SOUTH AND WEST SIDE OF TOWN.

 

The SW metro did good at least! Camas apparently also had 22" with the big storm.

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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  • Longtimer

86/63 on the day. 
Currently 65. 

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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14 minutes ago, AlTahoe said:

My balcony room at the Cosmo in Vegas is going off right now. so much lightning! 

 

Awesome photos!  I've never seen cooler lightning then when I've been in Vegas!  Up high in those hotel rooms and looking out, seeing the lightning, it's so cool! 

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27 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Remember that rainy season?    It doesn't have to rain a drop until October and SEA would still end up way above normal for rainfall for the water year.    SEA also went 2 months this spring with almost every day being colder than normal.  

Screenshot_20220727-210430_Chrome.jpg

I would be ecstatic if it poured one day a week until rainy season.  

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I was too warm today for PDX and too cold yesterday. Let's see how warm Thursday/Friday/Saturday get now

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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16 minutes ago, BLI snowman said:

Weak sauce.

Definitely not much of a heatwave up here. ☹️

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Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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27 minutes ago, Doiinko said:

I was too warm today for PDX and too cold yesterday. Let's see how warm Thursday/Friday/Saturday get now

KPTV and KGW both going with 101 tomorrow. I'm surprised KPTV is going 101 again but Mark is on vacation so it's Jeff's forecast though. He went 101 today but it was 5 degrees too warm.

7DayForecast-8.jpg.f4d2fc91e66e419507b99b7ce20f5ab7.jpg7day-1.jpg.dafd102206ba0610ad7ce43553f204c6.jpg

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2 minutes ago, Frontal Snowsquall said:

KPTV and KGW both going with 101 tomorrow. I'm surprised KPTV is going 101 again but Mark is on vacation so it's Jeff's forecast though. He went 101 today but it was 5 degrees too warm.

7DayForecast-8.jpg.f4d2fc91e66e419507b99b7ce20f5ab7.jpg7day-1.jpg.dafd102206ba0610ad7ce43553f204c6.jpg

Yeah I'd guess 101 is a bit warm for tomorrow but Sat/Sun look a bit low on KGWs, based on current models

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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  • Longtimer

FWIW, the WRF definitely backed off on the 00z with expanding the thermal trough. Much more in line with the 500mb progression. Should keep things right around the centurion mark.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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Well... I have to admit I downplayed this heatwave more than I should have.  Fron an intensity standpoint it's nothing extraordinary, but the duration is up there with the greats.  I guess I was taking some solace in the fact we had nice cool weather just before it and we will have a big crash coming out of it.  That doesn't take anything away from one hell of uncomfortable week we are enduring.

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Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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1 hour ago, TacomaWx said:

Down to 73 in Shelton 79 here. The cooler air should probably work in around midnight roughly the same time as last night. 

Some places have really escaped this.  Shelton is getting nice relief in the evenings and places downwind of the Strait are getting off super easy.  Kind of a rare onshore flow heatwave.

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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image.thumb.png.b21a0c4069f8338faa0d70606c603e70.png

image.thumb.png.562292586472a63aae83222e62404c0a.png

  • Sun 1

Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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8 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Well... I have to admit I downplayed this heatwave more than I should have.  Fron an intensity standpoint it's nothing extraordinary, but the duration is up there with the greats.  I guess I was taking some solace in the fact we had nice cool weather just before it and we will have a big crash coming out of it.  That doesn't take anything away from one hell of uncomfortable week we are enduring.

Idk about that buddy, I've been pretty comfortable this week. If you need a cool-down you're invited! Also if you need a recommendation for AC/heat pump install let me know! 

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Should be able to at least tie the record number of 95+ days in a row as Friday and Saturday seem like ~100 (or perhaps slightly more). Curious as to why those have uptrended over the last couple days 

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"Let's mosey!"

 

--Cloud Strife

 

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

 

Top 5 Snow Events (post 2014):

 

(1. January 10th, 2017: 18.5 in.

(2. February 6th, 2014: 7.5 inches

(3. February 20th, 2018: 5.0 inches

(4. February 21st, 2018: 4.0 inches

(5. December 14th, 2016: 3.5 inches

 

Honourable Mentions: December 7th, 2018, February 9th, 2019.

 

Total since joining the Weather Forums: 3"

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1 hour ago, Doiinko said:

I was just looking at some of the Special weather statements and AFDs from December 2008, and it seems like the big storm was kind of messy. Reports of 16" of snow near the West Hills/Beaverton/Tualatin with 0.5" of ice, just with that one storm. And another 3.5-4" with the Arctic front on the 14th in the west metro and a bit with the event around Christmas.

https://www.wrh.noaa.gov/pqr/stormreports/winter2008.php - Link to the snow totals

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Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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27 minutes ago, seattleweatherguy said:

Your at 65 already wow.

61 now. Brrrr

Elevation 580’ Location a few miles east of I-5 on the Snohomish Co side of the Snohomish/Skagit border. I love snow/cold AND sun/warmth! 

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Only 80F today for a high and 62F currently which is my low.

