On the 7th month of... July PNW 2022 (Preferance Wars)

[Meatyorologist]

00z GFS sharpened Monday's cooldown and sped up timing. Kept Tuesday pretty cool too.

In general, short term improvements beget long term improvements. Much better to improve the realistic range and lose some pretty colors out in fantasyland then to have twelve sub 546dm thickness troughs around hour 300 and stay in the 90s until next Thursday.

[Cascadia_Wx]

2 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said:

00z GFS sharpened Monday's cooldown and sped up timing. Kept Tuesday pretty cool too.

In general, short term improvements beget long term improvements. Much better to improve the realistic range and lose some pretty colors out in fantasyland then to have twelve sub 546dm thickness troughs around hour 300 and stay in the 90s until next Thursday.

I will agree with you there. 

[TacomaWx]

Down to a much more comfortable 77. Doesn’t feel too bad with the box fans in the windows cooling off the apartment. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

73 with a DP of 66. YUCK

[Cloud]

13 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Down to a much more comfortable 77. Doesn’t feel too bad with the box fans in the windows cooling off the apartment. 

Gotta agree with you here. Given that it hit 94 at SEA today it’s cooled down to about the same as last night’s at this time. Couple nights ago it was still in the 80s.

i think tomorrow night will be back a bad one. 

[TacomaWx]

3 minutes ago, Cloud said:

Gotta agree with you here. Given that it hit 94 at SEA today it’s cooled down to about the same as last night’s at this time. Couple nights ago it was still in the 80s.

i think tomorrow night will be back a bad one. 

Yeah I’ve lucked out being closer to the chehalis gap. Little more marine influence overnight has cooled us off a bit better. Think we’re gonna get some 65+ degree lows probably before the heatwaves over. 

[ShawniganLake]

2 hours ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Do you get any sea breeze influence there? YYJ has had a persistent SE sea breeze these past couple days and you'd never guess there was a heatwave happening just looking at the statistics. It's been considerably warmer here in town, hitting 92F earlier, was up to 86F today but muggy. This is the first time I've recorded a 70F dewpoint and seems to constantly be in the 63~67F range. 

Go a about 5 miles south to the Juan de Fuca and the temperature drops to 55F, a 34F drop in temperature over a distance that's walkable. It's quite the inversion:

 

Was a warm one here in Shawnigan again. 91F.  Just the odd gust of wind from the ESE kept things out of the mid 90s

[SnowWillarrive]

28 minutes ago, TacomaWx said:

Down to a much more comfortable 77. Doesn’t feel too bad with the box fans in the windows cooling off the apartment. 

75 here. Perhaps my imagination feels cooler tonight. 

[SouthHillFrosty]

1 hour ago, FroYoBro said:

 

Yes, she will be at the WF forum meetup 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

1 minute ago, SouthHillFrosty said:

Yes, she will be at the WF forum meetup 

I'm still not sure if I'll make it. I really want to, and I feel as if I have a bit of an obligation to this hallowed forum. On the other hand I am a notorious hermit. So we shall see...

 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Looks like 28.2C at 850mb over SLE this afternoon.

[Deweydog]

7 minutes ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like 28.2C at 850mb over SLE this afternoon.

Pretty incredible to not hit 100 with full sun in late July while working with that kind of warmth.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

39 minutes ago, ShawniganLake said:

Was a warm one here in Shawnigan again. 91F.  Just the odd gust of wind from the ESE kept things out of the mid 90s

It sure put a damper on the YYJ temperatures (yesterday was 78F/58F at the airport), the northern peninsula is very susceptible to cooling when the SE sea breeze kicks in. 

[Skagit Weather]

3 hours ago, VancouverIslandSouth said:

Do you get any sea breeze influence there? YYJ has had a persistent SE sea breeze these past couple days and you'd never guess there was a heatwave happening just looking at the statistics. It's been considerably warmer here in town, hitting 92F earlier, was up to 86F today but muggy. This is the first time I've recorded a 70F dewpoint and seems to constantly be in the 63~67F range. 

