October 2016 Observations and Model Discussion for the Pacific Northwest

[Bryant]

Maybe your area is different, but it looks like 7-9 pm for peak winds in Seattle.

This is wrong... 4-6pm for seattle

[VancouverIslandSouth]

Moderate winds and quick hitting rain showers here in Victoria now. Feels more like a storm, but not as strong as I would have expected given the track.

[snow_wizard]

Moderate winds and quick hitting rain showers here in Victoria now. Feels more like a storm, but not as strong as I would have expected given the track.

 

Nowhere near peak time for you yet.

[Bryant]

Moderate winds and quick hitting rain showers here in Victoria now. Feels more like a storm, but not as strong as I would have expected given the track.

6-8pm peak time

[snow_wizard]

sometimes these wild events are followed by a nice cold snap

 

i'd like to see that happen

 

then repeat again in november, december and January

 

You are correct.  Very stormy periods like this are usually a good sign.

[Abbotsford_wx]

This is wrong... 4-6pm for seattle

 

Okay.

[BLI snowman]

On the bright side, most of my trees still have their leaves. Here's to a few more weeks of fall color!

[Bryant]

Okay.

You and I still have a good shot at some decent wind!

[luvssnow_spokane]

This looks to be a total non-event for most of western Wa except for the far north. As I shared earlier today the low pressure is heading into mid to northern Vancouver island (see image below) and weaker. Winds have may have peaked down here with 24mph gust... Absolutely pathetic! Another typical PNW outcome.

 

[The Swamp]

I really wanted all my leaves to end up in the neighbors yard.  This is a total bust.  Gonna have to rake those suckers later this month.

[MossMan]

I really wanted all my leaves to end up in the neighbors yard. This is a total bust. Gonna have to rake those suckers later this month.

2016-17 is already an epic failure. Looking forward to spring!!

[HighlandExperience]

2016-17 is already an epic failure. Looking forward to spring!!

 

One of many busts to come

[TT-SEA]

If local news wanted to have some credibility they should come out and say this is a non-event for most of the area. The storm tracked well west of what was shown earlier in the week. But some strong runs set in motion the hype machine and they want people to keep watching in fear. And yet when they go to the weather people they can see the storm heading into Vancouver Island and the wind speed maps look pathetic and they just ignore it and go back out to dramatic reporters in the field and go on with the hype.

[MossMan]

If local news wanted to have some credibility they should come out and say this is a non-event for most of the area. The storm tracked well west of what was shown earlier in the week. But some strong runs set in motion the hype machine and they want people to keep watching in fear. And yet when they go to the weather people they can see the storm heading into Vancouver Island and the wind speed maps look pathetic and they just ignore it and go back out to dramatic reporters in the field and go on with the hype.

Even NWS Seattle and Sno Co PUD hyping it still!

[TT-SEA]

My wife made it on her flight.   She said there were very few cars on the road all the way there and that the airport was completely dead.   She said it felt strange.    

 

Still have not had even a breeze here... absolutely calm.

[MossMan]

My wife made it on her flight. She said there were very few cars on the road all the way there and that the airport was completely dead. She said it felt strange.

 

Still have not had even a breeze here... absolutely calm.

Biggest bust since that 1950 redux that was supposed to happen several years ago.

[FroYoBro]

2016-17 is already an epic failure. Looking forward to spring!!

 

My god...

[HighlandExperience]

My wife made it on her flight.   She said there were very few cars on the road all the way there and that the airport was completely dead.   She said it felt strange.    

 

Still have not had even a breeze here... absolutely calm.

 

 

Drove up to Redmond a few hours ago, hardly anyone even on the road, it was nice. Feels like everyone is preparing for the apocalypse or something. 

[crf450ish]

Drove up to Redmond a few hours ago, hardly anyone even on the road, it was nice. Feels like everyone is preparing for the apocalypse or something. 

Some of the best commutes I've had in western wa was when a mass storm was supposed to strike... 

[Farmboy]

One of many busts to come

Gee whiz you guys....

 

[Deweydog]

So it seems like PDX is becoming the south wind Crown Point.

[MossMan]

Some of the best commutes I've had in western wa was when a mass storm was supposed to strike...

Same can't be said for snowstorms, seems like everyone and their mother gets in their cars during those events!

[TT-SEA]

No traffic anywhere... there are always slow spots even on the weekend.   Usually lots of them.

 

http://images.wsdot.wa.gov/nwflow/flowmaps/video_map_SeattleMetro.gif?20161015180843

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Alot of the people who get scared remember some of our bad wind storms. Inauguration day or thanksgiving storm in the mid 80's

[MossMan]

Alot of the people who get scared remember some of our bad wind storms. Inauguration day or thanksgiving storm in the mid 80's

That early 80's Thanksgiving storm is what really got me hooked on windstorms and weather in general! I was just in awe of the power of the wind, and also the memory of my dad trying to cook the Turkey on the BBQ...and no power for a week after!!! I miss those type of storms! The one last August and November 2015 were respectable but otherwise it's been so incredibly dull for wind storms for the past 10yrs.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Some storm lol.

[MossMan]

Some storm lol.

Such an epic bust! Nice sunset though, looks like an August evening out there!!

[GHweatherChris]

All in all today is a dud, yesterday's events obviously trumped today, and what happened yesterday wasn't even looking possible until it happened.

 

Could be a winter full of surprises, hopefully good ones.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

The ocean is ripping good i will say.

[Abbotsford_wx]

This looks to be a total non-event for most of western Wa except for the far north. As I shared earlier today the low pressure is heading into mid to northern Vancouver island (see image below) and weaker. Winds have may have peaked down here with 24mph gust... Absolutely pathetic! Another typical PNW outcome.

IMG_1478.PNG

 

Surprised it's so far offshore. Looks closer to the coast on the satellite images.

 

[crf450ish]

The "storm" did exactly what allot of regular posters on here said it would do. Tracked more northward... what made it do that?

[Abbotsford_wx]

The "storm" did exactly what allot of regular posters on here said it would do. Tracked more northward... what made it do that?

 

yeah, seems odd given that it also trended weaker than expected. Usually it's one or the other.

[Brennan]

[Abbotsford_wx]

Apparently the storm is still deepening... 968 mb at Tatoosh Island... definitely an incredibly compact low.

[bainbridgekid]

Apparently the storm is still deepening... 968 mb at Tatoosh Island... definitely an incredibly compact low.

Considering the center is further offshore than that, it probably bottomed out around 965mb.

 

Pretty amazing we couldn't manage more wind with a 965mb low that close to the NW tip of Washington.

[TT-SEA]

That squall line coming though Seattle made the reporters happy!    They had some actually stormy looking weather for a little while.

[MossMan]

It just got windy.

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

Nice summer evening

[MR.SNOWMIZER]

If i had not looked at the weather i would consider this just a normal fall day here at ocean.

[bainbridgekid]

Power flickering here a bit in Mountlake Terrace.