Home Wx Station Stats (Since January 2008):

Max Temp: 96.3F (2009)   Min Temp: 2.0F (2008)   Max Wind Gust: 45 mph (2018, 2021)   Wettest Day: 2.24 (2010)   Avg Yearly Precip: 37"   10yr Avg Snow: 5.8"

Snowfall Totals

'08-09: 30" | '09-10: 0.5" | '10-11: 21" | '11-12: 9.5" | '12-13: 0.2" | '13-14: 6.2" | '14-15: 0.0" | '15-16: 0.25"| '16-17: 8.0" | '17-18: 0.9"| '18-19: 11.5" | '19-20: 11" | '20-21: 10.5"

2021-22: 21.75" (12/24: Tr, 12/25: 5", 12/26: 3", 12/27: 1.5", 12/28: Tr, 12/29: 1", 12/30: 3", 1/5: 2.5", 1/6: 1", 2/2: Tr, 2/21: 1.5", 2/22: 0.75", 2/23: 1.5", 2/24: 1")

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22 minutes ago, Cascadia_Wx said:

There are few things worse than being in the middle of a lengthy spell of hot weather like this and still having no clear idea of when it will end.

Burning alive inside a Prius MIGHT be one. A friend of ours witnessed that today over on MacArthur. Sounds like it was drunk driver related as opposed to heatwave related though.

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My preferences can beat up your preferences’ dad.

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In the midst of an uncomfortable and dangerous and lengthy hot spell, I can assure you "I hope it doesn't drizzle soon" isn't a normal thought.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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35th Street, the street I live on, is lined with Ash Trees. They are so beautiful in the Summer when they grow densely green, and during the fall when they develop irregular stochastic color patterns.

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Weather stats for MBY

Snowfall:

-Total snowfall since joining: 45.25"

-2018-19: 21"

-2019-20: 2.5"

-2020-21: 13"

-2021-22: 8.75"

-Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; February 24th, 2022

-Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021

-Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019

Temperatures:

-Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021

-Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021

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Next week is looking excellent.  Good model trends on that tonight.  Even the EPS has sustained 6000+ height developing offshore now.  Unheard of.  The only instances of 6000 heights I can remember are very fleeting.

BTW...I think Monday is going to go more toward the GFS than the ECMWF.

  • Sick 1

Death To Warm Anomalies!

 

Winter 2022-23 stats

 

Total Snowfall = 0.0"

Day with 1" or more snow depth = 0

Total Hail = 0.0

Coldest Low = 42

Lows 32 or below = 0

Highs 32 or below = 0

Lows 20 or below = 0

Highs 40 or below = 0

 

 

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3 hours ago, Randyc321 said:

I would be ecstatic if it poured one day a week until rainy season.  

Me too.   That would be perfect.

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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1 hour ago, Meatyorologist said:

In the midst of an uncomfortable and dangerous and lengthy hot spell, I can assure you "I hope it doesn't drizzle soon" isn't a normal thought.

That back and forth with Jared wasn't serious.  I would probably pay money to throw in a drizzly cool day right now.  I don't like uncomfortable heat either.   

If I had my way... it would be 78 and sunny most every day in the summer.

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49 minutes ago, snow_wizard said:

Next week is looking excellent.  Good model trends on that tonight.  Even the EPS has sustained 6000+ height developing offshore now.  Unheard of.  The only instances of 6000 heights I can remember are very fleeting.

BTW...I think Monday is going to go more toward the GFS than the ECMWF.

FWIW... the 00Z EPS and control run also delayed longer like the the ECMWF.   

Both also show it turning warm again in the long range. 

**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Wow... SEA dropped to 70 at midnight and went back up to 74 at 1 a.m. 

The wind switched to NNE in the last hour.

 

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**REPORTED CONDITIONS AND ANOMALIES ARE NOT MEANT TO IMPLY ANYTHING ON A REGIONAL LEVEL UNLESS SPECIFICALLY STATED**

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Seems like we could be riding the 90s train into Sunday and would make it 6 straight days. Quite an extraordinary event in terms of duration if this plays out. 
 

Gotta appreciate the rarity of this at the very least. 

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Just now, Frontal Snowsquall said:

Good agreement between the 00z GEFS, GEPS and EPS on the longer range pattern at days 11-15. A Bering Sea ridge and also a Plains/Midwest ridge. This should give us more seasonal weather through the first half of August.

gfs-ens_z500aMean_namer_11.thumb.png.01c53579efe32fefe59e30cd48afb193.png

gem-ens_z500aMean_namer_11.thumb.png.7b86bda52d87c86daa3b7a4ac3545d81.png

eps_z500aMean_namer_11.thumb.png.42aa4d7c27fece8ec89194b1c7c4c1c3.png

 

That's good to hear, maybe we can finally manage a below average one if we are lucky!

  • Like 1

Location: Bethany, OR at about 250'

Snowfall:

     2021/2022: 6"

     2020/2021: 4.5"

     2019/2020: 1"

     2018/2019: 3.7"

     2017/2018: 5.5"

     2016/2017: 18"

     2015/2016: 1"

     2014/2015: 0"

     2013/2014: 9"

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