Omegaraptor Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Holy shitt I just went on a walk and it actually feels like fall. 2 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 7 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Looks like finally got to 0.10" neat. 1 Quote Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 8 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 9'er - I'll bet $3.29 that the ensembles have no ridge. #NoRidgeNovember 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 10 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Anti Marine Layer Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 Cutoff low off the California coast again 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 31 minutes ago, TigerWoodsLibido said: 57F here, which is the coldest we have gotten. Low temp about +6F higher than the normal average for the date. Looks like we will be about a +10F on the day. Not sure what the big deal is about this pattern change temperature wise. Seems like warmer than normal standard fall weather. Not all of us live in Eugene… chilly up here by late October standards today. 1 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 17 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 9'er - I'll bet $3.29 that the ensembles have no ridge. #NoRidgeNovember The 00z was out with the 18z pounding a bottle of Wild . 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Really liking the 0z GFS. Just a colder look overall. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 2 hours ago, MV_snow said: Pretty crazy when a day in the upper 40s feels like an arctic blast. I was shivering on my walk today. 5 days ago, it d*mn near hit 90 here. I've always thought the first few days of the season with afternoon temps in the 40s feel noticeably cold. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 I was hoping for a wetter solution, but oh well. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 21 minutes ago, Mr Marine Layer said: Cutoff low off the California coast again He's back... 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MWG Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Finally rain! 1 2 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: I was hoping for a wetter solution, but oh well. This run has some breaks that are favorable for colder mins. A nice balance. 2 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 27 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 10 Stupid cutoff 3 3 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Just now, snow_wizard said: This run has some breaks that are favorable for colder mins. A nice balance. Colder minimums are nice. I'm just venting. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 We actually get a brief period with cold offshore flow on this run. 3 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 3 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: Stupid cutoff That cutoff actually isn't in a spot where it's going to hurt us. 3 1 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sonny Summers Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: That cutoff actually isn't in a spot where it's going to hurt us. No, I'm always concerned about a cutoff low solution, because it can lead to a bad outcome. I hope it stops here. Let's see what the EURO does. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ShawniganLake Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 25 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: I was hoping for a wetter solution, but oh well. After it having not rained for 3 months 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 27 minutes ago, Sonny Summers said: Stupid cutoff Wow! The worst post on this site! Incredible agony. 1 3 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
kokaneekidz Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 3 hours ago, snow_wizard said: Some of those are pretty shocking actually. Skykomish is only about 1000 feet I think. Maybe 1500. Skykomish seems to be blessed with the ability to pull in dry cold air with slight easterly components that allow for much lower local snow level than other areas with similar elevation. But once you get past money creek tunnel it abates quickly. Weird micro climate...... I believe it is just over 1k btw 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 The weekend is really looking crisp. Cool, NW wind, puffy cloud day tomorrow and then lows in the 30s for many places tomorrow night. I ended up with almost a half inch of rain here today. This was a nice opening shot for the big change. 2 1 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 7+ GEFS continues to be far troughier than the Op 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 7+ GEFS continues to be far troughier than the Op Yeah....but even on the GFS the ridge is brief. Looks like a pretty nice run of chilly troughs coming up. A series of 4 or 5 over the next 10 days. 2 Quote Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 GFS is like totes in the zone, yo 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dave Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 My house is losing the battle. Down to 66 degrees. I might have to turn on the heat for the first time since June. Sprinklers are off. Fall is finally here. 4 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 1 hour ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS 10 Day Rainfall, Snowfall totals I'm in the borderline snow zone in this map. Don't think it's going to happen but still fun to think about. 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Some nice brightbanding below 4k feet. Means melting of snowflakes 3 1 Quote Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TacomaWx Posted October 22, 2022 Author Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Thought the rain was over a couple hours ago but radar keeps backfilling from the NW. up to 0.33”. 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Popular Post Cold Snap Posted October 22, 2022 Popular Post Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Hello everyone! I’m new on here I’ve been lurking since last December but finally decided to make an account and join in on the action! I’m excited for this winter and excited for this pattern change in general! 13 2 1 Quote 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Just now, Cold Snap said: Hello everyone! I’m new on here I’ve been lurking since last December but finally decided to make an account and join in on the action! I’m excited for this winter and excited for this pattern change in general! Welcome! Yep the Great White Arctic Winter 2022-2023! Think Cold and SNOW! C'MON!!!! 2 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 4 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 8 minutes ago, Dave said: My house is losing the battle. Down to 66 degrees. I might have to turn on the heat for the first time since June. Sprinklers are off. Fall is finally here. We turned on the heater for the first time today as well. 1 1 Quote Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted October 22, 2022 Report Share Posted October 22, 2022 Day 5 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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