SouthHillFrosty Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian_in_Leavenworth Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 2 minutes ago, SouthHillFrosty said: By what it shows after day 9? 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Meatyorologist Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 The only main criticism I have with our prospects is the general lack of cold over the continent. The upcoming +PNA pattern is shunting all the plentiful cold air sitting over Canada right now all way back to north of the Arctic circle. It's going to take a bit of a process to reinstate deep, meaningful Arctic air back into western Canada. If the best blocking shows too early, the pattern may be stuck with two tasks at once. 3 Weather stats for MBY Snowfall: -Total snowfall since joining: 50.25" -2018-19: 21" -2019-20: 2.5" -2020-21: 13" -2021-22: 8.75" -2022-23: 5.75" -2023-24*: 0.25" -Most recent snowfall: 0.25”; January 17th, 2024 -Largest snowfall (single storm): 8.5"; February 12-13, 2021 -Largest snow depth: 14"; 1:30am February 12th, 2019 Temperatures: -Warmest: 109F; June 28th, 2021 -Coldest: 13F; December 27th, 2021 -Phreeze Count 2023-24: 31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LowerGarfield Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 32 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: 00z GFS 10 Day Snowfall, including the southwestern US. Finally some interesting color in the longer range for my location. 1 Garfield County/Pomeroy, WA: 2023-2024 Snowfall totals: 14.3 inches HIghest snow total (per event): 5.8 inches total 1/11/24 - 1/12/24. Most recent accumulation (non trace): 0.20 inches on 2/26/24 Days with trace or more snowfall: 12/01/23 (0.60), 1/8/24 (1.0), 1/10/24 (3.5), 1/11/23 (3.5 inches with Thundersnow; separate event from prior day), 1/12/24 (2.30). 1/14/24 (T), 1/17/24 (1.20 inches), 1/18/24 (1.5 inches), 1/19/24 (0.20), 2/09/24 (0.30), 2/26/24 (0.20-mainly graupel), 4/5/24 (T) First Freeze: 10/27/2023 Last Sub freezing Day: 1/20/24 (12th) (8 days in a row from 1/12/24-1/20/24) Coldest low: -12F (!!!!!!!!) (1/12/24) Last White Christmas: 2022 at my location (on ground) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 8 minutes ago, Meatyorologist said: The only main criticism I have with our prospects is the general lack of cold over the continent. The upcoming +PNA pattern is shunting all the plentiful cold air sitting over Canada right now all way back to north of the Arctic circle. It's going to take a bit of a process to reinstate deep, meaningful Arctic air back into western Canada. If the best blocking shows too early, the pattern may be stuck with two tasks at once. Park place is easy. Boardwalk is the money maker. that made a lot of sense in my head but not so much as I typed it out <<send>> 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 7 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Just a little better up north vs last run 6 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 You beat me to it. Several very good improvements on the 00z GEFS. It's all starting to piece together now. Just wait the next several runs are only going to get better. 00z ECMWF in 25 minutes 5 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Snap Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Just a little better up north vs last run I feel like that is a huge change for one run on the GEFS. This is starting to get good. 6 2023 - 2024 Cold Season Stats Total Snowfall - 0.75” Max Snow Depth - 0.5” Coldest High Temp - 21 (Jan 13) Coldest Low Temp - 9 (Jan 13) Number of Freezes - 51 Sub-40 highs - 12 Highs 32 or lower - 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RentonHill Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Hammer time 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Huge improvements on GEFS. 8 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NWbyNW Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Huge improvements on GEFS. Hoping for a crazy Euro run. Glad this isn't a one model against others standoff. 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 6 minutes ago, 12345WeatherNerd said: Hoping for a crazy Euro run. Glad this isn't a one model against others standoff. Still could be. The 12z Euro was great for snow. Not so much with the GFS 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Kolk1604 said: Still could be. The 12z Euro was great for snow. Not so much with the GFS True 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rubus Leucodermis Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 36 minutes ago, RentonHillTC said: Park place is easy. Boardwalk is the money maker. <<send>> The Orange properties are the best money makers as they are within easy striking range of jail (making them busy since there’s lots of ways to end up in jail). It's called clown range for a reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 00z ECMWF Day 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snownerd3000 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Rubus Leucodermis said: The Orange properties are the best money makers as they are within easy striking range of jail (making them busy since there’s lots of ways to end up in jail). I liked to own that corner 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 2 Get PUMPED! 