Go a about 5 miles south to the Juan de Fuca and the temperature drops to 55F, a 34F drop in temperature over a distance that's walkable. It's quite the inversion:

 

Definitely a pretty consistent sea breeze here about a mile from the water and I wouldn't be surprised if that's true at his location as well even if he's more inland. Right now it looks like I-5 (and a little bit east for Randy) is the dividing line between low 60s and upper 60s. Meanwhile the San Juans are amazingly cool right now. Despite highs in the low to mid 80s most of the stations out there appear to be in the mid 50s currently.

I ended up hitting 82F today which was just a touch warmer than yesterday.

[VancouverIslandSouth]

2 hours ago, BLI snowman said:

Took the ferry over today from Port Angeles and you definitely noticed it. Never exactly warm over the Strait but a really noticeable difference as soon as we pulled into the harbour. 

It's quite a different story by the Strait of Georgia, where the water is now over 70F in places. YVR gets its winds from the NW directly down the Strait of Georgia and hit 81F today under a moderate sea breeze. The dewpoints up there have been bouncing between 67~71F.

[The Blob]

It feels like the south outside, 84 with 66% humidity

[TT-SEA]

A week from today looks wet and cool on the 00Z ECMWF. 

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Ugh 

[Deweydog]

 

[TT-SEA]

That trough sure exits stage right quickly on the 00Z ECMWF... already sunny again by Friday and warm again by Saturday with some 90s showing up around Portland that day.

[Doinko]

1 hour ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

Looks like 28.2C at 850mb over SLE this afternoon.

That easily beats the July record and before June 2021 the previous all time record was only 0.1 higher than that.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

PDX on pace for 4th warmest month ever.

[SilverFallsAndrew]

Pdx Will shatter record for warmest average monthly minimum. Which was previously July 2014.

[TT-SEA]

1 minute ago, SilverFallsAndrew said:

PDX on pace for 4th warmest month ever.

#ninasummers

[TT-SEA]

00Z ECMWF shows PDX near 100 again by day 10.    That would suck.

[NWbyNW]

Lovely night.  62F degrees.  Yesterday we hit 78F as a high.  

[The Blob]

It's only 80 outside at 2am.....

[TigerWoodsLibido]

Still 70F in the upper Willamette Valley at 2AM. Jeez.

[Cloud]

2am. 

73 at SEA

70 at BFI 

brutal. Daytime heating on Friday will be disgusting. 

[The Blob]

Just got home from work and feel so gross with this humidity 

[TT-SEA]

Pretty clear signal on the EPS that it's going to get warm again...

[TT-SEA]

06Z GFS delayed the trough a little more with Wednesday being the bottom now... basically the same as the EPS.   And it also shows another warm spell afterwards.

[TT-SEA]

There is no way to prove anything either way... but this is so completely different than our analog years with similar ENSO situations (e.g. 1999, 2001, 2008, 2011) that I am wondering what role Tonga and the excess stratospheric water vapor is playing now.     Not just here but with all the extreme hot weather across the northern hemisphere.     I am sure it will be dismissed and maybe there is no connection at all... but its still in the back of my mind.   This 2015-type weather here defies logic given the current ENSO state.

[RentonHill]

39 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty clear signal on the EPS that it's going to get warm again...

PHILLLLLLL!!!!

[RentonHill]

44 minutes ago, TT-SEA said:

Pretty clear signal on the EPS that it's going to get warm again...

We can hope that the very warm members are wrong though. There is a majority of members who aren’t too bad. But yes the trend is not our friend.

[Rubus Leucodermis]

9 hours ago, MossMan said:

Yeah it drops quickly here in the evenings. I do love my location! 

There is advantage to living close to friends and activities (not to mention the office), but in my case it also means living in the urban heat island, which frankly sucks, particularly during hot spells. Low of 11˚C in Sooke this morning. Really makes moving out there tempting right now.

[Omegaraptor]

109 at Ellensburg and 111 at Medford stand out from yesterday.
 

Redding got to 115 yesterday as well. Interestingly Red Bluff just a couple dozen miles to the south only got to 104. There was a southerly wind at both places. Weird.

[Phishy Wx]

whats shakin?

[Rubus Leucodermis]

Just now, Phishy Wx said:

whats shakin?

[MossMan]

Don’t think we will reach that today. 
Anyway, had a low of 57.