1 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kolk1604 Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 2 Get PUMPED! I'm PUMPED! 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 3 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Dramatic improvement on the ensemble mean tonight. 850s drop to -6.4 where earlier runs had never even dropped to -5. 3 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Really nice improvement on the 500mb also. 3 2 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 5 2 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 ECMWF is sharper with the trough even in the near term. Looking good right now. Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 4 minutes ago, snow_wizard said: Dramatic improvement on the ensemble mean tonight. 850s drop to -6.4 where earlier runs had never even dropped to -5. Yep! Surface temps for the Columbia Basin turn frigid. Even PDX turns cold to near freezing AND the Op was a warm outlier starting at just Day 4.5 to 5. 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 5 Placement of the block is dead on. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snow_wizard Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Yep! Surface temps for the Columbia Basin turn frigid. Even PDX turns cold to near freezing AND the Op was a warm outlier starting at just Day 4.5 to 5. With the op it was just fairly minor details that got in the way of it being colder. 1 Death To Warm Anomalies! Winter 2023-24 stats Total Snowfall = 1.0" Day with 1" or more snow depth = 1 Total Hail = 0.0 Total Ice = 0.2 Coldest Low = 13 Lows 32 or below = 45 Highs 32 or below = 3 Lows 20 or below = 3 Highs 40 or below = 9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 6 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 The duration of the cold is impressive on the GEFS. 4 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 1 minute ago, Gradient Keeper said: Day 6 Looks better than GFS OP! 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Unfortunate. 1 1 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kayla Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 3 hours ago, Deweydog said: Whenever we go to Bend or Sunriver and I go running I feel like a 70 year old man with emphysema. You should probably have that looked at...Bend is only ~3,500ft! 1 Cold Season 2023/24: Total snowfall: 26" Highest daily snowfall: 5" Deepest snow depth: 12" Coldest daily high: -20ºF Coldest daily low: -42ºF Number of subzero days: 5 Personal Weather Station on Wunderground: https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=KMTBOZEM152#history Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Phishy Wx Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 2 hours ago, Cascadia_Wx said: We’ll be in Iceland December 27-January 7. Expect something historic in that time frame. I’m thinking 1968-esque? I'll be in NYC from 12/27 - 1/2 so I'm thinking the same. Hoping I can catch a 'noreasta while on the east side of the continent 1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 7 3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SouthHillFrosty Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 There is no cold air to work with unfortunately Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gradient Keeper Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Day 8 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Slushy Inch Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Just now, Gradient Keeper said: Day 8 Looks like bullshit to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TigerWoodsLibido Posted November 22, 2022 Report Share Posted November 22, 2022 Dr. No strikes again... 1 Springfield, Oregon regular season 2023-24 Stats: Coldest high: 25F (Jan 14, 2024) Coldest low: 20F (Jan 14, 2024) Days with below freezing temps: 24 (Most recent: Mar 8, 2024) Days with sub-40F highs: 4 (Most recent: Jan 16, 2024) Total snowfall: 0.0" Total ice: 2.25” Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 (1.9") Last sub-freezing high: Jan 15, 2024 (27F) Last White Christmas: 1990 Significant wind events (gusts 45+): 0 Personal Stats: Last accumulating snowfall on roads: Dec 27, 2021 Last sub-freezing high: Jan 16, 2024 (32F) Last White Christmas: 2008 Total snowfall since joining TheWeatherForums: 42.0" Sub-freezing highs since joining TheWeatherForums: 4 Venmo GoFundMe "College Basketball vs Epilepsy": gf.me/u/zk3pj2 My Twitter @CBBjerseys4hope 24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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